Supreme Court Rejects Trump Bid to Set Aside 20,000 California Ballots Over Citizenship Claims

The Justice Department's own lawyer called the high error rate "a fair statement."
Asked in court about the federal noncitizen list, a DOJ attorney conceded its accuracy problem.
Mark

The court said nothing at all. Why does that matter?

Mimi

Because there's no reasoning to read. It refused, no justice publicly dissented, and it didn't even ask California to respond. That's the whole record at this level.

Luke

Which means we shouldn't over-read it. A silent order tells us the request failed, not why. Newsom's "Democracy won" is his interpretation.

Mark

The administration called this a limited step. Was that argument credible?

Mimi

Its own lawyer undercut it. Asked by Judge Thompson about a high error rate, Kenneth Kao said that was a fair statement.

Luke

Worth noting Bill Essayli said it wasn't speculation, then later conceded errors were possible. We don't know how many of the 20,000 are actually noncitizens. The reporting gives no figure.

Mark

What about the timing?

Mimi

Over 6 million ballots were already back, out of about 23 million registered voters. California said separating the flagged ones was logistically impossible.

Luke

That's the state's claim, though. The source doesn't say anyone independently tested it.

Mark

And Boasberg's rulings pulled in two directions.

Mimi

Yes. He found likely Elections Clause violations, then declined another restraining order because the Democratic groups lacked standing. So the standing ruling wasn't a win on the merits for the administration.

Luke

Right, and Bonta's count of four rejections is his tally. What's unresolved is whether prosecution threats against election workers continue.

  • The Supreme Court turned away an emergency bid to pull about 20,000 California ballots just a day before voting closed.
  • The federal list of suspected noncitizen voters has been admitted by the Justice Department to contain errors.
  • Election officials warned that separating the ballots mid-count would be logistically impossible and could disenfranchise eligible voters.
  • With roughly 6 million mail ballots already returned, the administration's next move on appeals or prosecution threats remains an open question.

On the eve of the final day of voting in the midterms, the nation's highest court declined to let the federal government set aside some 20,000 California ballots flagged as possibly cast by noncitizens, leaving the question to the state's own verification processes. It did so without explanation, after lower courts had already found the federal list flawed and the request too disruptive for an election already in motion. The episode belongs to a longer human story about who holds the authority to decide who may vote, and how much trust a democracy can absorb when its rules are contested in the final hours.

On Monday, a day before the final day of voting in the midterm elections, the US Supreme Court refused an emergency request from the Trump administration to set aside roughly 20,000 California ballots. The votes belonged to people the federal government had flagged as likely noncitizens on the state's rolls. The court offered no reasons, no justice publicly dissented, and it did not ask California to respond before ruling.

The administration framed its request as modest: the disputed ballots would be held apart while eligibility was checked, and valid votes would still count. California officials answered that the list was riddled with errors and could strip eligible citizens of their voice, and that sorting the ballots this late was practically impossible. Even the government's own lawyer conceded in court that the list had a high error rate, though a federal prosecutor later offered a more defiant account before backing off.

The Supreme Court's order capped a string of defeats for the administration. A federal judge warned that the move could wreak havoc on the midterms and erode public confidence, and a divided appeals court agreed. A separate judge found that the administration's last-minute demands on state officials likely violated the Constitution's Elections Clause, though he declined to issue a further restraining order.

California, which votes almost entirely by mail and has already received more than 6 million returned ballots, has now prevailed in four rulings. Governor Gavin Newsom declared that democracy had won, while the state's attorney general urged an end to emergency efforts to disrupt its elections. With voting closing, the open question is whether the administration pursues more appeals or follows through on threats to prosecute election workers.

On Monday, a day before the final day of voting in the midterm elections, the US Supreme Court turned away an emergency request from the Trump administration to set aside roughly 20,000 ballots in California. The ballots belonged to voters the federal government had flagged as likely noncitizens on the state's voter rolls. The court gave no reasons, and no justice publicly dissented. It also did not ask California officials to respond to the administration's appeal before ruling.

The administration had described the request as a limited step. Under its plan, the disputed ballots would be kept separate while officials verified eligibility, and legitimate votes would still be counted in the end. California officials countered that the federal list contained errors and could cost eligible voters their ballots. They also objected to the timing, noting that the request came only weeks before voting ended. And they said that identifying and separating the ballots at this stage would be logistically impossible.

The Justice Department itself conceded the list's weakness. At a hearing before US District Judge Trina Thompson in San Francisco, on whether to lift an order barring the administration from threatening to prosecute election workers who let potentially ineligible voters cast ballots, the judge asked Justice Department attorney Kenneth Kao whether there was a high error rate. "That's a fair statement," Kao answered, adding that the department wanted registrars' help verifying that these were all valid voters. Bill Essayli, the federal prosecutor overseeing the Justice Department's Los Angeles office, struck a different note at a news conference, saying it was not speculation or a theory that those on the list were ineligible. He later acknowledged the list could contain errors. Voting by noncitizens is rare in the US, though the administration made identifying suspected cases a priority this year.

The Supreme Court's order followed a run of losses for the administration in lower courts. District Judge David O. Carter rejected the Justice Department's request earlier, warning that separating the ballots could "wreak havoc" on the midterms and damage public confidence. "If the Executive can discount votes and threaten an ongoing election due to unproven allegations, then our democracy is in danger," he wrote. A divided Ninth Circuit panel upheld his order 2-1. A Trump appointee and a Biden appointee formed the majority. The other Trump appointee dissented, arguing that California's refusal to separate the ballots encouraged a "violation of federal law."

On the same Monday, a separate federal ruling went California's way in part. Judge James Boasberg found that the administration's last-minute demands on California election officials likely violated the Constitution's Elections Clause, which gives authority over election rules to the states and Congress alone. Later that day, though, he declined to issue another order restraining the administration, saying the Democratic groups that brought the suit lacked legal standing and that states and courts had already addressed the issue.

The scale of California's election explains why timing mattered. The state has voted by mail since early October and sends ballots to all of its roughly 23 million registered voters. According to Associated Press election data, more than 6 million had already been returned. In September the Supreme Court also rejected Trump's attempt to restrict mail-in voting nationwide, though it has sided with the administration in several other emergency appeals.

Governor Gavin Newsom posted on X that the court rejected the request without even asking the other side to respond, and that "Democracy won." Attorney General Rob Bonta said courts had now rejected the administration's attempts to interfere in California's elections four times, from the district court through the Ninth Circuit to the Supreme Court, and that the latest decision should end efforts to disrupt the state's elections through emergency court orders. Kristen Clarke, general counsel of the NAACP, called the challenge baseless federal overreach and voter suppression, and pledged to use every available tool against what she called a bullying campaign.

With voting closing and millions of ballots already in, the thing to watch is whether the administration tries further emergency appeals or presses its threats of prosecution against election workers.

Courts have now rejected the Trump Administration's attempts to interfere in California's elections not once, not twice, not three times, but four times.
— California Attorney General Rob Bonta
That's a fair statement.
— Justice Department attorney Kenneth Kao, on whether the federal list had a high error rate
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