Women Farmers Need Better Financing to Unlock AI Benefits

645 million people globally face food and nutrition insecurity, with smallholder farmers and women disproportionately affected by climate change, conflicts, and fertilizer price increases.
Access without affordability is a hollow metric
Shetty argues that simply counting women who reach digital tools misses whether they can actually afford and control them.
Mark

So the core problem here is that women farmers can't afford the technology, or that the technology isn't designed for them?

Mimi

Both, but the financing piece is what Shetty keeps returning to. Women lack collateral, so traditional banks won't lend to them. And even when they do get loans, how the money reaches them matters—cash versus a mobile account changes the outcome by 15 percent in profit.

Luke

That Uganda study—is that one study or multiple studies? Because a 15 percent difference is significant, but I want to know if it's been replicated.

Mimi

The source cites it as a study in Uganda that Shetty pointed to. It's presented as evidence, but you're right to flag that we don't know the sample size or whether it's been independently verified.

Mark

And the psychometric testing in Ethiopia—89 percent versus 42 percent is a huge gap. What's actually happening there?

Mimi

Instead of asking for land or assets as collateral, lenders used psychological assessments to evaluate creditworthiness. Women who got loans through that method were much more likely to borrow formally, and their businesses survived the pandemic and conflict better.

Luke

But we don't know why the survival rate was higher. Was it the loan itself, the amount, the terms, or something about the women who passed the psychometric test?

Mimi

That's the gap. The reporting tells us the outcome but not the mechanism. We know it worked; we don't fully know why.

Mark

What does GAFSP actually do differently now compared to before?

Mimi

They stopped just counting how many women they reached and started measuring whether access led to skills, income, decision-making power. The Bangladesh potato cooperative project is an example—women didn't just use the accounting software, they learned the business behind it.

Luke

And how many women are we talking about in these projects? The source says 41 percent of GAFSP's beneficiaries are women, but it doesn't say how many total beneficiaries there are.

Mimi

Right. We know $2.5 billion across 300 projects, but the actual number of people affected isn't specified. The scale is unclear.

Mark

What happens if this new financing track works? What's the endgame?

Mimi

If they can catalyze $200 million in private lending across five African countries, and another $21 million in Rwanda, the idea is that women farmers get access to affordable credit on terms that work for them. That unlocks the digital tools.

Luke

But that's still a bet on private capital stepping in. If overseas development assistance is being cut, and they're relying on private lenders to fill the gap, what happens if those lenders decide women farmers are too risky?

  • Women constitute up to 41% of the agricultural workforce in low-income countries yet are routinely denied loans, land titles, and the collateral that traditional lenders require — leaving them locked out of AI climate tools and digital farm management systems precisely when those tools matter most.
  • Fertilizer price shocks, an intense El Niño season, and sharp cuts to overseas development assistance have arrived simultaneously, turning what might have been manageable hardships into what Shetty calls 'confounded crises' bearing down hardest on smallholder women farmers.
  • Counting how many women 'access' digital agriculture tools has proven a hollow metric — research shows that loans delivered as cash rather than into accounts women control significantly reduce their ability to retain and deploy the money, making delivery mechanisms as consequential as the amounts themselves.
  • Alternative credit models are demonstrating real traction: psychometric testing in Ethiopia lifted formal borrowing among women to 89% versus 42% in comparison groups, and mobile money loan delivery in Uganda produced 15% higher profits for women farmers than cash-based equivalents.
  • GAFSP is now deploying a Business Investment Financing Track — seeding $14 million alongside the African Development Bank to catalyze up to $200 million in private lending across five African nations — using grant capital to de-risk investment and draw in private-sector money as aid budgets contract.

Across the low-income world, women tend nearly half of all cultivated land yet remain structurally excluded from the digital tools reshaping agriculture — not because the technology is beyond them, but because the financing systems that unlock it were never designed with them in mind. As compounding crises — conflict, climate disruption, shrinking aid budgets — press down on 645 million food-insecure people, World Bank adviser Shobha Shetty is urging a fundamental rethinking of how capital reaches women farmers. The question is no longer whether AI and digital agriculture can help; it is whether the architecture of money will be rebuilt to let it.

The distance between digital agriculture and the women who need it most is not a technology problem — it is a financing problem. That is the argument Shobha Shetty, head of the World Bank's Global Agriculture and Food Security Program, has been pressing with growing urgency as multiple global crises converge. Women represent 38 to 41 percent of the agricultural labor force in low- and middle-income countries, yet they remain systematically excluded from AI-powered climate advisories, pest management platforms, and financial planning tools. The barrier is not capacity. It is how money reaches them — or fails to.

The backdrop is severe. Fertilizer prices have surged due to conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East. El Niño has stressed harvests across vulnerable regions. Development aid has contracted sharply. Together, these forces have pushed 645 million people into food and nutrition insecurity, with smallholder farmers and women absorbing the greatest share of the damage. Shetty describes these not as separate emergencies but as mutually amplifying ones.

Speaking ahead of an event at the FAO in Rome, Shetty drew a pointed distinction: reaching women with digital tools is not the same as ensuring those tools benefit them. Women in poorer countries typically lack the collateral — land, property, savings — that conventional lenders require. When loans arrive as cash rather than into accounts they control, research shows women are less able to manage and retain the funds. The financing architecture, she argues, was built without them.

