Trump Faces Midterm Test as Republicans Fight to Hold Congress on Election Day

A suspicion from officials, not a finding, aimed at 20,000 ballots
The administration asked the Supreme Court to set aside California mail ballots; lower courts refused.
Mark

Start with the basics. What is actually on the ballot today?

Mimi

All 435 House seats and 35 Senate seats. Republicans hold the majorities now, and Democrats want both chambers back.

Mark

The California request seems like the strangest piece. What happened there?

Mimi

The administration asked the Supreme Court to temporarily set aside mail ballots from more than 20,000 California voters. Federal officials suspect they may be noncitizens. Lower courts had already said no.

Luke

Worth stressing that word, suspect. The reporting gives us a suspicion from officials, not a finding that those voters are noncitizens. And we don't know what the Supreme Court has done with the request.

Mark

And Alaska?

Mimi

A judge dismissed a Justice Department suit that tried to block certification of the Senate result if Senator Dan Sullivan loses. The department has appealed.

Luke

That one is a bit hypothetical on its face. The suit was about what happens if Sullivan loses, and we don't have a result yet. The appeal is real, though.

Mark

What about Michigan?

Mimi

Haley Stevens lost the primary to Abdul El-Sayed, then withdrew her support for him and endorsed Republican Mike Rogers. Michigan Democrats are visibly split.

Luke

How much that split costs El-Sayed in votes is not something this reporting can tell us. It shows division, not an outcome.

Mark

And the early vote?

Mimi

More than 54.5 million ballots were in by 10 a.m. Eastern on November 1, per the University of Florida Election Lab.

Luke

That's one source's tally, and early turnout alone doesn't say who is winning.

  • A Supreme Court request to set aside more than 20,000 California mail ballots, already rejected below, is pulling the election into a courtroom fight on the eve of voting.
  • The Justice Department's Alaska suit, which sought to halt certification of a Senate result if Dan Sullivan loses, was dismissed, and the department has appealed, keeping the outcome's legitimacy in doubt.
  • Michigan Democrats are fracturing as Haley Stevens endorses Republican Mike Rogers over her party's own nominee, Abdul El-Sayed, days before the vote.
  • With more than 54.5 million early ballots already cast, the nation is racing toward a verdict whose legal aftermath may be decided as much in court as at the polls.

On the eve of a midterm vote that will decide which party steers the House and Senate, the American republic finds itself weighing not only ballots but the very rules by which ballots are counted. A president making his last appeal to voters has also asked the highest court to set aside tens of thousands of mail ballots on suspicion, not proof, that some belonged to noncitizens, a request lower courts have already declined. In the quieter corners of the same season, a dismissed lawsuit in Alaska and a fractured Democratic camp in Michigan remind us that democracy is contested not only at the polls but in the courtrooms and party rooms that surround them.

On the eve of the vote, with the polls about to open, President Donald Trump made a final campaign pitch on Monday, November 2. At the same moment, his administration was asking the Supreme Court to temporarily set aside mail ballots from more than 20,000 California voters, whom federal officials suspect may be noncitizens. Lower courts had already turned the request away, and the source does not yet say how the Supreme Court will respond.

All 435 House seats and 35 Senate seats are on the ballot on Tuesday, November 3. Republicans defend their majorities while Democrats seek to win back both chambers, in a contest shaped by Trump's second-term policies and a set of election-related legal disputes.

In Alaska, a judge dismissed a Justice Department lawsuit that sought to block certification of the Senate result should Republican Senator Dan Sullivan lose. The department has appealed. In Michigan, Haley Stevens endorsed Republican Mike Rogers after withdrawing support from Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed, deepening divisions in her party.

More than 54.5 million people had already cast early ballots by Sunday morning, according to the University of Florida Election Lab. Vice President JD Vance, meanwhile, said there is no strict deadline for Iran to agree to a verifiable pledge not to rebuild its nuclear programme, a deal he believes is possible. Trump has said he does not plan new strikes on Iran before the midterms.

On the eve of the vote, with the polls about to open, President Donald Trump made his final campaign pitch on Monday, November 2. His administration was at the same time asking the Supreme Court for something unusual: to temporarily set aside mail ballots from more than 20,000 California voters whom federal officials suspect may be noncitizens. Lower courts had already rejected the request.

The midterm elections take place on Tuesday, November 3. All 435 House seats are on the ballot, along with 35 Senate seats. Republicans are defending their majorities in both chambers, and Democrats are trying to win back the House and the Senate. The contest is shaped by the policies of Trump's second term, by races in key states and by a set of election-related legal disputes.

The California request is one of those disputes. The source does not say how the Supreme Court has responded, only that lower courts turned the administration away. Officials suspect the voters in question may be noncitizens, which is a suspicion rather than a finding, and the ballots at issue number more than 20,000.

A second dispute is in Alaska. There, a judge dismissed a Justice Department lawsuit that sought to block certification of the Senate result if Republican Senator Dan Sullivan loses. The department has appealed. Together, the California and Alaska cases have put the administration's intervention in the election under scrutiny.

In Michigan, a closely watched Senate race has opened a rift among Democrats. Haley Stevens endorsed Republican Mike Rogers after withdrawing her support for Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed, who had defeated her in the Senate primary. Her move has widened divisions within the state party just as the general election arrives.

Millions of Americans have already voted. According to the University of Florida Election Lab, more than 54.5 million people had cast early ballots by 10 a.m. Eastern on Sunday, November 1.

Foreign policy also surfaced on the eve of the vote. Vice President JD Vance said the administration has set no strict deadline for Iran to reach an agreement that would avoid a possible resumption of US strikes. Washington's main concern, he said, is a firm and verifiable commitment from Tehran not to rebuild its nuclear programme. "We want to make sure they don't rebuild it or try to rebuild it," he said, calling that what matters most to the United States. He added that he believed Iran values its sovereignty and economic recovery, and that a deal was possible if it made such a commitment. Trump has said in recent weeks that he does not plan to launch fresh strikes on Iran before the midterms.

What to watch now: the result in the House and Senate, whether the Justice Department's Alaska appeal matters if the Senate race is close, and whether the Supreme Court acts on the California ballots.

We want to make sure they don't rebuild it or try to rebuild it. That's what matters most to the United States.
— Vice President JD Vance, on Iran's nuclear programme
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