In the long contest between arms and allegiance, the United States has asked Congress to approve the sale of 48 F-35 fighter jets to Saudi Arabia — its most advanced warplane — for $24.3 billion. The request arrives as the kingdom fights a grinding war against Yemen's Houthis, who now claim to have brought down a Saudi jet, and as Riyadh quietly builds new security ties with Ankara and Islamabad. The decision forces a reckoning that empires have always faced: whether arming a partner strengthens the alliance or, in a world of entangled rivalries, ultimately arms an adversary.
Trump administration seeks congressional approval for $24.3bn F-35 sale to Saudi Arabia
China could acquire F-35 technology through Saudi partnerships
Why is the timing of this sale significant? The Houthis just shot down a Saudi jet—is that what prompted the request?
The timing is suggestive, but the causation isn't simple. Saudi Arabia has wanted F-35s for years. What the Houthi claim does is create urgency—it shows that the kingdom's air superiority, which it's relied on, is eroding. That makes the case for advanced jets more persuasive to Congress.
But we should be careful here. The Houthis claimed they shot down the jet with a locally made missile. That's a significant claim. Has anyone independently verified it? Or are we taking their word for it?
That's fair. The Houthis released video of wreckage, but verification of what brought the plane down is another matter. What we know for certain is that Saudi Arabia faces a real threat from the group, and the administration is using that threat to justify the sale.
What about the China angle? Is that a genuine security concern or political cover?
The intelligence community has raised it seriously. If Saudi Arabia has partnerships with Chinese firms, there are real pathways for technology transfer. It's not hypothetical.
But here's what I want to know: what partnerships specifically? The New York Times reported the concern, but how concrete is the risk? Is this a possibility intelligence analysts are warning about, or something they've actually detected happening?
That's the gap. We know the concern exists. We don't know how imminent or proven the threat actually is. That's what Congress will have to evaluate.
And Israel—they've opposed this before, right?
They have, though the pressure to normalize relations with Saudi Arabia has complicated that position. Israel wants regional stability, but it also wants to maintain its military edge. Those two goals can pull in different directions.
So Israel's opposition might be weakening because of the broader diplomatic push toward normalization?
Possibly. But the fact that Turkey, a NATO ally, has been barred from F-35s since 2019 shows how seriously the US takes these sales. The standards aren't consistent, which raises questions about what's really driving this decision.
Il Polso
- The Houthis' claimed downing of a Saudi F-15 with a locally made missile has shaken assumptions about Saudi air dominance and sharpened Riyadh's urgency to acquire the F-35.
- US intelligence analysts warn that China could extract classified F-35 technology through its existing partnerships with Saudi Arabia, turning a sale meant to project strength into a potential security liability.
- Democratic lawmakers are pushing back, with House Intelligence Committee member Raja Krishnamoorthi arguing the deal should not advance while American spies are sounding the alarm about Beijing.
- Saudi Arabia is simultaneously hedging its bets — last month signing the Mecca Agreement with Pakistan and Turkey — signaling it will not wait indefinitely for Washington's full commitment.
- On the very day the sale was announced, fighting between Saudi forces and the Houthis killed at least five people, including three children, underscoring the human cost accumulating beneath the diplomatic calculus.
- Congress must now decide whether the F-35 sale is a credible substitute for deeper American involvement — or a $24.3 billion gamble that could accelerate the very risks it is meant to contain.
In the long contest between arms and allegiance, the United States has asked Congress to approve the sale of 48 F-35 fighter jets to Saudi Arabia — its most advanced warplane — for $24.3 billion. The request arrives as the kingdom fights a grinding war against Yemen's Houthis, who now claim to have brought down a Saudi jet, and as Riyadh quietly builds new security ties with Ankara and Islamabad. The decision forces a reckoning that empires have always faced: whether arming a partner strengthens the alliance or, in a world of entangled rivalries, ultimately arms an adversary.
The Trump administration has formally asked Congress to approve the sale of 48 F-35 fighter jets to Saudi Arabia, a $24.3 billion transaction timed to a moment of acute pressure. Days before the announcement, Yemen's Houthi forces released footage claiming they had shot down a Saudi F-15 over Marib using a locally manufactured surface-to-air missile — a claim that, if verified, would mark a significant leap in the group's military capability and erode the air superiority Saudi Arabia has long relied upon.
