US refineries now processing half of Venezuela's oil output under new arrangement

Without accountability mechanisms, the US risks entrenching a corrupt successor regime
Independent analysts warn that Washington's control of Venezuelan oil revenues lacks transparency and excludes opposition voices from governance decisions.
Mark

So the US essentially controls Venezuela's oil now. How did that happen so quickly?

Mimi

It wasn't quick—it was the culmination of years of pressure. But yes, after Maduro was removed, the new government had no leverage. The US had the refineries, the market access, the infrastructure. Venezuela needed to sell oil to survive. The US offered to help scale production back up, but on American terms.

Mark

And nobody's watching where the money goes?

Mimi

That's the real problem. Thirteen billion dollars collected, maybe more, and the public accounting stops at three billion. The State Department says it's being managed responsibly, but there's no independent verification. No opposition figures at the table. No transparency reports.

Mark

What does Venezuela actually get out of this?

Mimi

Oil revenue, which they desperately need. Naphtha imports to keep production flowing. But they're not controlling their own resources anymore. They're dependent on American decisions about how much money to release, what it can be spent on. It's a different kind of occupation.

Mark

Is this sustainable?

Mimi

That depends on whether the interim government can deliver results—jobs, services, stability. If it can't, and people see their oil wealth disappearing into an American-controlled account, the legitimacy problem becomes acute. The opposition is already skeptical. Without elections or real negotiations, you're building on sand.

Mark

What happens if Venezuela's opposition wins power?

Mimi

That's the question nobody's answering. Does the new government inherit this arrangement? Can they renegotiate? The Council on Foreign Relations is worried the US is locking in a system that will be hard to undo, regardless of who wins elections.

  • Over 500,000 barrels of Venezuelan crude arrive daily at US Gulf Coast refineries — a dramatic reversal from the 135,000 barrels reaching American shores just months before Maduro's removal.
  • Washington has collected more than $13 billion from Venezuelan oil sales in 2026 alone, yet has publicly accounted for only roughly $3 billion in disbursements, leaving a gap that critics call alarming.
  • The US supplies Venezuela with over 100,000 barrels of naphtha daily to keep production moving, deepening an operational interdependence that gives Washington leverage over the entire supply chain.
  • Venezuela's interim government is led by Maduro's own former vice president, and the country's democratic opposition — including Nobel laureate María Corina Machado — has been excluded from governance discussions entirely.
  • The Council on Foreign Relations warns that without accountability mechanisms or a democratic roadmap, the United States may simply be trading one authoritarian arrangement for another under the banner of partnership.

Seven months after Washington orchestrated the removal of Nicolás Maduro, Venezuela's vast oil reserves have been quietly reintegrated into the American energy economy — more than half a million barrels a day now flowing to Gulf Coast refineries built precisely to receive them. The arrangement speaks to an old pattern in hemispheric relations: a nation rich in resources finds its fortunes managed, at least in part, from abroad. What remains unresolved is whether this partnership will serve Venezuela's people or simply exchange one form of dependency for another, as billions in oil revenues accumulate under American oversight with little public accounting.

Seven months after the United States removed Nicolás Maduro and installed an interim government in Caracas, American refineries have become the dominant destination for Venezuelan crude. More than 500,000 barrels per day — nearly half of Venezuela's total output of 1.25 million barrels — now flow to Gulf Coast facilities engineered specifically to process the heavy, sour crude Venezuela produces. Under Secretary of Energy Kyle Haustveit called it a "beautiful energy partnership" at a Houston industry conference, where PDVSA vice president Jovanny Martinez reported production nearing 1.245 million barrels per day and exports rising nearly 20 percent for the year.

Venezuela holds the world's largest proven oil reserves — an estimated 303 billion barrels — yet decades of mismanagement and sanctions had reduced it to producing just 1 percent of global output. The resumption of large-scale trade has been enabled in part by the United States supplying over 100,000 barrels daily of naphtha, which Venezuelan operators blend with heavier crude to ease transport and refining. The operational interdependence runs deep.

