Talarico Wins Texas Senate Democratic Nomination; Cornyn and Paxton Head to GOP Runoff

Some Texas voters were turned away or redirected to different precincts after new primary rules, and polls stayed open late in Dallas and Williamson counties.
Texas is not for sale.
Ken Paxton's line to supporters in Dallas after he forced a runoff with Sen. John Cornyn.
Mark

Talarico won, but the Republican side is the bigger open question, isn't it?

Mimi

It is. Neither Cornyn nor Paxton hit 50%, so they meet in a May 26 runoff. Hunt's third-place run made an outright win harder.

Mark

And Trump hasn't picked a side?

Mimi

Right. All three ran on ties to him, and now Cornyn and Paxton will compete for his favor.

Luke

Worth noting that Cornyn's claim that Paxton would be a "dead weight" is his argument, not a finding. It's a campaign line.

Mark

Fair. What about the voting problems?

Mimi

Voters in Dallas and Williamson counties reported being turned away or redirected under new primary rules, and polls stayed open late. The state Supreme Court then said ballots from people not in line by 7 p.m. should be separated.

Luke

But the reporting says it's unclear how that gets carried out or how many ballots are affected. Crockett says people were disenfranchised, and she plans to sue. That's her claim, not an established outcome.

Mark

Does it change the result?

Luke

Nothing here says it does. Talarico's win was reported as decided, and the source doesn't give margins.

Mimi

What stands out is the money: at least $64 million for Cornyn's side on TV, and Talarico outspending Crockett more than four to one.

  • Talarico's win over Crockett came after a costly, bitter contest, and Democrats now see a real if narrow chance at a November upset.
  • Cornyn and Paxton both fell short of 50%, forcing a May 26 runoff in which neither has Trump's endorsement yet.
  • Voters in Dallas and Williamson counties were turned away or sent to other precincts under new rules, and polls stayed open late as a state court ordered provisional ballots set aside.
  • Crockett's campaign plans a lawsuit over Dallas voting problems, and the runoff is expected to grow more hostile as Cornyn and Paxton court Trump.

On a Tuesday night in Texas, a long and bruising set of primaries reached its first decisive turn. James Talarico, a seminarian-turned-legislator who speaks in the language of scripture, prevailed over Congresswoman Jasmine Crockett, reopening a door that Democrats have kept closed in Texas for three decades, while Republicans are left to settle their own fight in May between two men who both owe their standing to a president who has not yet chosen between them. Beneath the ballots lies an older question about who a state belongs to, and how easily the machinery of voting can turn a citizen away at the door.

State Rep. James Talarico defeated Congresswoman Jasmine Crockett in the Texas Democratic Senate primary on Tuesday night, ending a expensive and bitter contest. Speaking to supporters in Austin, he framed the win as more than a victory, saying Texas had given the country a little hope. Democrats now believe an upset in November is possible, even in a state that has not elected a Democrat statewide in over thirty years.

On the Republican side, the race is unfinished. Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton will face each other on May 26 after neither cleared 50 percent. Both ran on their closeness to Donald Trump, who has so far stayed out of it. Cornyn, seeking a fifth term, has spent heavily to hold his ground and warned that Paxton would be a drag on the ticket. Paxton, who campaigned in earnest only recently, told his supporters that Texas is not for sale, and Senate Republican leaders have quietly lined up behind Cornyn.

Election night was marred by problems. Voters in Dallas and Williamson counties said they were turned away or redirected to other precincts under new primary rules, and polls stayed open late. The state Supreme Court ruled that ballots cast by people in line at 7 p.m. should be kept apart, though how that would work remained unclear. Crockett said only that people had been disenfranchised, and her campaign plans to sue.

Down the ballot, new district lines drawn at Trump's urging reshaped several contests, ousting Rep. Dan Crenshaw and sending others to runoffs. The coming weeks will hinge on whether Trump chooses a side and whether Crockett's lawsuit moves forward.

State Rep. James Talarico defeated Congresswoman Jasmine Crockett in the Texas Democratic Senate primary on Tuesday night, ending an expensive and bitter contest and giving Democrats fresh hope of an upset in November. Speaking to supporters in Austin before the race was officially called, Talarico said the campaign was about more than winning: "We are trying to fundamentally change our politics. And it's working." He added that Texas "gave this country a little bit of hope."