The State Department framed the sale in familiar terms: strengthening a major non-NATO ally, advancing regional stability, and serving American economic interests. Officials were careful to note that the transfer would not disturb the regional military balance — a constraint designed to protect Israel's technological edge. Israel remains the only Middle Eastern country currently flying F-35s and has historically resisted arming Saudi Arabia with the same aircraft, even as diplomacy has nudged the two countries toward normalization.
The deal's most serious obstacle, however, may be an intelligence one. US analysts have warned that China could gain access to F-35 technology through Saudi Arabia's existing partnerships with Beijing. That concern has already mobilized Democratic opposition in Congress, with members of the House Intelligence Committee arguing the sale should not proceed while American spies are raising the alarm.
The broader picture is one of a kingdom quietly diversifying its security relationships. Last month, Saudi Arabia signed the Mecca Agreement — a mutual defense pact with Pakistan and Turkey — suggesting Riyadh is no longer content to rely solely on Washington. Turkey's own exclusion from the F-35 program since 2019, after it purchased Russian air defense systems, stands as a reminder that the United States treats advanced technology as a lever of statecraft, not merely a commodity.
On the day the administration announced its congressional request, clashes between Saudi forces and the Iran-backed Houthis killed at least five people, including three children. The F-35 sale is, in effect, Washington's answer to Saudi calls for deeper American involvement — a way to reinforce an ally's hand without committing American forces. Whether that answer actually serves American security, or quietly opens a door to Beijing, is now Congress's question to resolve.
The Trump administration has formally asked Congress to approve the sale of 48 F-35 fighter jets to Saudi Arabia, a deal valued at $24.3 billion. The timing is deliberate: the kingdom is locked in an intensifying conflict with Yemen's Houthi forces, and just days before the announcement, the Houthis released video evidence claiming they had shot down a Saudi F-15 fighter jet over Marib using what they described as a locally manufactured surface-to-air missile. If that claim holds, it represents a significant shift in the group's military capability—until now, Saudi Arabia's air force has maintained relative dominance in the skies over Yemen.
The State Department justified the proposed transfer in language that has become familiar in such announcements: the sale would bolster a major non-NATO ally and serve broader American interests in regional stability and economic progress. Officials were careful to add that the F-35s would not alter the military balance in the region, a constraint the US has maintained to preserve Israel's technological edge over potential adversaries. That caveat matters, because Israel—the only country in the Middle East currently operating F-35s—has historically opposed arming Saudi Arabia with the same aircraft, though recent diplomatic efforts have pushed the kingdom toward normalizing ties with the Jewish state.
Yet the sale faces obstacles that have little to do with regional balance sheets. US intelligence analysts have flagged a counterintelligence risk: China could potentially acquire F-35 technology through its existing partnerships with Saudi Arabia. The New York Times reported this concern earlier in the week, and it has already drawn opposition from Democratic lawmakers. Raja Krishnamoorthi, a member of the House Intelligence Committee, stated plainly that the sale should not proceed when American intelligence officials are warning that it could place classified military technology within reach of Beijing.
The broader context complicates the picture further. Saudi Arabia has been seeking F-35s for years, but the kingdom is also moving to reduce its dependence on Washington. Last month, it signed a mutual defense agreement—the Mecca Agreement—with Pakistan and Turkey, a signal that Riyadh is exploring alternative security partnerships. Turkey itself, a NATO member that participated in the F-35 development program, has been barred from receiving the jets since 2019 after purchasing Russian air defense systems, a reminder that the US weaponizes technology access as a tool of statecraft.
The Houthi threat is real and immediate. On the day the administration announced its request to Congress, intensifying clashes between Saudi forces and the Iran-backed Houthis killed at least five people, including three children. Saudi Arabia has repeatedly asked Washington to take a more direct military role in the conflict, but the US has declined, maintaining that it will not directly intervene in the three-way struggle between the Houthis, the Saudi-backed Yemeni government, and Riyadh itself. The F-35 sale is, in some sense, a substitute for that deeper commitment—a way to strengthen an ally's hand without American troops on the ground.
Congress will now weigh whether the strategic value of supporting Saudi Arabia in its regional competition outweighs the intelligence community's warnings about Chinese access to advanced American military systems. The decision will turn partly on how seriously lawmakers take those warnings, and partly on how much weight they give to the kingdom's role as a stabilizing force in the Gulf. What remains unresolved is whether selling the world's most advanced fighter jet to a country with deepening ties to Beijing actually serves American security interests, or undermines them.
Citazioni salienti
The sale should not go ahead when our own intelligence community is warning that it could put the crown jewels of American military technology within reach of the Chinese Communist Party.— Raja Krishnamoorthi, Democratic member of House Intelligence Committee