What remains deeply opaque is the financial architecture behind the arrangement. President Trump stated that Washington would control revenues from Venezuelan oil sales, with Secretary of State Marco Rubio telling Congress that Caracas must submit monthly budget requests subject to American pre-approval. The Financial Times reported the US collected over $13 billion from Venezuelan oil in 2026 alone — yet the administration has disclosed almost nothing about how those funds were spent. Only around $3 billion has been authorized for disbursement to Venezuela, leaving a gap of at least $10 billion unaccounted for.

The Council on Foreign Relations raised pointed concerns in June, noting that the Trump administration has not publicly disclosed volumes sold, revenues collected, or expenditures made — and that Venezuelan gold and mineral exports under American control face the same opacity. More troubling still, Venezuela's democratic opposition, including Nobel laureate María Corina Machado, has been shut out of governance discussions entirely. The interim government is led by Decly Rodriguez, Maduro's former vice president. Without accountability or a democratic roadmap, the Council warned, Washington risks entrenching a corrupt successor regime rather than restoring the sovereignty it claimed to be liberating.

Seven months after the United States removed President Nicolas Maduro from power and installed an interim government in Caracas, American refineries have become the primary destination for Venezuelan crude. More than half a million barrels per day now flow from Venezuela to Gulf Coast facilities—out of a national production total of roughly 1.25 million barrels daily. Under Secretary of Energy Kyle Haustveit announced the figure at an industry conference in Houston, describing the arrangement as a "beautiful energy partnership" that creates value for both nations.

Venezuela sits atop the world's largest proven oil reserves, an estimated 303 billion barrels representing about 17 percent of global supplies. Yet decades of neglect and international sanctions had reduced the country to producing just 1 percent of world output. By late 2025, production had fallen to around 1 million barrels per day, with only 135,000 barrels reaching American shores. The crude Venezuela produces is heavy and sour—precisely the type that US Gulf Coast refineries were engineered to process. The resumption of large-scale Venezuelan imports represents a direct economic benefit to those facilities, which had adapted their operations to handle this specific grade of oil.

The mechanics of the arrangement reveal Washington's deepening involvement in Venezuelan energy operations. The United States is supplying more than 100,000 barrels daily of naphtha, a lighter hydrocarbon product, which Venezuelan operators blend with heavier crude to make it easier to transport and refine. Jovanny Martinez, a vice president at Venezuela's state oil company PDVSA, told the same Houston gathering that output would reach 1.245 million barrels per day by month's end, with exports climbing 19.7 percent for the year. Fuel production has risen 12.9 percent, he noted, allowing Venezuela to supply 5.4 percent more energy domestically. "We made a big effort for an energy reform, and now we're looking for real results in terms of development," Martinez said.

But the financial architecture underlying this partnership remains largely opaque. President Trump has stated that Washington will control the money generated from Venezuelan oil sales, ensuring it benefits both Venezuela and the United States. Secretary of State Marco Rubio told Congress that revenue would flow into an account subject to American oversight, with Caracas required to submit monthly budget requests and Washington pre-approving allowable uses. The Financial Times reported in July that the US had collected more than $13 billion from Venezuelan oil sales in 2026 alone—a figure Trump claimed was actually higher. Yet the administration has disclosed almost nothing about how those funds have been deployed. A State Department official told Congress in April that roughly $3 billion had been authorized for disbursement to Venezuela, leaving a gap of at least $10 billion in accounting.

The lack of transparency has drawn scrutiny from independent analysts. The Council on Foreign Relations noted in June that despite repeatedly framing oil revenue control as mutually beneficial, the Trump administration has not publicly disclosed how much crude it has sold, how much money it collected, or where the funds went. The opacity extends to Venezuelan gold and other mineral exports that Washington also controls. The think tank raised a deeper concern: the exclusion of Venezuela's opposition and civil society from discussions about the country's future governance. The interim government is led by Decly Rodriguez, Maduro's former vice president. "Without accountability mechanisms or a clear democratic roadmap, the United States risks entrenching a corrupt successor regime," the Council warned. Venezuela's opposition, including Nobel laureate Maria Corina Machado, had proposed in May a roadmap calling for presidential elections and political negotiations—a vision that appears to have gained no traction in Washington's dealings with the interim administration.

A beautiful energy partnership with real value being created on both sides of the trade
— Under Secretary of Energy Kyle Haustveit
Without accountability mechanisms or a clear democratic roadmap, the United States risks entrenching a corrupt successor regime
— Council on Foreign Relations
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