Zimbabwe has watched its HIV story turn from a season of funerals into one of quiet medical triumph, with annual infections falling from 79,000 in 2010 to 15,000 in 2023. Yet the very success that made treatment routine may be loosening the sense of danger among the young, who now inherit powerful prevention tools without the memory of what they were built to stop. As funding shifts and services move closer to markets, mining camps and campuses, the country is testing whether knowledge, dignity and access can carry a victory that is still fragile.
Zimbabwe's HIV Gains Face a Test as Young People Grow Complacent About Prevention
A generation that has never had to fear the funerals
Zimbabwe's infections have fallen dramatically. Why are people worried now?
Because the drop is large but the worry is about what comes next. Infections among 15 to 24 year olds fell from an estimated 27,000 to 4,400, and clinicians fear complacency could undo that.
How solid is the complacency claim, though?
Not very. It rests on Shaun Moyo's observations, including a Facebook comment by one of her son's friends. The article itself says that is not scientific evidence.
So what is firmly established?
The UNAIDS figures on falling infections, the global numbers on young women, and the lenacapavir trial result: none of 2,134 women acquired HIV in the primary analysis. The attitude shift is attributed, not measured.
Moyo says the 1990s meant cemeteries every weekend. Is that what drives her anger?
Yes. She lived through the wards, so treatment making HIV manageable feels, to her, like it has dulled the fear that once protected people.
What is Bekker's counter to fear-based messaging?
That young people need honest information and judgement-free services, not old warnings about abstinence. Angela Gutu's pop-up clinics at markets and campuses try to do exactly that.
Do we know those pop-ups or the mobile trucks are working?
No. The piece describes them but offers no outcome data, and it says impact depends on consistent availability. The US-funded programme disruptions UNAIDS reported add to the uncertainty.
Also, the Gauteng figures concern a condition linked to sexually transmitted infections generally, not HIV itself.
The Pulse
- Annual new HIV infections have dropped sharply since 2010, yet nurses and health workers worry that young people now treat the virus as manageable and therefore less urgent.
- Clinicians fear that complacency is spreading, though the evidence so far rests largely on personal observations rather than systematic research.
- Disrupted US-funded programmes have unsettled PrEP, testing and counselling services for key populations, raising the stakes of every lost clinic day.
- Peer educators and the health ministry are pushing pop-up clinics, self-testing kits and mobile trucks into markets, transport hubs and informal mining communities to meet young people where they are.
- The outcome now hinges on whether decentralised services stay affordable, consistent and free of stigma long enough to keep the gains from slipping.
Zimbabwe has watched its HIV story turn from a season of funerals into one of quiet medical triumph, with annual infections falling from 79,000 in 2010 to 15,000 in 2023. Yet the very success that made treatment routine may be loosening the sense of danger among the young, who now inherit powerful prevention tools without the memory of what they were built to stop. As funding shifts and services move closer to markets, mining camps and campuses, the country is testing whether knowledge, dignity and access can carry a victory that is still fragile.
Shaun Moyo began nursing in Harare in the late 1990s, when the wards were full and funerals were a weekly fact of life. Today she works locum shifts at two public hospitals, and the change she has seen in the country is enormous. Antiretroviral treatment has transformed living with HIV, and young people now have condoms, PrEP and PEP. UNAIDS estimates that annual new infections fell from 79,000 in 2010 to 15,000 in 2023, with the drop among 15 to 24-year-olds going from 27,000 to 4,400.
Yet the people who fought this epidemic fear that the gains are fragile. Dr Misheck Ruwende warned that Zimbabwe risked losing decades of progress just as the best prevention options existed. Moyo says young people's easy access to tools makes her furious, because her memory of the 1990s is of weekend trips to the cemetery. She believes some young people now underestimate HIV because it is no longer seen as a death sentence. These remain individual observations, not proof of a broader shift in attitudes.
The pressure is not confined to Zimbabwe. Across the region, young women bear a heavy share of new infections, and South Africa's provincial figures show rising sexually transmitted infections among men. Dr Linda-Gail Bekker argues that new tools such as twice-yearly lenacapavir must be paired with honest, non-judgemental messages that reach young people on their own terms.
Funding cuts have complicated that work. In Harare, peer educator Angela Gutu organises pop-up services at markets, campuses and sporting events, offering self-tests, condoms and referrals, because many young people fear being judged at a clinic. Officials are also taking services outward through decentralised PrEP, testing and treatment, and mobile trucks now reach informal mining communities. Whether those services remain available, affordable and free of stigma will decide whether Zimbabwe keeps its hard-won progress. For young people like Bongani, who plans to volunteer in January, the stakes are plain: his generation has the best tools ever made, and losing ground now would be a tragedy.
