Study finds former rugby players 15 times more likely to develop MND

Former rugby players face significantly elevated risk of motor neurone disease and other neurodegenerative conditions, with notable cases including Doddie Weir and Steve Thompson diagnosed with early-onset dementia.
You can't continue to put young men and women through this, now we know the risk.
Researcher Willie Stewart urges rugby to accelerate protective measures after finding elevated neurodegenerative disease risk in former players.
Mark

So the headline is that former rugby players are 15 times more likely to get motor neurone disease. That's a huge number. What does that actually mean in practical terms?

Mimi

It means if you take a group of former Scottish international rugby players and compare them to a matched group from the general population, you see a much higher rate of MND diagnosis. The study looked at 412 former players against over 1,200 controls.

Luke

But wait—we need to know how many actual cases we're talking about. If there were, say, three cases in the player group and zero in the control group, that's technically infinite risk, not 15 times. The Motor Neurone Disease Association actually flagged this: they said the absolute number of cases appears small, and it's odd that the control group had no cases at all, since MND is the most common neurodegenerative disease in middle age.

Mark

So the 15-times figure might be mathematically correct but not tell us much about real-world frequency?

Mimi

That's a fair reading. The study also found a 2.5 times higher risk for neurodegenerative disease overall, which is a broader category. And the researchers are clear that this needs bigger studies across more countries to really understand what's happening.

Luke

Right. And there's another layer: MND involves genetics and environment mixed together. High-performance athletes might have different genetic profiles than the general population. We don't know if rugby is causing this or if something about the people who become elite rugby players makes them more susceptible.

Mark

The study compares rugby to football research and the NFL. Are those findings solid?

Mimi

The football research is real and has been replicated. But the Motor Neurone Disease Association's point stands—this rugby study is considerably smaller, so it needs replication and expansion before we can say rugby definitely causes MND at this rate.

Luke

What we can say is: here's a signal. Former rugby players in this study showed elevated risk. That's worth taking seriously and investigating further. But "15 times more likely" is a headline number, not a complete answer.

Mark

And meanwhile, nearly 200 former players are suing the sport's governing bodies over brain injury and dementia.

Mimi

Yes. Steve Thompson, an England World Cup winner, was diagnosed with early-onset dementia in 2020. Doddie Weir and Rob Burrow have both gone public with MND. The legal cases argue that rugby knew about these risks and didn't act fast enough to protect players.

Luke

Which is a separate question from whether this study proves causation. The legal argument is about negligence and duty of care. The science is still being worked out.

  • Former Scottish international rugby players face a 15-fold greater risk of motor neurone disease and two-and-a-half times the overall neurodegenerative disease risk compared to matched peers — numbers that demand attention.
  • High-profile cases like Doddie Weir and Steve Thompson have given a human face to statistics that might otherwise remain abstract, turning a medical study into a story of lives visibly altered by the sport they gave themselves to.
  • Nearly 200 former players, including Irish internationals, have launched legal action against World Rugby and national unions, arguing that governing bodies knew the risks and moved too slowly to shield players from permanent harm.
  • The sport has made incremental adjustments to tackle laws and training contact, but critics and researchers alike say the pace of reform lags dangerously behind the weight of accumulating evidence.
  • Methodological questions remain — the MND case numbers are small, the control group reported no MND cases, and genetic factors in elite athletes complicate the picture — meaning the study opens a conversation as much as it settles one.

Across generations of contact sport, the human body has absorbed punishment that only time reveals in full — and a new study of former Scottish international rugby players now places that reckoning in sharp relief, finding them 15 times more likely to develop motor neurone disease than the general population. Research led by neuropathologist Willie Stewart at the University of Glasgow, published in October 2022, adds rugby to a growing ledger of sports — alongside football and American gridiron — where the long shadow of repeated head impacts falls across players' later lives. The findings do not yet answer every question, but they ask, with considerable urgency, whether the pace at which sport protects its participants is equal to the pace at which science is uncovering the cost of not doing so.

A study comparing 412 former Scottish international rugby players against more than 1,200 matched members of the general public has found a striking disparity in long-term neurological health. Players were 15 times more likely to develop motor neurone disease and faced roughly two and a half times the expected risk of neurodegenerative disease overall. The research, led by consultant neuropathologist Willie Stewart at the University of Glasgow and published in the Journal of Neurology, Neurosurgery and Psychiatry in October 2022, extends a line of inquiry already applied to professional footballers and American NFL players.

The MND finding carries particular weight. The disease — which progressively destroys the nerve cells governing voluntary movement — has become a visible presence in rugby through the public battles of former Scotland lock Doddie Weir and rugby league figure Rob Burrow. Notably, no correlation was found between playing position and risk, suggesting the danger is spread across the sport rather than concentrated in the most physically combative roles.

