Trump Declares Iran Interim Accord 'Over' and Warns of Fresh US Strikes After Gulf Base Attacks

"The era of bullying and extortion is over. We don't fold."
Iranian negotiator Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf answered the U.S. strikes and the revoked oil licence on X.
Mark

Trump said the deal is "over." Is it?

Mimi

Not formally, as far as the reporting shows. He said "I think it's over," then said his negotiators could keep talking. A source says he didn't repeat it before NATO leaders.

Luke

Right, so it's a personal judgment, not an announced withdrawal. It's also unclear whether negotiations continue.

Mark

What set this off?

Mimi

Attacks on three tankers in the Strait of Hormuz. The U.S. struck Iranian targets, including more than 60 IRGC small boats according to CENTCOM, and revoked the oil-sales licence.

Luke

Worth noting Trump's figure is 28 boats knocked out. Those two numbers aren't the same thing, and the reporting doesn't reconcile them.

Mark

And Iran's response?

Mimi

The Guards say they targeted U.S. sites in Bahrain and Kuwait and downed an MQ-9. Bahrain says it thwarted the attacks.

Luke

Those are claims from each side. The drone shootdown and the extent of damage aren't independently confirmed here, and Kharg Island explosions were reported by Iranian media while CENTCOM said nothing about it.

Mark

Why did oil jump?

Mimi

Brent rose over 5% to $78.48, with at least four tankers turning back. Inventories are already drawn down.

Luke

And the "hit them hard tonight" warning is a forecast, not an event. Trump has backed off threats before, so what actually happens is still unknown.

  • Trump told reporters the June 17 interim deal with Iran was 'over' and that new US strikes were likely that same night, cutting against a ceasefire that had barely held.
  • Iranian missiles and drones targeted American sites in Bahrain and Kuwait in retaliation for US strikes on boats and coastal defences tied to attacks on three tankers in the Strait of Hormuz.
  • Brent crude jumped more than 5% to $78.48, its sharpest daily gain since late May, sending bond markets into a fresh inflation scare and Wall Street toward a lower open.
  • Washington revoked the oil sales licence that had allowed Iranian crude to flow, giving Tehran until July 17 to wind down, and Iran called the move a breach of the framework.
  • At least four tankers turned back from the strait, and talks on a permanent settlement hang in doubt as both sides promise a 'crushing' or unbending response.

On the eve of a NATO summit in Turkey, President Trump declared the interim memorandum that was meant to carry the Iran war toward a lasting peace to be finished, after a fresh round of fire across the Gulf had left American bases and sea lanes under threat. The episode belongs to a longer human pattern in which a fragile truce is signed in hope and then unravels under the weight of mistrust, dwindling patience, and the simple leverage of control over a narrow waterway. Whether the word 'over' marks a final rupture or a passing mood remains, for now, an open question that the coming days will have to answer.

President Donald Trump spoke to reporters in Ankara, ahead of a NATO summit in Turkey, and said the interim agreement meant to end the war with Iran was, in his view, finished. He did not want to deal with Tehran any longer, and he warned that American strikes would likely come again that very night. His words came after a sharp exchange of fire that had been building for days.

The memorandum had been signed on June 17 as a bridge from a shaky ceasefire toward a permanent peace, in a war that began on February 28 with U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on Iran. Now the bridge looked broken. American forces struck Iranian boats, air defences and missile sites after tankers were attacked in the Strait of Hormuz. Iran answered by targeting U.S. positions in Bahrain and Kuwait, and it claimed to have downed an American drone. Bahrain said its army had stopped the attacks.

The economic front moved too. Washington revoked a licence that had allowed Iranian oil sales, giving Tehran until July 17 to wind down its transactions. Iran called this a breach and vowed to protect its interests. Oil markets reacted at once, with Brent rising more than 5%, and at least four tankers turned back from the strait. Iranian leaders spoke of refusing to fold, while Trump stopped short of declaring a return to full-scale war, leaving the future of the talks uncertain.

