Reform UK's overseas worker levy would harm NHS, schools and universities, experts warn

Potential reduced access to healthcare and social care services, hospital overcrowding, and service disruptions affecting vulnerable populations dependent on care provision.
The money would have to come from somewhere, so other cuts would have to be made.
A health policy expert explaining how the levy would force the NHS to reduce services elsewhere.
Mark

Why would Reform push a policy that experts say will harm the NHS? Don't they understand the dependency?

Mimi

They understand it differently. The argument is that high costs force change—that employers will adapt by training and hiring British workers. But that assumes supply exists where it doesn't.

Mark

So the NHS would just... absorb the cost?

Mimi

That's the trap. The NHS can't absorb it. Money is finite. So either services shrink, or waiting times grow, or both.

Mark

What about the universities? Why are they vulnerable in a way hospitals aren't?

Mimi

Because hospitals are funded by government. Universities operate more like businesses. Half are already losing money. A sudden wage bill increase could be the thing that breaks them.

Mark

And the care homes—why does the levy hit them hardest?

Mimi

Because care work is low-paid. The levy is structured to be higher for lower wages. Care homes employ mostly low-wage workers, many of them overseas. So the tax lands heaviest where margins are thinnest.

Mark

Is there any sector that benefits from this?

Mimi

That's the question no one can answer. The policy seems designed to punish hiring overseas workers, but it doesn't create the domestic workers to replace them.

  • Reform UK's 'migrant worker surcharge' would impose higher employer national insurance and annual fees on all non-UK passport holders, with no exemptions for sectors already struggling to recruit.
  • One in five NHS staff are non-UK nationals, care homes depend on overseas workers to meet demand that domestic supply cannot match, and some universities draw nearly half their workforce from abroad — making the levy a direct strike at institutions already operating at the edge.
  • Health economists warn the NHS would face significant added costs with nowhere to absorb them, care providers predict a cascade of service reductions, hospital overcrowding, and eventual provider failures, while universities already running deficits could be pushed toward insolvency.
  • Schools face a quieter but real disruption — overseas teachers are concentrated precisely in the shortage subjects, physics, mathematics, and languages, where replacements do not exist in sufficient numbers.
  • Reform UK has declined to comment, the policy carries no sector carve-outs, and the question now hardening into urgency is whether essential services can absorb a cost they have no mechanism to pass on.

A nation's essential services — its hospitals, schools, care homes, and universities — are quietly held together by workers who crossed borders to fill gaps that domestic labor could not. Reform UK's proposed migrant worker surcharge would place a financial penalty on that arrangement, and experts across every affected sector are now asking the same ancient question that follows every blunt instrument of policy: who bears the cost when the architecture of care is made more expensive to maintain?

Reform UK, led by Nigel Farage, has proposed what it calls a 'migrant worker surcharge' — a combination of higher employer national insurance contributions and a separate annual fee applied to any worker without a UK passport, with Irish nationals as the sole exception. The stated aim is to incentivize employers to hire British workers. The problem, experts say, is that in many fields those workers do not exist in the numbers required.

The NHS employs roughly one in five staff members who are not UK nationals. The King's Fund has calculated that the levy would add substantial costs to a health service already stretched thin, with researcher Suzie Bailey noting plainly that the money would have to come from somewhere — meaning other services would be cut. The Royal College of General Practitioners raised a further irony: many overseas GPs were trained in the UK at public expense, making a financial penalty on their employment economically self-defeating.

The care sector faces perhaps the sharpest consequences. The Homecare Association's Jane Townson explained that employing overseas care workers is already more expensive than hiring domestically, and a levy structured to fall hardest on lower-paid workers would hit care providers — who operate on the narrowest of margins — with particular force. The projected cascade includes reduced home care access, longer hospital stays, greater worker exploitation, and ultimately provider failures that push costs back onto the public.

