Trump's Government Management Approval Slips in AP-NORC Poll, Led by Republican Decline

The decline is led by members of his own party.
An AP-NORC poll finds Republicans driving a drop in approval of Trump's management of government since March.
Mark

So what actually changed in this poll?

Mimi

Approval of how Trump is managing the federal government is lower than it was in March, and Republicans are leading that decline.

Mark

But his overall approval didn't move?

Mimi

Right, it's been steady since October. The drop is specific to the management question.

Luke

Before we read too much into it, do we know how big the drop is? The reporting here doesn't give the numbers.

Mimi

No, it doesn't. We know the direction and who is driving it, not the size.

Mark

Why does it matter that Republicans are the ones moving?

Mimi

They're typically his most dependable supporters, so any softening there stands out.

Luke

Though the margin of error is 3.8 points for adults overall, and it would be wider for a subgroup like Republicans. Small shifts could be noise.

Mark

And the reason for the decline?

Luke

Unknown. The poll reports the change, not the cause, and anything beyond that would be guessing.

Mimi

So the useful next step is watching whether later polls show the same slippage.

  • Trump's approval of government management has dropped since March, and the sharpest pullback is coming from Republicans, the base he has counted on most.
  • Overall approval has stayed flat since October, so the trouble is confined to how the government is being run rather than to the president himself.
  • The poll, fielded November 6 to 10 with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.8 points, offers a clear signal but no explanation for why Republicans are wavering.
  • Observers will be watching whether the Republican slippage repeats in future surveys and whether it begins to strain party cohesion behind the president.

In mid-November, an AP-NORC poll of 1,143 American adults revealed a quiet shift in how the country judges its leader: approval of President Trump's management of the federal government has slipped since March, and the erosion is led by Republicans, the very group that has long anchored his support. Yet his overall standing has held roughly steady since October, suggesting that the public's doubt is narrower than a broad rejection, concentrated on whether the machinery of government is being run well. The survey cannot yet say why this discontent is taking root among his own party, nor whether it marks the beginning of a lasting change or a passing reading.

A new AP-NORC poll shows Americans less likely than in March to approve of how President Donald Trump is managing the federal government, and the slide is led by members of his own party. Republicans are the ones driving the decline, a notable development given how reliably they have backed him.

The finding stands next to a steadier figure. Trump's overall approval has held roughly flat since October, according to the same survey. The change, then, is not a general collapse in how the president is viewed, but something narrower, centered on whether the government is being run well.

The poll surveyed 1,143 adults from November 6 to 10 using NORC's AmeriSpeak Panel, a probability-based sample meant to represent the U.S. population. Its margin of sampling error is plus or minus 3.8 percentage points, a reminder to read small movements between surveys with care. The source material does not provide the specific percentages behind the decline, so the size of the change, particularly among Republicans, cannot be stated here.

The poll does not explain why Republicans are less approving, nor whether this dip is the start of a longer trend. The question to watch is whether the Republican slippage on government management appears again in later surveys, and whether it eventually reaches overall approval or loosens the party's cohesion behind him.

A new AP-NORC poll finds that Americans are less likely than they were in March to approve of how President Donald Trump is managing the federal government, and that the slide is led by members of his own party. Republicans, in other words, are driving the decline.

The finding sits alongside a steadier number. Trump's overall approval rating has held roughly flat since October, according to the same survey. So the change is not a general collapse in how the president is viewed. It is narrower than that, concentrated on the question of how well the government is being run.

The poll surveyed 1,143 adults from Nov. 6 to Nov. 10. Respondents were drawn from NORC's AmeriSpeak Panel, a probability-based sample that is designed to be representative of the U.S. population. The margin of sampling error for adults overall is plus or minus 3.8 percentage points, a reminder that small movements between surveys should be read with some care.

The comparison point is March, so the measure covers several months of change rather than a single month's shift. Over that stretch, approval of Trump's handling of the government has fallen across the public, with Republicans showing the notable drop. The source material does not give the specific percentages behind that decline, so the size of the change among Republicans, or among any other group, is not something this account can state.

The distinction between overall approval and approval on government management matters. A president can hold a steady general rating while support on a particular front erodes, and this poll shows exactly that split. Republicans have typically been the most reliable source of Trump's support, which is why movement within that group draws attention even when the headline number stays put.

What the poll does not explain is why Republicans are less approving. It reports the shift, not the reasons behind it. Nor does it say whether the dip is the start of a longer trend or a temporary reading.

The thing to watch is whether the Republican slippage on government management shows up again in later surveys, and whether it eventually reaches Trump's overall approval or affects how cohesive the party is behind him. The AP-NORC report was filed with reporting from Colvin in New York.

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