When Shaun Moyo began nursing at Parirenyatwa Hospital in Harare in the late 1990s, the epidemic was not an abstraction. Patients filled the wards, she recalls, and funerals had become an ordinary part of life. Today she is 48 and works locum shifts at two major public hospitals in the city, and what she sees in younger people worries her.
The country she works in has changed enormously. Antiretroviral treatment has transformed life for people living with HIV, and young people now have condoms, pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP), post-exposure prophylaxis (PEP) and other options available to them. UNAIDS estimates that annual new infections in Zimbabwe fell from 79,000 in 2010 to 15,000 in 2023. Among people aged 15 to 24, the drop was from an estimated 27,000 to 4,400.
Yet clinicians and advocates fear that progress is not secure. Dr Misheck Ruwende, a Zimbabwean family physician who campaigns against HIV stigma, said in a public address on Twitter in September that the country risked losing gains built over decades. He said it was sad that this was happening just as the best prevention options existed, from rapid testing to injectables. In the late 1990s and early 2000s, he noted, none of that was available, and it now looked as though the success was being reversed.
Moyo's frustration is personal. Seeing young people who have condoms, ARVs and PrEP, she said, makes her furious, because in the 1990s every weekend meant a trek to the cemetery rather than a wedding. She believes effective treatment has led some to underestimate infection, since HIV is no longer widely seen as a death sentence. She recalled a Facebook exchange involving her son and his friends in which one comment suggested that getting high blood pressure was worse than HIV. The reporting is clear that these are individual observations, not scientific evidence of shifting attitudes among young people.
The concern reaches beyond Zimbabwe. UNAIDS estimated that 210,000 adolescent girls and young women aged 15 to 24 acquired HIV worldwide in 2023, 160,000 of them in sub-Saharan Africa. Nearly 60 percent of the global total occurred in Eastern and Southern Africa. In neighbouring South Africa, 7.7 million people were living with HIV in 2023. In Gauteng province, 167,109 males attended public health facilities between April and December 2023, and 67,400 were treated for Male Urethritis Syndrome, which is associated with sexually transmitted infections. The provincial health department said its incidence rose from 12 percent in 2020 to 15 percent in 2023, though the condition is not itself a measure of HIV infection.
Dr Linda-Gail Bekker, a South African HIV physician-scientist, co-authored the report on the PURPOSE 1 trial of lenacapavir, an injectable prevention drug given twice a year. In the Phase 3 trial's primary analysis, none of the 2,134 women who received it acquired HIV. Bekker argues that such advances must be paired with messages that reach young people, and that beating the old drum about the horrors of HIV and shouting about condoms is not necessarily going to cut it. She wants accurate information, accessible services and non-judgemental, adolescent-friendly care, including practical advice on PrEP.
Funding has made this harder. In March 2025, UNAIDS reported that disruptions to US-funded HIV programmes in Zimbabwe had affected services for key populations, including PrEP, testing and counselling.
In Harare, 23-year-old peer educator Angela Gutu is trying a different route. Working with the municipality, the health ministry, nongovernmental organisations and churches, she helps organise pop-up health services at markets, transport hubs, university campuses and sporting events. Young people can pick up HIV self-testing kits and condoms, and mobile health workers refer them for PrEP and other care. Gutu says some young people find it intimidating to ask for a test at a clinic, fearing judgement or harsh treatment. Her approach, she said, is about speaking young people's lingo and taking away the stigma.
Officials say they are also moving services outward. Dr Innocent Hove, Provincial Medical Officer for Harare Metropolitan Province, told reporters at an August meeting that HIV among young Zimbabweans is an urgent priority. The government is decentralising PrEP, PEP, testing and treatment, along with screening and treatment for sexually transmitted infections and tuberculosis. Mobile healthcare trucks are reaching places such as informal mining communities and remote artisanal gold-mining sites. Whether those services are consistently available, affordable and free of stigma will determine their effect.
Bongani, who plans to volunteer as a peer educator through the health ministry's programme in January, put the stakes plainly: his generation was born with the best prevention tools, and it would be a tragedy if AIDS deaths made a comeback because of reckless behaviour.
Notable Quotes
Beating the old drum about the horrors of HIV, and shouting to youths about condoms is not necessarily going to cut it.— Dr Linda-Gail Bekker, South African HIV physician-scientist
It's about speaking young people's lingo, taking away the HIV stigma.— Angela Gutu, 23-year-old peer educator in Harare