Taiwan Says China Is Running 'Area Denial' Drills in Western Pacific With Carrier Group

Keeping an outside force from coming to Taipei's aid
This is how the A2AD concept Koo invoked applies to Taiwan if Beijing were to attack.
Mark

Why does the phrase "area denial" matter here? Ships and planes near Taiwan are nothing new.

Mimi

Because Koo chose a specific term. A2AD is about keeping outside forces, meaning the US or allies, from helping Taipei if Beijing attacked. He's describing the purpose of the drills, not just their presence.

Luke

But that's his characterization. China hasn't declared any drills, and its defence ministry has called the Liaoning's training an annual routine not aimed at any country.

Mark

So two readings of the same activity.

Mimi

Yes. Taiwan's side points to the scale: more than 100 naval and Coast Guard ships, according to Joseph Wu, plus a large rise in aircraft.

Luke

Worth noting that the 100-plus figure comes from a post on Wu's X account, and the aircraft rise from Taiwan's defence ministry. Those are Taiwanese official accounts. The source doesn't say anyone independent has verified them.

Mark

And the timing?

Mimi

The APEC summit in Shenzhen is next week, where Trump and Xi are expected to meet, and Taiwan votes in local elections at month's end.

Luke

The timing is context, not proof of intent. Nothing in the reporting says Beijing scheduled this around either event.

Mark

What's actually known about Taiwan's response?

Mimi

Koo said it will monitor with joint intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance, and share intelligence with allies. No specifics beyond that.

  • Taiwan's defence minister has confirmed China is running 'area denial' drills in the Western Pacific, centred on the Liaoning carrier group.
  • Taiwan counts more than 100 Chinese naval and Coast Guard ships at sea, and a sharp rise in air force flights around the island.
  • Beijing has not formally declared any drills, insisting the carrier training is an annual, routine exercise not aimed at any country.
  • Taipei is watching continuously with intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance, and sharing intelligence with allies.
  • Tension rises ahead of the APEC summit in Shenzhen, where Trump and Xi may meet, and Taiwan's local elections at month's end.

In the quiet and contested waters of the Western Pacific, Taiwan's defence minister has said plainly what the island had been watching for days: Beijing is running exercises that aim to keep outside powers at a distance, with the carrier Liaoning at their centre. The move unfolds as a familiar drama between a rising power and a self-governing island that it claims as its own, and it arrives just before a summit where the leaders of the United States and China are expected to meet again, and before Taiwan's voters go to the polls. Beijing calls the training routine, while Taipei reads in it an attempt to weaken the security that peace in the region has depended upon.

On Tuesday, Taiwan's Defence Minister Wellington Koo told reporters at parliament in Taipei that China was running what he called "area denial" drills in the Western Pacific. The exercises involve the Liaoning aircraft carrier group and other naval training formations, and his words confirmed what the ministry had been signaling for days.

The week before, Joseph Wu of the National Security Council had described on social media the deployment of more than 100 Chinese naval and Coast Guard vessels, operating off Taiwan, in the South China Sea, and out into the Pacific. Taiwan's defence ministry also reported a large surge in Chinese air force flights around the island. Beijing has formally declared no drills.

The phrase carries weight. Area denial is meant to stop an outside force, such as the United States or its allies, from intervening if China moved against Taiwan. China's defence ministry earlier described the Liaoning's voyage as annual training not aimed at any country. Koo rejected that picture, saying such deterrence was meant to undermine peace in the Indo-Pacific, and promised that Taiwan would monitor the activity closely and respond appropriately.

The timing is delicate. Next week brings the APEC summit in Shenzhen, where Trump and Xi are expected to meet, and at month's end Taiwan votes in local elections. What comes next is whether Beijing acknowledges the drills, and how the activity around the island develops as those dates approach.

On Tuesday, standing in front of reporters at parliament in Taipei, Taiwan's Defence Minister Wellington Koo said what his ministry had been signaling for days: China is running what he called "area denial" drills in the Western Pacific. He said the exercises involve the Liaoning aircraft carrier group along with other naval training formations.

Koo was responding to a reported rise in Chinese activity around the island. The week before, Joseph Wu, secretary-general of Taiwan's National Security Council, posted on his X account details of deployments by more than 100 Chinese naval and Coast Guard vessels. By his account, the ships were operating off Taiwan, in the South China Sea, and out into the Pacific. Taiwan's defence ministry separately reported a large increase in the number of Chinese air force aircraft around the island. China has not formally declared any drills.

The term Koo used has a specific meaning. Anti-access/area denial, known as A2AD, describes keeping an outside force from intervening in a conflict. In the Taiwan context, that means stopping the United States or other allied forces from coming to Taipei's aid if Beijing were to attack.

China's defence ministry did not immediately respond to a request for comment on Koo's remarks. It had addressed the carrier's movements the previous month, saying the Liaoning's training in the western Pacific was an annual routine meant to test long-range, open-ocean combat capabilities. The ministry said the training was not aimed at any particular country.

Koo did not accept that framing as the whole picture. "We believe that this kind of military deterrence is intended to undermine peace and stability in the Indo-Pacific region," he said. He added that Taiwan's military is watching closely, and that it will use joint intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance means, and exchange intelligence with allies, to monitor the activity continuously and respond appropriately.

The timing sits between two events. Next week, the APEC summit is due in Shenzhen, where US President Donald Trump is expected to meet Chinese President Xi Jinping again. At the end of this month, Taiwan holds local elections.

The backdrop is a long-standing one. China views democratically governed Taiwan as its own territory and regularly sends warplanes and warships into the skies and waters around it. Beijing has never renounced the use of force to bring the island under its control, though it says it prefers "peaceful reunification." Taiwan's government rejects Beijing's sovereignty claims and says only the Taiwanese people can decide their future.

What to watch now is whether China formally acknowledges the drills, and how the activity around Taiwan evolves as the Shenzhen summit and the island's elections draw near.

China has indeed conducted area denial drills in the Western Pacific with the Liaoning carrier group and other naval training formations.
— Wellington Koo, Taiwan Defence Minister
China's defence ministry said last month that the Liaoning's western Pacific training is an annual routine, not directed at any particular country.
— China's defence ministry (paraphrased)
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