President Donald Trump stood before reporters in Ankara on Wednesday, ahead of a NATO summit in Turkey, and said the interim agreement meant to end the war with Iran was, in his view, finished. Asked directly whether the memorandum of understanding was over, he called it a very interesting question and then answered it: "I think it's over. I don't want to deal with them." He later added a warning that the United States was likely to strike Iran again that night.

The remarks followed a rapid exchange of fire. Iran said it had targeted U.S. military sites in Bahrain and Kuwait after American forces hit Iranian targets in response to attacks on tankers in the Strait of Hormuz. The Revolutionary Guards also said they had shot down a U.S. MQ-9 drone that tried to interfere with the operation. Bahrain's army said it had thwarted the Iranian attacks.

The memorandum was signed on June 17, and it was supposed to be the bridge from a shaky ceasefire to a permanent settlement of a war that began on February 28 with U.S.-Israeli airstrikes on Iran. Trump spoke harshly of Tehran, calling Iranian leaders sick people and saying of any future deal, "I'm not sure that will stick," because he found them "very dishonourable." Yet he did not say outright that Washington would return to full-scale war, and it was unclear whether negotiations on a permanent deal would go on. He said his negotiators could keep talking if they wished, though he did not see the point. A source familiar with the Ankara talks said he did not repeat the "over" comment when NATO leaders met. Before a meeting with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy, he said: "We're going to hit them hard tonight."

The American strikes came first. U.S. Central Command said it hit targets including more than 60 small boats used by the Revolutionary Guards, in an operation meant to impose a heavy cost for attacks on shipping that violated the ceasefire. Three tankers had been attacked in the strait. Trump said U.S. forces had "knocked out 28 boats last night" and would probably hit more. A U.S. official told Reuters the strikes also went after air defence systems, coastal surveillance, surface-to-air missiles, anti-ship cruise missiles and drone launch sites. Iranian media reported explosions at Kharg Island, the oil hub from which Iran exports 90% of its crude, as well as on Qeshm Island and in the port cities of Sirik and Bandar Abbas. CENTCOM did not mention Kharg. No civilian deaths were reported in Iran.

Washington also moved on the economic front. A Treasury general licence issued June 22 under the interim deal had allowed the sale of Iranian crude, petrochemicals and petroleum products through August 21. Treasury revoked it on Tuesday and gave Iran until July 17 to wind down transactions. Iran's foreign ministry called that a breach of the framework agreement and said it would take any measure necessary to protect its interests and national security.

Markets reacted quickly. Brent crude futures rose more than 5% to $78.48 a barrel, the biggest one-day gain since late May. That is well below the peaks above $120 reached at the height of the fighting, but months of conflict have drawn down global oil inventories, and the jump gave bond markets a fresh inflation worry; global bonds fell and Wall Street's main indexes were set to open lower. Shipping data showed at least four oil and gas tankers had turned back rather than try the strait.

Reactions split along familiar lines. NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte called the U.S. attacks "absolutely necessary." EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas said on X that the exchanges complicate already fraught talks and called Iran's attacks on Bahrain and Kuwait unacceptable. Iran's Khatam al-Anbiya Central Headquarters called the U.S. strikes a "blatant act of aggression," threatened a "crushing response," and said Tehran would not allow U.S. interference in managing the strait. Parliament speaker Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf, a top Iranian negotiator, accused Washington of breaching the ceasefire and wrote: "The era of bullying and extortion is over. We don't fold."

Analysts note that control of Hormuz gives Tehran enormous leverage, effectively forcing a stalemate with the most powerful military in the world, and that attacks on ships underline it while a long-term deal is negotiated. What to watch now: whether the promised strikes come and how Iran answers, whether talks on a permanent deal continue, the July 17 wind-down deadline for Iranian oil sales, and how many tankers risk the strait.

It's a very interesting question. To me, I think it's over. I don't want to deal with them.
— President Donald Trump, in Ankara
The era of bullying and extortion is over. We don't fold.
— Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf, Iranian parliament speaker and negotiator, on X
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