USDA Proposal to Narrow SNAP Eligibility Could Cut Off 6.3 Million People by 2029

An estimated 6.3 million people could lose SNAP food aid in 2029, including nearly 1.8 million children losing free school lunches.
6.3 million people would lose access to SNAP in 2029
The USDA's own analysis projects the scale of the loss if the proposed rule takes effect.
Mark

What does this rule actually change?

Mimi

It limits a policy in more than 40 states that lets households above SNAP's usual income cutoff qualify if they get TANF benefits. Under the rule, non-cash TANF benefits like childcare help or job training would no longer open that door.

Mark

Who is affected in practice?

Mimi

The Center on Budget and Policy Priorities says households just over 130% of the poverty line, about $35,500 for a family of three. The USDA projects 6.3 million people losing SNAP in 2029.

Luke

That 6.3 million is the agency's own projection, though. Is anyone disputing it?

Mimi

The Food Research and Action Center says the real number will be higher. Gina Plata-Nino said so directly, but the source doesn't show their own estimate.

Luke

Right, so "higher" is a stated belief, not a number. What about the administration's argument?

Mimi

The USDA says the policy lets wealthy households qualify, citing a hypothetical household with $1 million in wealth and no income. It also points to rising error rates and state shortcuts.

Luke

Worth noting that's a technical possibility described in the rule, not a count of how many such households exist. The reporting doesn't give one.

Mark

Why does the school lunch figure matter?

Mimi

Because SNAP status feeds into other programs. Nearly 1.8 million children would lose free school lunches, and 5,500 women would lose supplemental food aid.

Luke

And what's still unknown?

Mimi

Whether the rule survives public comment. A similar 2019 proposal was withdrawn in 2021, so the outcome isn't settled.

  • A single USDA proposal threatens food aid for roughly 6.3 million people, with the agency projecting a drop of about 17% in enrollment by 2029.
  • Households just above income limits, including those receiving childcare or job training through TANF, would be cut off from SNAP under the new rule.
  • Anti-hunger advocates and Democratic lawmakers call the change heartless, warning that 1.8 million children could lose free school lunches and that the true toll may be higher.
  • The administration defends the move as a fight against fraud and a closing of loopholes, while the rule sits open for public comment and could follow the 2019 proposal that was withdrawn in 2021.

On a Tuesday in November, the Department of Agriculture proposed closing a pathway that has carried millions of low-income households onto food assistance, a policy that more than forty states have long used to widen who can qualify. The agency's own estimate is that 6.3 million people would lose SNAP by 2029, and the reasoning is set against a familiar human tension: whether public help should be fenced tightly to those in the most need, or held open so that families just above a line are not pushed back into hunger. The rule now waits in its public comment period, as the country once again asks how generously it wants to feed its neighbors.

On Tuesday, the U.S. Department of Agriculture proposed a rule that would shut a route through which millions of low-income households reach food stamps. By the department's own analysis, 6.3 million people would lose access to the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program in 2029, when the rule would take effect, a drop of roughly 17% in enrollment.

The change targets broad-based categorical eligibility, used by more than 40 states. Under it, a household with income above SNAP's usual threshold can still qualify if it receives TANF benefits. The new rule would end that for non-cash TANF help such as childcare or job training. The Center on Budget and Policy Priorities says the cutoff would hit households earning just above 130% of the poverty line, about $35,500 a year for a family of three.

The effects would reach beyond SNAP. The USDA estimates nearly 1.8 million children would lose free school lunches, and about 5,500 low-income women would lose supplemental food aid. Gina Plata-Nino of the Food Research and Action Center believes those numbers may be too low.

The administration argues the policy has bloated the welfare rolls, allowed error rates to balloon, and let households far above federal limits receive benefits, including, in its example, someone with $1 million in wealth but no income. White House spokeswoman Allison Schuster said SNAP should serve only "eligible Americans who need it most."