In schools, overseas teachers make up nearly six percent of the English workforce but are concentrated in secondary schools and shortage subjects. Many hold settled status and have been in the UK for years — meaning the levy would function as both a tax on existing staff and a brake on future hiring. For universities, the threat is more existential still. With nearly half of UK institutions already running deficits and salary costs consuming up to sixty percent of budgets, higher wage bills could, in extreme cases, tip the most vulnerable toward insolvency — an event without precedent in British higher education, but no longer unthinkable.

Reform UK declined to comment. The policy stands without exemptions, and the question it leaves behind is one that stretches well beyond politics: what happens to the people who depend on essential services when those services can no longer afford the workers who sustain them?

Reform UK has proposed a policy that would fundamentally reshape how British employers hire overseas workers, and the early warnings from experts across health, education, and social care suggest the consequences could be severe. The party, led by Nigel Farage, is pledging what it calls a "migrant worker surcharge"—a combination of higher employer national insurance contributions and a separate annual charge applied to any worker without a UK passport. The only exception would be Irish nationals. The policy would apply across the entire country, with no carve-outs for sectors that are already struggling to fill vacancies.

The architects of the plan argue it will incentivize employers to hire British workers instead. But that logic collides with a stubborn reality: in many fields, British workers simply aren't available in the numbers needed. The NHS, for instance, employs roughly one in five staff members who are not UK nationals. Schools are similarly dependent on overseas teachers, particularly in subjects where shortages are acute—languages, physics, mathematics. Universities, already running on thin margins, employ international researchers and academics at rates that can reach nearly half their workforce in some institutions. Care homes and home care providers have turned to overseas workers not out of preference but out of necessity, as demand has outpaced the domestic labor supply, especially since the pandemic.

The King's Fund, a respected health policy organization, has calculated that the policy would add significant costs to an NHS that is already stretched. Suzie Bailey, a researcher there, put it plainly: the money would have to come from somewhere, which means other services would be cut. She struggled to articulate how the policy could work without damaging patient care. Victoria Tzortziou Brown, president of the Royal College of General Practitioners, noted that many overseas GPs received their specialist training in the UK at public expense—penalizing their employment would be economically perverse. General practices, most of which operate as small independent businesses contracted to the NHS, would be hit particularly hard by rising staffing costs.

The care sector faces perhaps the sharpest blow. Jane Townson, chief executive of the Homecare Association, explained that employing overseas care workers is already more expensive and administratively complex than hiring domestically. A levy structured to hit lower-paid workers hardest—which is how Reform has described it—would fall most heavily on care providers, who operate on narrow margins. Townson laid out the cascade of consequences: reduced access to home care, people remaining in hospitals longer than necessary, greater vulnerability to worker exploitation, and ultimately provider failures that would push costs back onto the public system.

In schools, the picture is mixed but still troubling. Nearly six percent of English teachers are non-UK nationals, but they're concentrated in secondary schools and in shortage subjects. James Zuccollo, head of school workforce at the Education Policy Institute, pointed out that many of these teachers have been in the UK for years and hold settled status. A levy would function as both a brake on future hiring and a tax on staff already in place. For universities, the threat is existential. Nick Hillman, chief executive of the Higher Education Policy Institute, noted that many institutions spend up to 60 percent of their budgets on salaries. With nearly half of UK universities already running deficits, higher wage bills would force cuts elsewhere—and in extreme cases, could push an institution toward insolvency. No British university has ever gone bankrupt, but some are close enough that this policy could tip the balance.

The research and development sector would suffer collateral damage as well. Dr. Alicia Greated from the Campaign for Science and Engineering warned that visa costs and complex immigration policies already drain resources that could be invested in research itself. A new levy would compound that burden. Reform UK declined to comment when approached by journalists. The policy remains in place, and so does the question: what happens when you make it expensive to employ the workers that essential services depend on?

I really struggle to see how this would work in practice, and that it wouldn't just have negative impact.
— Suzie Bailey, King's Fund
Providers cannot absorb this. The predictable risks would be reduced access to home care, causing harm to individuals and families, more people stuck in hospital, greater exploitation of workers, and provider failure damaging continuity of care.
— Jane Townson, Homecare Association
Quieres la nota completa? Lee el original en The Guardian ↗
Contáctanos FAQ