Senior National MPs Downplay Outgoing MP's Claim of Voter Hostility Toward Party

"I wouldn't necessarily disagree with them either."
Outgoing National MP Vanessa Weenink on voters who told her they hated the party.
Mark

Why does one outgoing MP's comment get this much attention?

Mimi

Because it's an insider describing voter sentiment, and she isn't attacking the leader. She says she still backs Luxon.

Mark

And the party's reply?

Mimi

Simeon Brown points to 42 electorates won. Stanford and Willis say they didn't hear the same thing on their travels.

Luke

Worth noting that's a different kind of evidence. Weenink is describing her own electorate. Seats won is a national tally, and it doesn't speak to what people said at her doors.

Mark

So they're not directly contradicting her?

Mimi

Mostly not. Willis said she was sorry that was Weenink's experience and didn't want to diminish it.

Luke

Also, we don't know how many voters said this, or where. It's one MP's account of what she heard, and she herself didn't endorse it outright.

Mark

What about her worry on the right drift?

Mimi

That's her own assessment. Stanford says the balance has been maintained, though she accepts senior liberals have gone.

Luke

Right, and neither claim can be tested yet. That will only show in how the next term plays out.

  • A departing National MP has told the NZ Herald that voters in her electorate hated the party and feared its direction, and she would not dispute them.
  • Senior colleagues have pushed back hard, pointing to 42 electorates won and insisting they heard nothing similar on the campaign trail.
  • Fears of a lurch to the right are growing as senior liberal MPs exit and the coalition with Act and New Zealand First tilts the party's centre of gravity.
  • Leader Christopher Luxon retains her backing, but the internal debate over the liberal-conservative balance is now public and unresolved.
  • The next test arrives in three years, and the party must show it can hold its centre while governing with partners on its right.

In the aftermath of an election that left National with 42 electorates and fewer of its senior liberal voices, one departing MP has said plainly what some on the doorstep told her: that they disliked the party and feared where it was going. Her colleagues have answered with results and with their own experience of the campaign trail, and the disagreement, quiet but real, touches an old question in politics about how far a broad party can travel from its centre before it begins to lose the people it was built to hold together. The question now is not only whether the party won enough seats, but whether its internal balance can survive a term with its moderates thinned and its coalition partners leaning further right.

Vanessa Weenink, one of National's outgoing MPs, has told the NZ Herald that many voters in her electorate hated the party and feared where it was heading. She would not publicly agree with them, she said, but added that she wouldn't necessarily disagree either. She describes herself as a "squishy centrist" and a former Labour member, and her unease runs deeper than the doorstep: she worries National will drift more conservative as it loses senior liberal MPs and governs alongside Act and New Zealand First. She named Chris Bishop among the "woke liberals" the party may not have enough of. Her criticism still stops short of withdrawing support for Christopher Luxon, whom she praised for handling a difficult caucus and coalition.

Campaign chair Simeon Brown answered with the numbers: 42 electorates won, and a campaign that meant hearing from many people, some of whom disagreed. Erica Stanford, easily re-elected in East Coast Bays, acknowledged the loss of liberal MPs but said the balance had held, and that her own travels and door-knocking had produced nothing like Weenink's feedback. Deputy leader Nicola Willis, who campaigned nationwide without a seat, said she was sorry for Weenink's experience but had not heard it herself.

Elsewhere the election carried personal costs. Willis chose not to stand in a seat, citing four young children and the family support her parents and friends provide in Wellington, and she does not regret it. Bishop narrowly lost Hutt South and called it gutting, though he accepted it as democracy, admitted "unfinished business," and remains open to a return.

What happens next depends on whether National's liberal-conservative balance holds through a term with fewer senior moderates and two partners to its right.

Vanessa Weenink, one of National's outgoing MPs, told the NZ Herald that many voters in her electorate hated the party and feared where it was heading. She said she would not publicly agree with the people she heard from, but added that she "wouldn't necessarily disagree with them either." Senior colleagues have been playing the remarks down.

Weenink describes herself as a "squishy centrist" and a former Labour member. Her concern goes beyond what she heard on the doorstep. She worries National will become more conservative, because it is losing senior liberal MPs this election and because of its coalition with Act and New Zealand First. She named Chris Bishop among the "woke liberals" she fears the party will not have enough of, a label she said Paul Goldsmith would apply to such colleagues. "The risk is that the party might be pulled too far to the right," she said, adding that the party might feel it has to consolidate with its base.

Her criticism had limits. She said she still backs Christopher Luxon as leader, and felt he handled what she called the "rabble that is the National Party" well, given the pressures from caucus and from the coalition.

Campaign chairman Simeon Brown answered by pointing to results: National has won 42 electorates, as the numbers stand now. He said that on a campaign you hear from all sorts of people, some of whom do not agree with you, and that this is part of the process. The party, he said, had just spent six weeks hearing from New Zealanders.

Erica Stanford, easily re-elected in Auckland's East Coast Bays, acknowledged that the party had lost senior liberal MPs but felt the balance between liberal and conservative had been maintained. She denied hearing anything like Weenink's feedback. Travelling the country as a senior MP alongside new MPs and candidates, and door-knocking widely, she said, it was not what she got.

Deputy leader Nicola Willis campaigned nationwide because she was not standing in a seat. She said she was sorry that had been Weenink's experience, but that it was not raised with her. "I didn't hear that from National Party supporters, but it is not to diminish Vanessa's experience," she said.

Willis appeared at ease with her decision not to contest a seat, which contributed to her leaving Parliament. She said senior National figures had long encouraged her to stand in a safe seat, but she had not taken it up. With four very young children, the youngest not yet 2, she needed family support in Wellington, where her parents and closest friends are. She said she does not regret that. When Chris Penk resigned and Kaipara ki Mahurangi opened up before the election, she judged that, having never lived there, she would struggle to build trust with voters, and that someone from the community would serve the seat better.

Bishop narrowly lost Hutt South to Labour's Ginny Andersen and described his exit as gutting, but added, "that's democracy." He admitted some "unfinished business" and was open to a return. He still thinks he has a role in public life, he said, but what it looks like is unclear. The next election is three years away.

What to watch is whether National's liberal-conservative balance holds in its next term, with fewer of its senior liberals in the caucus and two coalition partners to its right.

The risk is that the party might be pulled too far to the right.
— Vanessa Weenink, outgoing National MP
I didn't hear that from National Party supporters, but it is not to diminish Vanessa's experience.
— Nicola Willis, National deputy leader
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