BRI Projects Gain Pace in Central Asia as China Expands Trade, Rail, Energy and Digital Links

Camel caravans have given way to trucks and trains carrying steel and EVs
The article describes how the old Silk Road trade has been replaced by modern freight across Central Asia.
Mark

The headline is about trade, but the article keeps returning to security. Why?

Mimi

Because the same corridor carries goods, gas and influence. The piece says China wants stability in Tajikistan, Kyrgyzstan and Kazakhstan, the countries bordering Xinjiang.

Mark

And the trade figures are big. $106.3 billion in 2025.

Mimi

Up 12 per cent, with Kazakhstan at $49 billion, Uzbekistan $18 billion, and the other three together $40.3 billion. China is the top trading partner for all five.

Luke

I'd note where those numbers come from. The article gives no source for them, and the 65 per cent investment share is likewise unattributed.

Mark

So how much should readers lean on them?

Luke

As a picture of scale, fine. As precise measurements, not without a cited source. This is analysis, not a data release.

Mimi

The digital side is concrete in count: about 84 projects, 30 in Kazakhstan, 26 in Uzbekistan, ten each in Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan, eight in Turkmenistan.

Luke

Though 'implemented or planned' lumps together things at very different stages. We don't know how many are actually running.

Mark

And the sphere-of-influence conclusion?

Luke

That's the author's framing. The article doesn't quote any Central Asian government on whether they see it that way.

  • Trade between China and Central Asia surged 12 percent in 2025 to $106.3 billion, pressing ever harder against the region's older ties to Moscow and the West.
  • Chinese capital now makes up more than 65 percent of the region's foreign investment, and Kazakhstan alone draws about a third of it.
  • Trucks and trains are moving steel, electric vehicles and machinery through corridors like Khorgos, where the Eastern Gate is being built out as fast as the border can handle.
  • Security worries along the Xinjiang frontier sit beside the economic push, with Beijing seeking a stable zone within its sphere of influence.
  • Watch the CKU railway, the planned gas pipeline line D and roughly 84 Digital Silk Road projects, which will show whether these ties are hardening into permanence.

In the decade since Xi Jinping first spoke of a Silk Road Economic Belt in Astana, the ancient caravan routes of Central Asia have been rebuilt in steel, cable and gas pipe. Trade of $106.3 billion in 2025 and a growing share of the region's investment show how deeply the old crossroads now lean toward Beijing. Yet beneath the figures of rail, pipeline and fibre lies a quieter concern for stability and influence, the same instinct that once made this land a belt around an empire's core.

In 2013, standing in Astana, Xi Jinping spoke of camel bells in the mountains and smoke over the desert, and proposed a 21st-century Silk Road Economic Belt. Kazakhstan's capital was a deliberate choice, marking Central Asia as the bridge between East and West, and his five connectivities, from policy to people-to-people ties, became the framework for what followed.

The old caravans of silk, porcelain and tea have given way to trucks and trains hauling steel, electric vehicles and high-tech goods. In 2025, trade between China and the five Central Asian states reached $106.3 billion, up 12 percent, with China now the largest trading partner of every country in the region. Chinese capital accounts for over 65 percent of foreign investment there, with Kazakhstan receiving about a third.

The physical links are taking shape: the China–Kyrgyzstan–Uzbekistan railway under construction, the Khorgos logistics hub on the Kazakh border, and a gas pipeline network from Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan toward China, with a fourth line planned. Digital projects, around 84 of them, add fibre cables, data centres and smart-city schemes, with Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan leading.

Each country plays its own role, from Turkmenistan's energy supply to Kazakhstan's financial hub and Uzbekistan's military-technical partnership. Behind it all runs a concern for security, since China borders Xinjiang and wants stability along its western edge. The railway, line D and the digital networks are the markers to watch as these ties deepen.

In 2013, in Astana, Xi Jinping stood before an audience and spoke of camel bells echoing through mountains and thin smoke rising over the desert. It was the first time he floated the idea of a 21st-century Silk Road Economic Belt, and the choice of Kazakhstan's capital was deliberate: it marked Central Asia as the transit hub between East and West. Xi laid out five connectivities as the framework: policy coordination, a unified infrastructure network, trade facilitation, monetary and financial flows, and people-to-people diplomacy.

The history he invoked is old. From the 2nd century BC, the Great Silk Road and its caravans passed through thousands of cities and settlements, tying Asia and Europe together through trade, culture and science. Central Asia has long leaned toward China, which historically treated the region as a belt surrounding its imperial core. Today, as the source puts it, the caravans of silk, porcelain and tea have given way to trucks and trains carrying steel, electric vehicles, machinery and technology.

The numbers show how far that has gone. In 2025, trade between China and the five Central Asian countries reached $106.3 billion, up 12 per cent on the year before. Kazakhstan accounted for $49 billion, Uzbekistan for $18 billion, and Turkmenistan, Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan together for $40.3 billion. Chinese exports to the region came to $71.2 billion, up 11 per cent, led by machinery, electrical equipment and high-tech goods. Chinese imports from Central Asia totaled $35.1 billion, up 14 per cent. China is the largest trading partner of every country in the region.

Investment tells a similar story. Chinese capital, whether state-owned, private or mixed, makes up over 65 per cent of all foreign investment in the region. Kazakhstan receives roughly 35 per cent of it, followed by Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan and Kyrgyzstan.

The physical projects anchor this. The China–Kyrgyzstan–Uzbekistan railway, on the southern route, is under construction. Khorgos, described as the Eastern Gate, is a major logistics centre on the Chinese–Kazakh border where cargo is transshipped. The Central Asia–China Gas Pipeline is built as four lines, A, B, C and a planned line D, carrying natural gas from Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan to China. Alongside these sit cross-border cables, satellite stations, data centres and exchanges of digital expertise.

About 84 Digital Silk Road projects are being carried out or planned across Central Asia. Kazakhstan has 30 and Uzbekistan 26. Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan have ten each, mostly smart-city schemes and telecom upgrades. Turkmenistan has eight, chiefly fibre-optic cables laid along the Caspian Sea bed.

Each country plays a distinct role. Turkmenistan is among China's most important energy suppliers. Kazakhstan serves as a key financial hub for the Belt and Road outside China. Uzbekistan has picked China as its main strategic partner in military-technical matters. Georgia, meanwhile, is the only Caucasus state with a free trade agreement with China, joined in Europe only by Switzerland and Serbia.

Security runs through all of it. The article says China has a basic interest in stability in Tajikistan, Kyrgyzstan and Kazakhstan, which border Xinjiang, and in preventing any attempt to destabilise the region. It describes Beijing's approach, pursued through the BRI, the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation and military-technical cooperation, as aiming to make Central Asia a prosperous, stable zone within China's sphere of influence. The railway, line D of the pipeline and the digital projects are the things to watch next.

Standing here and looking back at history, he could almost hear camel bells echoing through the mountains and see thin smoke rising over the desert.
— Xi Jinping, Astana, 2013
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