Trump Says Iran Wants a Settlement as U.S. Strikes Near Hormuz and Talks Stall Before Midterms

Iranian civilians face soaring inflation and economic strain, and Houthi and Saudi strikes in Yemen and Saudi Arabia continue, though casualty figures were not provided.
Everything has become more expensive, but she can at least get a coffee
A 28-year-old Tehran woman describes how eight months of war have reshaped daily life.
Mark

Why do the strikes and the peace talk arrive on the same day?

Mimi

Because both tracks are running at once. The U.S. calls the Qeshm strikes limited and defensive, a response to fire on an aircraft, while Qatar keeps mediating and Trump says a deal could happen.

Luke

Worth noting the strike account comes from anonymous U.S. officials. We have no independent confirmation of what was hit or of the circumstances.

Mark

And the oil drop?

Mimi

Brent fell 7.4% to $105.03. Markets are reading the diplomacy as hopeful.

Luke

But Brent has swung between $70 and $120 since before the war. One day's move isn't a trend, and one analyst called the signals possibly tactical.

Mark

What about Netanyahu?

Mimi

Several sources say he wants a major air campaign after the election, and that Trump hasn't decided.

Luke

Those are anonymous officials relaying classified briefings. The White House didn't directly respond and Israel hadn't commented.

Mark

Is there any confirmed framework for a deal?

Mimi

Two regional officials describe one: Iran stops attacks in Hormuz, the U.S. lifts its port blockade.

Luke

Described, not announced. No public agreement exists, and Iran says the ball is in Washington's court.

  • Limited U.S. strikes on Qeshm Island landed on the same day Iran's Revolutionary Guard fired on an American aircraft, pushing the fragile calm toward open fire.
  • Three days of closed-door Qatari-led talks have produced no visible breakthrough, even as officials on both sides speak of progress and intensive exchanges.
  • Brent crude plunged more than 7 percent to near $105 a barrel on hopes of a settlement, yet ships are still being struck near Oman and analysts expect energy prices to stay high.
  • Netanyahu is reportedly pressing Trump for a quick, extensive air campaign after the midterms, while Trump, undecided, lets the next round of talks determine the course.
  • Inside Iran, rising prices are squeezing ordinary lives, and Houthi and Saudi strikes continue across Yemen and Saudi Arabia with no reliable casualty count.

On the eve of American midterm voting, a war now eight months old between the United States and Iran shows the familiar pattern of violence and bargaining moving side by side. Limited American strikes near the Strait of Hormuz, answering an Iranian attack on a U.S. aircraft, unfolded even as Qatari mediators carried quiet, unfinished talks toward a framework that might reopen the strait and lift the blockade of Iranian ports. Whether the optimism voiced in Washington and Tehran becomes settlement or merely another pause before escalation remains unsettled, and it may hinge on choices made after the ballots are counted.

On Monday evening, with American voters a day from the midterm ballot, U.S. forces struck Iranian targets near the Strait of Hormuz. American officials described the strikes as limited and defensive, aimed at Qeshm Island after Iran's Revolutionary Guard fired on a U.S. aircraft. The strikes arrived in the middle of a diplomatic push. The war, now eight months old, began in late February with American and Israeli attacks on Iran, and Qatar has spent three days hosting indirect, closed-door talks between Washington and Tehran without any visible breakthrough.

Still, the language coming out of both capitals has softened. President Trump wrote that a deal "could happen" and that Iran wants a settlement as soon as possible. Vice President JD Vance said he and the president were both optimistic and had made progress, and Axios reported he had sent a letter to Iran's national security chief, the administration's highest-level outreach in months. Qatari mediators are reportedly working on a framework in which Iran would halt its attacks in the strait and Washington would lift its blockade of Iranian ports, with more talks planned this week. Markets responded quickly, and oil fell more than 7 percent, though analysts warn the administration's signals may be tactical and that attacks on shipping continue.

Pressure is also coming from Jerusalem. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is reportedly pushing for a fast, large air campaign after Tuesday's vote, while Trump has not decided and prefers to let negotiations run. Regional allies fear that renewed strikes would inflame the Houthis, Iraqi militias and the wider region. Iran, for its part, insists the messages it is receiving amount to an acknowledgment of its victory.