On the Republican side, nothing was settled. Sen. John Cornyn and state Attorney General Ken Paxton will meet in a May 26 runoff, after neither reached the 50% needed to win outright. U.S. Rep. Wesley Hunt finished a distant third and conceded, but his presence in the race made a majority harder for anyone to reach. All three candidates ran on their ties to President Donald Trump, who made no endorsement. Cornyn and Paxton will now compete for it, and the runoff is expected to turn increasingly nasty.

Cornyn is seeking a fifth term and hopes to avoid becoming the first Republican senator in Texas history to seek reelection and fail to be renominated. His cool relationship with Trump is part of what left him vulnerable. He and allied groups have spent at least $64 million on television advertising alone since July to stabilize his support. He held no election night party. He spoke to reporters in Austin and argued that a Paxton win would leave "a dead weight at the top of the ticket for Republicans," calling Paxton "a flawed, self-centered and shameless candidate."

Paxton, who began campaigning in earnest only last month, spoke to supporters in Dallas. He said he felt as he did during a recent trip to Mar-a-Lago, Trump's Florida estate, and declared, "Texas is not for sale." He has drawn national attention for suing over Democratic initiatives and has stayed popular despite a 2023 impeachment trial on corruption charges, which ended in acquittal, and accusations of marital infidelity by his wife. Senate Republican leaders back Cornyn. They worry Paxton's liabilities would make the seat harder to defend and force spending that could be used elsewhere.

The Democratic race was a contrast in styles. Talarico, a seminarian who often cites the Bible, held rallies across the state, including in heavily Republican areas. Crockett has a national profile built on sharp attacks against Republicans and focused on turning out Black voters in the Dallas and Houston areas. Both argued they were the stronger general election candidate in a state that backed Trump by almost 14 points in 2024 and has not elected a Democrat statewide in over 30 years. Democrats have not won a Senate race in Texas since 1988. Talarico outspent Crockett on television by more than four to one as of late February, and he got a boost in attention and donations last month when CBS declined to air his interview with Stephen Colbert, who said the network feared angering Trump's FCC. Voter Tanu Sani of Dallas chose Talarico because he "really spoke to me in the way he tries to unify." Tomas Sanchez, a Dallas County voter, backed Crockett because "she cares about immigrants."

Voting problems clouded the night. Polls stayed open longer in Dallas County and Williamson County, outside Austin, after voters said they were turned away and sent to other precincts under new primary rules. Paxton's office challenged the extension, and the state Supreme Court ruled that ballots cast by people not in line by 7 p.m. should be kept separate. It was unclear how that would be carried out or how many eligible ballots remained in Dallas County, Crockett's home base. In Harris County, which includes Houston, a spokesperson said voters were still at 20 centers as of 10 p.m. Crockett's campaign said she planned to sue, and she said only briefly that "people have been disenfranchised."

Down the ballot, new district lines drawn by Republican lawmakers at Trump's urging reshaped several contests. Rep. Dan Crenshaw lost to state Rep. Steve Toth, who was endorsed by Sen. Ted Cruz. Rep. Tony Gonzales, who faced questions over an alleged affair with a staffer who later killed herself, goes to a runoff against gun maker and YouTuber Brandon Herrera in a district that includes Uvalde. Eric Flores, endorsed by Trump, beat former Rep. Mayra Flores for the nomination against Democratic Rep. Vicente Gonzalez. Former baseball star Mark Teixeira won the Republican primary to succeed Chip Roy, who advanced to a runoff against Mayes Middleton for attorney general. Latin Grammy winner Bobby Pulido won the Democratic nomination to face Rep. Monica De La Cruz. Gov. Greg Abbott won easily and will face state Rep. Gina Hinojosa.

The next things to watch are whether Trump endorses Cornyn or Paxton before May 26, and whether Crockett's lawsuit over the Dallas voting problems goes forward.

We are not just trying to win an election. We are trying to fundamentally change our politics. And it's working.
— James Talarico, Democratic Senate nominee
A Paxton win would leave a dead weight at the top of the ticket for Republicans.
— Sen. John Cornyn (paraphrased)
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