Trump Hints at Renewed Iran Strikes as Tehran Denies Offering to Reopen Hormuz for Blockade Relief

"Maybe tomorrow" — and also, maybe a big, beautiful agreement
Trump left both strikes and a deal open when asked about Iran after voting in Florida.
Mark

Trump said "maybe tomorrow." How seriously should we take that?

Mimi

It reads as deliberate ambiguity. He named Sunday as a possibility, then in the same breath talked about a big, beautiful agreement. Both outcomes were left open.

Luke

Worth noting that it's a hint, not an announcement. Nothing in the reporting says strikes are planned or ordered.

Mark

And the rally comments about "another little Epic Fury"?

Mimi

That's him pointing back to the earlier US campaign against Iran and saying it could be repeated if talks fail. It was said to a cheering crowd, so it's partly political theater.

Luke

Partly, maybe, but I can't tell you that from the reporting. We only know what he said and where he said it.

Mark

Iran denied offering to reopen Hormuz for blockade relief. Does that close the matter?

Mimi

Not quite. Tasnim said no fresh proposal went to Pakistani mediators. But Araghchi said on October 18 that a seven-day reopening proposal was still on the table and that the US had sent comments.

Luke

Keep the sourcing in view. The original claim came from a Saudi outlet. The denial comes from Tasnim, which is IRGC-affiliated. Neither is independently verified here, and "no fresh proposal" doesn't contradict an older one still being reviewed.

Mark

So what's actually unknown?

Luke

Whether any offer was passed through Pakistan, what the US comments on the seven-day plan said, and whether Trump intends to act.

  • Trump refuses to rule out new strikes on Iran, saying they could come as early as Sunday.
  • Tehran dismisses reports of a Hormuz-for-blockade offer as a lie and fabrication, stirring doubt about what either side is truly offering.
  • Araghchi insists a seven-day plan to reopen the Strait of Hormuz remains on the table, leaving a narrow thread of diplomacy alive.
  • Pakistani mediators are being watched as the only visible channel that could bridge a gap that is widening by the day.

On a Saturday when the American president had just cast his ballot, the old question of war and peace returned to the Persian Gulf, where a narrow strait carries much of the world's energy and has become the bargaining chip in a standoff between Washington and Tehran. Donald Trump declined to rule out fresh strikes, suggesting they could come as soon as Sunday, even as he left open the possibility of an agreement he would call large and beautiful. Iran, through a media outlet tied to its Revolutionary Guard, denied reports that it had offered to reopen the strait in exchange for lifting the American naval blockade, though its foreign minister had earlier said a seven-day reopening plan still stood. Whether the threat of force or the patient work of mediators will shape what comes next remains an open question.

Donald Trump had just voted in Florida on Saturday when reporters asked whether the United States would strike Iran again. He would not rule it out. "Maybe tomorrow," he said, though he also spoke of a possible deal that would reopen the Strait of Hormuz. He doubted Tehran would keep its word, and at a rally later he warned that Washington might launch "another little Epic Fury" if Iran refused to bargain.

In Tehran, the response was swift and angry. The Tasnim news agency, close to the Revolutionary Guard, called reports of a deal to reopen Hormuz in exchange for lifting the US naval blockade a "lie and fabrication." Iran, it said, had made no fresh offer to Pakistani mediators.

Yet only days earlier, Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi had spoken of a seven-day proposal to reopen the strait, still under review after American comments. His words carried a sharp edge: Iran saw little honesty in Washington, but insisted the path to reopening was clear.

So the two capitals speak in mixed signals. Washington keeps both the threat and the door open, while Tehran denies a new offer yet keeps its old plan alive. What happens next will depend on whether the strikes come, or whether the mediators in Islamabad can narrow the distance between them.

Donald Trump had just cast his ballot in Florida on Saturday when reporters asked him whether the United States would strike Iran again. He did not rule it out. "Do you really think I would tell you that? Maybe tomorrow," he said, adding that there was a possibility he would act and also a possibility of what he called a nice, big, beautiful agreement. The remarks put the earliest possible date for renewed military action at Sunday.

Trump said Iran wants a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, the strategically vital waterway at the center of the standoff. But he questioned whether Tehran would keep its word. "They want to make a deal, but the problem is, will they hold the deal?" he asked.

Later, at a campaign rally in Florida, he turned sharper. He warned that the US could launch another operation if Iran failed to reach an agreement. "We may do another little Epic Fury, or they'll agree," he told a cheering crowd, a reference to the earlier US military campaign against Iran. He said that if Iranian leaders are smart, they will say, "Let's get down to business," but added that he doubts they will, because perhaps they are not smart.

Tehran, meanwhile, rejected reports that it had offered to reopen Hormuz in return for Washington lifting its naval blockade. The Tasnim news agency, which is affiliated with the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, said Iran had made no fresh proposal to Pakistani mediators. It called a report by a Saudi Arabian outlet, which claimed Iran had passed such an offer to Washington through Pakistan, a "lie and fabrication." Press TV carried the denial.

The denial follows those reports that Iran was prepared to reopen the waterway if the US ended its blockade. It also sits alongside an earlier public position. On October 18, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, speaking to Iranian media in Baghdad, said Tehran's proposal to reopen the strait within seven days remained on the table. He said the US had shared comments on that proposal and that Iran was reviewing them.

Araghchi was pointed about American intentions. "Our situation is clear and based on the seven-days proposal presented to the US," he said. "If there is any honesty on the US part, which there isn't, the way to reopening the Strait of Hormuz is obvious."

The two sides are therefore sending mixed signals at once. Washington says a diplomatic settlement remains possible while Trump keeps the threat of further strikes alive. Tehran says it has made no new offer, yet its foreign minister says an existing seven-day reopening plan is still being discussed. The reports of a Hormuz-for-blockade swap came from a Saudi outlet and were denied by an IRGC-linked agency, and the source does not independently confirm either account.

What to watch now is whether Washington acts on the strike threat or engages with Iran's proposal, and whether Pakistani mediators can narrow the gap between the two.

We may do another little Epic Fury, or they'll agree.
— Donald Trump, at a campaign rally in Florida
If there is any honesty on the US part, which there isn't, the way to reopening the Strait of Hormuz is obvious.
— Abbas Araghchi, Iranian Foreign Minister, October 18
Contattaci Domande frequenti