US Reportedly Strikes Iran's Qeshm Island as Vance Voices Optimism on a Deal

On the night before American voters went to the polls, a small island at the mouth of the Strait of Hormuz became the scene of limited and quiet violence. Qeshm, a place that has already witnessed the war's sharp edges, was struck by American forces in what officials insist was a defensive act, aimed at the missiles that threatened US assets. Even as the vice-president spoke of a possible settlement and hope of a negotiated peace, the sound of explosions reminded everyone that diplomacy and force often travel side by side, each unsure whether the other will hold.

Late on Monday, Iranian state media reported several explosions on Qeshm Island, a landmass guarding the mouth of the Strait of Hormuz. Local outlets could not say what had caused them. Within hours, American outlets were reporting that the blasts were limited US strikes, carried out on the eve of the midterm elections.

According to Reuters and the Associated Press, the targets were surface-to-air missiles that had been used against American assets. Officials described the strikes as defensive and not a sign that full hostilities were resuming. US Central Command did not immediately respond to requests for comment.

The timing made the contrast hard to miss. Earlier that day, Vice-President JD Vance said he and Donald Trump felt good about the prospects for a negotiated settlement, and that progress had been made. Tehran had just confirmed it was holding indirect talks with Washington. Trump, asked whether he would resume strikes after the vote, said no, insisting there was no war raging while acknowledging that one could come if Iran refused a deal.

The Wall Street Journal placed the Qeshm strikes within a series of smaller attacks in recent weeks that the administration had kept out of public view, so as not to signal a restart of the campaign. Qeshm has been struck several times before, and its position has made it a launch point for attacks on shipping.

The strait itself remains under strain. Although attacks had paused, Iran continues to enforce its closure by targeting tankers, containers and other vessels. Meanwhile, the war's effect on American living costs looms over the midterms, and Trump's party is widely expected to pay for it at the polls.

The open questions are whether the indirect talks produce a settlement, whether the Pentagon confirms the strikes, and whether Iran's grip on the strait tightens or loosens once the votes are counted.

Late on Monday evening, Iranian state media reported hearing several explosions on Qeshm Island, a landmass sitting in the mouth of the strait of Hormuz. Local outlets said the cause was unclear. Within hours, US media were reporting what it was: limited American strikes on the island, carried out on the eve of midterm elections.

The Wall Street Journal was first to report the strikes. Reuters and the Associated Press then said the targets were surface-to-air missiles that had been used against US assets. The strikes were described as defensive, and were not thought to signal a return to full hostilities. US Central Command did not immediately respond to a request for comment from Reuters.

The timing sharpened the contrast. Earlier on Monday, Vice-President JD Vance told reporters that he and Donald Trump felt "pretty good about the prospects for potentially coming to a negotiated settlement." He added that progress had been made and that the two would see whether more was possible. His remarks followed Tehran's disclosure that it was holding indirect negotiations with Washington.

Trump was asked on Monday whether he had considered resuming strikes on Iran after Tuesday's elections. He answered "no." Speaking to Fox News hours before polls opened, he played down the conflict and its economic effects. "There's no war raging," he said, allowing that it could happen if Iran doesn't make a deal, but arguing that Tehran wants one very badly and that there is a very good chance of an agreement.

The Journal placed the Qeshm strikes within a longer pattern. It described them as part of a series of attacks on Iran in recent weeks that have not been made public. Its sources suggested those strikes were smaller in scale and deliberately kept quiet by the Trump administration, so as not to signal any intention of restarting the military campaign. If the Qeshm strike is confirmed, it would be the first publicly known US strike on Iran in weeks.

Qeshm is not new to this conflict. The US has targeted it several times during the war. Its position at the mouth of the strait has made it a launch point in the past for attacks on shipping in the waterway.

That shipping remains under pressure. Although attacks had ceased in recent weeks, Iran has kept enforcing its closure of the strait by targeting oil tankers, shipping containers and other vessels trying to pass through.

The midterms add a domestic layer. Trump's Republican party is expected to be punished by voters, in large part because of the cascading effect the war has had on the cost of living in the US.

What to watch now is whether the indirect talks yield a settlement, whether the Pentagon or CENTCOM confirms the strikes, and whether Iran's closure of the strait and its attacks on vessels continue once the votes are counted.

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