Critics see a continuing assault on food assistance. Ty Jones Cox of CBPP said the administration was ignoring voters' concerns about affordability. Rep. Angie Craig called the proposal "heartless and cruel," and Plata-Nino noted that Congress authorized the policy long ago and that it simplifies access and cuts state administrative costs.

Advocates place the rule within a larger pattern. The 2025 "One Big Beautiful Bill" expanded work requirements, and states now carry a bigger share of administrative costs. USDA figures show more than 5 million Americans have lost food stamps since then. Plata-Nino warned that states are stretched too thin to keep running the program, and pointed to Federal Reserve Bank of New York research showing food insecurity has risen sharply since the pandemic.

The idea is not new. A similar proposal in 2019 was withdrawn by the Biden administration in 2021. Now the rule is open for public comment, and what follows will decide whether it is adopted and whether the 2029 start date holds.

On Tuesday, the U.S. Department of Agriculture put out a proposed rule that would close a door through which millions of low-income households now reach food stamps. By the department's own analysis, 6.3 million people would lose access to the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program in 2029, the year the rule would take effect. The agency projects that enrollment would fall by roughly 17%.

The change targets a policy known as broad-based categorical eligibility, which more than 40 states use. Under it, a household whose income is above SNAP's normal threshold can still qualify if it receives benefits through Temporary Assistance for Needy Families, or TANF. The new rule would end that for households receiving non-cash TANF benefits, such as childcare assistance or job training. The Center on Budget and Policy Priorities says the cutoff would fall on households with gross income just above 130% of the poverty line, about $35,500 a year for a family of three.

The effects would spread beyond SNAP. Many people qualify for other programs based on their SNAP status, and the USDA estimates that nearly 1.8 million children would lose access to free school lunches. About 5,500 low-income women would lose access to supplemental food aid for women and children. Gina Plata-Nino, SNAP director at the Food Research and Action Center, said her organization believes those figures may be too low. "We know that the impact is going to be higher," she told CBS News.

The administration's case rests on fraud and on what it sees as a loophole. In the rule's text, the USDA argues that current standards mean a household with $1 million in wealth but no income could technically receive food stamps. A USDA spokesperson said in an email that the policy has "bloated the welfare rolls for decades," letting states take shortcuts, allowing error rates to balloon, and extending the benefit to households with income and assets far above federal limits. White House spokeswoman Allison Schuster said the administration wants SNAP to serve only "eligible Americans who need it most," and that it will keep stopping fraudsters while taking cost-saving steps to make life more affordable.

Critics read it differently. Ty Jones Cox, vice president for food assistance at the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, said the administration was ignoring public sentiment on affordability expressed in the election and continuing attacks on food assistance. Rep. Angie Craig, a Minnesota Democrat and ranking member of the House Agriculture Committee, called the proposal "heartless and cruel." Plata-Nino noted that Congress authorized the policy long ago, and that it makes SNAP more accessible while lowering administrative costs for states.

Advocates see the rule as part of a larger effort. The "One Big Beautiful Bill," enacted in July 2025, expanded SNAP's work requirements. Since Oct. 1, states have also had to carry a larger share of the cost of administering the program, which advocates say could lead to further benefit cuts. USDA figures show more than 5 million Americans have lost access to food stamps since the law passed. "The states have so much on their plate that they cannot continue running the program," Plata-Nino said. She added that hunger is becoming more widespread, pointing to research from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York showing food insecurity has surged since the pandemic, and warned that the rule would worsen health outcomes.

The idea is not new. The Trump administration floated a similar proposal in 2019, and the Biden administration withdrew it two years later. This time, the rule is open for public comment, and what happens after that period will determine whether it is adopted and whether the 2029 start date holds.

We know that the impact is going to be higher.
— Gina Plata-Nino, SNAP director, Food Research and Action Center
The administration wants SNAP to serve only eligible Americans who need it most.
— Allison Schuster, White House spokeswoman (paraphrased)
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