Stewart called the MND data especially alarming, noting it surpasses even the elevated risk seen in former footballers, and urged rugby to accelerate its protective measures. He suggested that reducing contact in training and matches could improve the quality of play while sparing players from lasting neurological damage.

The study arrives as nearly 200 former players — including former Ireland internationals David Corkery and Declan Fitzpatrick — pursue legal action against World Rugby and national unions, alleging that governing bodies were aware of the dangers of repetitive head impacts but failed to act adequately. England's 2003 World Cup winner Steve Thompson, diagnosed with early-onset dementia in 2020, was set to share his experience in a BBC documentary timed close to the study's release.

Not every expert received the findings without reservation. Brian Dickie of the Motor Neurone Disease Association welcomed the contribution but raised questions about the small absolute number of MND cases in the player group and the absence of any MND cases in the larger control group — an unusual result given that MND is the most common neurodegenerative disease in middle age. He also noted that elite athletes may carry distinct genetic risk profiles, and called for the research to be expanded across much larger, multinational populations.

The study, then, functions as a signal rather than a verdict — clear enough to demand urgent action, incomplete enough to require considerably more work before the full shape of the risk is understood.

Researchers comparing the health records of 412 former Scottish international rugby players against more than 1,200 matched individuals from the general population have found a stark disparity: the players were 15 times more likely to develop motor neurone disease. The findings, published in the Journal of Neurology, Neurosurgery and Psychiatry in early October 2022, also showed that former rugby players faced approximately two and a half times the expected risk of neurodegenerative disease overall. The study, led by consultant neuropathologist Willie Stewart at the University of Glasgow, represents a continuation of similar research into contact sports and brain degeneration that has already examined professional footballers and drawn comparisons to the NFL.

The MND figure stands out as particularly striking. Motor neurone disease—a progressive neurological condition that attacks nerve cells controlling voluntary muscles—has become a visible concern in rugby circles through the cases of former Scotland international lock Doddie Weir and former Great Britain rugby league scrum-half Rob Burrow, both of whom have publicly battled the disease. The research found no correlation between player position and risk, suggesting that the hazard is distributed across the sport rather than concentrated in any particular role.

Stewart told journalists that the work demonstrates neurodegenerative risk extends beyond football to rugby players as well. "Of particular concern are the data on MND risk, which is even higher than that for former footballers," he said, calling for immediate research attention into the specific association between rugby and the condition. He also urged the sport to accelerate its protective measures. "I think rugby could be speeding up this pace of change," Stewart remarked, suggesting that reducing contact in training and matches might actually improve the quality of play while protecting players from lasting brain damage.

The research lands amid intensifying legal pressure on the sport. Nearly 200 former players, including former Ireland internationals David Corkery and Declan Fitzpatrick, have filed legal action against World Rugby, the Rugby Football Union, and the Welsh Rugby Union. The claimants argue that rugby's governing bodies were aware of the risks posed by repetitive head impacts but failed to take reasonable steps to protect players from permanent brain injury and early-onset dementia. England's 2003 World Cup winner Steve Thompson, diagnosed with early-onset dementia in 2020, is set to share his story in a BBC documentary scheduled to air shortly after the study's publication.

In recent years, rugby has made some adjustments—changes to tackle laws and a shift toward reducing contact during training sessions—but critics argue the pace of change remains insufficient given what the science now shows. The sport faces mounting pressure to do more, faster, as evidence accumulates that the physical toll of rugby extends far beyond the immediate aftermath of a match.

Not all experts view the findings without reservation. Brian Dickie, director of research development at the Motor Neurone Disease Association, acknowledged that the study adds weight to previous reports of elevated risk in soccer players but raised methodological questions. He noted that the absolute number of MND cases in the rugby player group appears to be small, and he found it surprising that the larger control group reported no cases of MND, given that it is the most common neurodegenerative disease in middle age. Dickie also pointed out that MND typically involves a complex interplay of genetic and environmental factors, and that high-performance athletes may carry different genetic risk profiles than the general population. He called for the research to be extended into much larger populations across multiple countries, requiring close collaboration between researchers and rugby governing bodies.

The study thus opens rather than closes a conversation. It provides a clear signal that contact sports carry risks to long-term neurological health, but it also leaves room for further investigation into exactly how those risks operate, who is most vulnerable, and what interventions might actually work. For rugby—a sport already defending itself in court over brain injury claims—the findings represent both a warning and an incomplete picture that demands urgent clarification.

Of particular concern are the data on MND risk, which is even higher than that for former footballers. This finding requires immediate research attention.
— Willie Stewart, consultant neuropathologist leading the research
I think rugby could be speeding up this pace of change. You can't continue to put young men and women through what they've been put through, now we know that there is this risk of degenerative brain disease.
— Willie Stewart
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