The human cost continues to spread. In Yemen, Houthi and Saudi strikes go on, with no reliable count of casualties. In Tehran, cafes remain crowded, though a 28-year-old celebrating her birthday there says everything has grown more expensive since the war began. She can still afford a coffee, but not a trip or a new phone. Whether the next round of talks and Trump's post-election decision lead to a settlement or a return to full war will determine what comes next.

On Monday evening, with American voters a day from casting midterm ballots, U.S. forces struck Iranian targets near the Strait of Hormuz. Multiple U.S. officials told CBS News the strikes were limited and defensive. One senior military official said they were aimed at Qeshm Island in southern Iran, in response to Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps firing on a U.S. aircraft. The Wall Street Journal reported the strikes first.

They came in the middle of a diplomatic push. The war, now eight months old, began in late February with U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran. Qatar has led three consecutive days of indirect, closed-door negotiations between Washington and Tehran, and no breakthrough has been apparent. Iran said Monday that "the ball is in the U.S. court." Iranian officials also described "intensive" exchanges and offered to reopen the Strait of Hormuz under strict conditions.

President Trump wrote on Truth Social that a deal "could happen" and that "Iran wants a settlement, as soon as possible." Vice President JD Vance said he and Trump were both optimistic. "We've certainly made some progress. We'll see if we can make some more," he told reporters. Axios reported that Vance had sent a letter to Mohsen Rezaei, Iran's national security chief, about possible new talks, the highest-level move from the administration in months.

Two regional officials told the Associated Press that Qatari mediators held two rounds of talks last week and are working on a framework. Under it, Iran would stop its attacks in the Strait of Hormuz and the U.S. would lift its blockade of Iran's ports. More talks are planned this week. The officials spoke anonymously because they were describing classified briefings.

Markets reacted. Oil, driven up by Iran's blockade of the strait, fell more than 7% on Monday. Brent crude dropped 7.4% to $105.03 a barrel. Brent has swung between roughly $70 and $120 since just before the war began, and it reverses quickly. Arne Lohmann Rasmussen, chief analyst at Global Risk Management, said the administration's signals "may be tactical" ahead of the midterms. She noted that attacks on Hormuz shipping continue and that her firm still expects higher-for-longer energy prices. UKMTO reported that another vessel was hit Sunday by an unknown projectile about nine nautical miles off Lima, Oman. It left a hole in the starboard side, and the captain reported all crew safe.

Trump spoke about Iran several times in his last scheduled remarks before the election. "I don't know if you even call it a war because we haven't been doing any fighting for months," he said, adding that he hoped voters remember, in the booth, that he had to stop Iran from getting a nuclear weapon.

Pressure is also coming from another direction. Two regional officials and a third person familiar with the matter told AP that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is pushing for a new wave of strikes after Tuesday's election. Axios had reported that Netanyahu urged Trump to strike during a weekend call, while Trump preferred to let negotiations play out. One official said Netanyahu is working with senior U.S. officials to win support for a quick but extensive air campaign, and that Trump does not appear to have decided. Other regional allies warn that more strikes would destabilize the region and could push the Houthis in Yemen to escalate attacks on Saudi Arabia and Red Sea shipping, and could draw in Iran-backed militias in Iraq. The White House did not directly answer questions about the call, and Israel did not immediately comment.

Iran's own messaging is defiant. First Vice President Mohammad Reza Aref said, per state media, that the messages arriving through intermediaries amount to an acknowledgment of Iran's "victory." Rezaei spoke with Vladimir Putin on Monday about "strategic cooperation," according to Tasnim.

In Yemen, Houthi spokesman Brig. Gen. Yahya Saree said Saudi warplanes launched 109 airstrikes in 24 hours, bringing the total to 3,939 since fighting escalated this fall. He also claimed Houthi drones hit Dammam Airport and a radar in Jizan. Saudi officials did not confirm or deny the claims.

In Tehran, cafes stay crowded. Mitra Alipour, 28, celebrating her birthday at one, told AFP that everything has become more expensive since the war began. She can no longer travel or afford a new phone, but can still afford a coffee. The next round of Qatari-led talks, and Trump's decision after the election, will show whether this ends in a settlement or a return to war.

Iran wants a settlement, as soon as possible.
— President Trump, on Truth Social
We've certainly made some progress. We'll see if we can make some more.
— Vice President JD Vance
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