Evidence from alternative models is encouraging. In Ethiopia, replacing collateral requirements with psychometric creditworthiness testing brought 89 percent of eligible women into formal borrowing — more than double the rate in comparison groups. Those borrowers also showed stronger business survival through COVID-19 and subsequent conflict. In Uganda, women receiving agricultural loans via mobile money accounts earned 15 percent higher profits than those receiving cash. How money flows shapes outcomes as much as how much flows.

GAFSP has invested nearly $2.5 billion across more than 300 projects since 2010, but has recently shifted from counting beneficiaries to measuring whether access translates into skills, income, and decision-making power. A Bangladesh project illustrates the difference: women in a potato cooperative introduced to FAO's RuralInvest digital tool didn't just learn software — they developed genuine understanding of cooperative finances, strengthening their standing within the organization and opening new employment paths.

To scale these gains, GAFSP has launched a Business Investment Financing Track, pairing $14 million with the African Development Bank to catalyze up to $200 million in private lending across Ethiopia, Uganda, Tanzania, Malawi, and Zambia. A separate $6 million allocation announced in Kigali aims to mobilize a $21 million package for smallholder farmers in Rwanda. As Shetty frames it, leveraging private and public capital is no longer optional — it is the only way to expand the resources available as official aid shrinks. The tools exist. The evidence exists. What remains is the will to redesign the financial systems that determine who gets to use them.

The gap between digital agriculture and the women who need it most is not technical—it is financial. That is the argument Shobha Shetty, a senior agricultural adviser at the World Bank and head of the Global Agriculture and Food Security Program, has been making with increasing urgency as global crises compound. Women make up between 38 and 41 percent of the agricultural labor force across low- and middle-income countries, yet they remain systematically locked out of the tools—AI-powered climate advisories, pest management systems, financial planning software—that could transform their productivity and resilience. The barrier is not ignorance or lack of interest. It is money, and how money reaches them.

The timing of Shetty's warnings is sharp. Fertilizer prices have climbed because of conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East. An intense El Niño weather event has stressed harvests. Overseas development assistance has contracted sharply. Meanwhile, 645 million people globally—roughly 7.8 percent of the world's population—are facing food and nutrition insecurity, with smallholder farmers and women bearing the heaviest weight. These are not separate problems. They are, as Shetty describes them, "confounded crises," each amplifying the others. The World Food Program's data makes the scale concrete: nearly half a billion people without reliable access to adequate nutrition.

What Shetty emphasizes, speaking ahead of an October event at the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization in Rome, is that simply counting how many women gain access to digital tools misses the point entirely. "We need to look at what we have to do to ensure that investments in digital agriculture really benefit more women, rather than just talking about how many women we reached," she said. The distinction matters because access without affordability, without control, without a voice in design, is a hollow metric. Women in poorer countries often lack the collateral—land, property, savings—that traditional lenders demand. They may receive loans as cash rather than through accounts they control, which research shows reduces their ability to manage and retain the money. The financing architecture itself has been built without them in mind.

But there are models that work. In Ethiopia, the World Bank's Africa Gender Innovation Lab tested an alternative: psychometric testing to assess creditworthiness instead of demanding physical collateral. Over three years, 89 percent of women offered loans through this method borrowed formally, compared with just 42 percent in a comparison group. The loans also proved resilient. Women who received them maintained higher business survival rates through the COVID-19 pandemic and subsequent conflict in Ethiopia. In Uganda, a separate study found that women who received agricultural loans through mobile money accounts saw 15 percent higher profits than those receiving cash. The mechanism of delivery—who controls the money, how it flows—shapes the outcome as much as the amount itself.

The World Bank's GAFSP has invested nearly $2.5 billion across more than 300 projects in low-income countries since 2010, with 41 percent of beneficiaries being women. But the program has recently shifted its approach. Rather than simply expanding the number of women reached, it is now measuring whether access translates into skills, income, opportunity, and decision-making power. A project in Bangladesh illustrates the difference. Working with a local potato cooperative, GAFSP introduced women members to the FAO's RuralInvest digital tool for managing accounts and financial records. The result was not just that women could use the software; they developed an understanding of the cooperative's finances and business logic, which strengthened their position within the organization and opened new employment paths. The tool became a vehicle for empowerment, not just efficiency.

To scale this work, GAFSP has launched a new Business Investment Financing Track designed to address the gap faced by small and medium-sized agricultural enterprises. Initial investments of $14 million, in partnership with the African Development Bank, are intended to catalyze up to $200 million in private-sector lending across Ethiopia, Uganda, Tanzania, Malawi, and Zambia. A second allocation of $6 million, announced in September at the Africa Food Systems Forum in Kigali, aims to mobilize another $15 million from development and financial partners, supporting a $21 million package for smallholder farmers in Rwanda. The strategy uses grant funding to reduce risk and attract capital from both public and private sources.

Shetty frames this mobilization as necessary precisely because overseas development assistance has contracted. "In the wake of brutal cuts to overseas development assistance, leveraging private- and public-sector capital is critical to make the pie larger for everyone," she said. The challenge ahead is not whether women can benefit from digital agriculture—the evidence suggests they can, profoundly. It is whether the financial systems that govern access will be redesigned to meet them where they are, with products and delivery mechanisms that reflect their actual circumstances. Without that redesign, the tools remain out of reach, and the crises continue to fall hardest on those with the least capacity to absorb them.

We need to look at what we have to do to ensure that investments in digital agriculture really benefit more women, rather than just talking about how many women we reached.
— Shobha Shetty, World Bank senior agricultural adviser
In the wake of brutal cuts to overseas development assistance, leveraging private- and public-sector capital is critical to make the pie larger for everyone.
— Shobha Shetty
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