In a November survey by the AP-NORC Center, fewer Americans said they approve of how President Donald Trump is running the federal government than did in March, a shift led by Republicans, the very voters who have historically anchored his standing. Yet his broader approval has held steady since October, so the change so far lives in one corner of his record rather than across his presidency as a whole. Like many early signals in a long term, it is a reminder that a government's machinery is judged separately from the person at its head, and that the public's verdict on each can drift at diffe
Trump's Government Management Approval Slips in AP-NORC Poll, Especially Among Republicans
The drop is sharpest among the president's own party.
Mark
So what actually changed in this poll?
Mimi
Fewer people approve of how Trump manages the government than did in March. Republicans show the biggest drop.
Mark
But his overall approval didn't move?
Mimi
Right. It's been steady since October. The decline is on one specific question, not the whole picture.
Luke
Do we know how big the drop is? I haven't seen a number.
Mimi
Not in what's been reported here. We know the direction and the group, not the size.
Luke
Then I'd be careful with the word 'slips.' It's a real finding, but without percentages we can't say whether it's a dent or a crater.
Mark
Why does Republican movement matter more?
Mimi
They're his base of support. Cracks there tend to matter more than losses among people who already disapproved.
Luke
Though subgroup samples are smaller, so the error margin for Republicans is wider than the 3.8 points for all adults. And the poll shows what changed, not why.
Mark
So the thing to watch is whether it continues.
Mimi
Yes, and whether it eventually pulls overall approval down with it.
Il Polso
- A poll of 1,143 adults taken November 6 to 10 shows approval of Trump's government management slipping since March.
- The erosion is sharpest among Republicans, the base that has been most reliably behind him.
- Overall approval has not moved since October, so the strain has not yet spread to his presidency as a whole.
- With a margin of error of 3.8 points, and wider for subgroups, analysts will be watching the next surveys to see whether the Republican slide holds or reverses.
In a November survey by the AP-NORC Center, fewer Americans said they approve of how President Donald Trump is running the federal government than did in March, a shift led by Republicans, the very voters who have historically anchored his standing. Yet his broader approval has held steady since October, so the change so far lives in one corner of his record rather than across his presidency as a whole. Like many early signals in a long term, it is a reminder that a government's machinery is judged separately from the person at its head, and that the public's verdict on each can drift at different speeds.
A new AP-NORC poll finds that Americans are less likely now than in March to approve of how President Donald Trump is managing the government. The drop is steepest among Republicans, the group most inclined to support him, which is what makes the finding stand out.
The survey ran from November 6 to 10 and reached 1,143 adults drawn from a probability-based panel meant to represent the whole country. Its sampling error is plus or minus 3.8 points overall, and larger for smaller groups like Republicans, so small movements deserve caution.
The picture is narrower than it first looks. Trump's overall approval has held steady since October. The government-management question asks how he runs the federal bureaucracy, while the overall question asks about his presidency generally, and so far only the first has slipped.
The poll does not report the exact percentages for either month, nor explain why views have changed. It is one snapshot, and what comes next is whether the Republican slippage continues and whether it eventually reaches his overall numbers.
A new poll from The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research finds that Americans are less likely now than they were in March to approve of how President Donald Trump is managing the government. The decline is sharpest among Republicans, the group most likely to back him.
The survey was conducted Nov. 6 to 10 and reached 1,143 adults. Respondents were drawn from NORC's AmeriSpeak Panel, a probability-based sample designed to be representative of the U.S. population. The margin of sampling error for adults overall is plus or minus 3.8 percentage points, which matters when reading any shift in the numbers, and matters more when looking at subgroups such as Republicans, where the margin is typically larger.
The finding is narrow in one respect. Trump's overall approval rating has held steady since October, according to the poll. So the erosion on government management has not yet shown up in the broader measure of how Americans view his presidency. The two questions are related but distinct: one asks about the president's job performance in general, the other about how he is handling the running of the federal government specifically.
The comparison point is March, several weeks into the current term. Since then, the share approving of his handling of government management has fallen. The source summary of the poll does not supply the specific percentages for either month, so the size of the drop is not spelled out here. What it does establish is the direction of the change and who is driving it: Republicans are moving away from approval more than the public as a whole.
That detail is what gives the poll its weight. A president's standing with his own party is typically the floor beneath his overall numbers. When members of that party grow more hesitant on one measure of performance, even while their overall view stays put, it can be an early sign of a softening that has not yet spread.
The report was written by The Associated Press, with Colvin reporting from New York. The poll is one snapshot, taken over five days, and it does not say why respondents changed their views.
What to watch next is whether the slippage among Republicans continues in later AP-NORC surveys, and whether it eventually reaches Trump's overall approval number, which for now has not moved since October.
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