Saudi Arabia left alone as Trump prioritizes US interests over Yemen conflict

Escalating Saudi airstrikes on Houthi positions in southwestern Yemen are exacerbating an already dire humanitarian situation in the country.
Riyadh's bet on Trumpism has failed.
A Saudi analyst's assessment after Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman's calls to Trump for military support went unanswered.
Mark

So Trump said the Houthis capitulated in May 2025. What does that actually mean in practice?

Mimi

It means they agreed to stop attacking ships in the Red Sea. But they didn't agree to stop fighting Israel, and they didn't get militarily defeated. The US just withdrew.

Luke

Right—and we should be clear about what "agreement" means here. Was it a formal treaty? A ceasefire? The source says Trump claimed it, but I'm not seeing the actual terms spelled out.

Mimi

Fair point. It seems to have been more of a de facto pause than a formal agreement. Which is why it unraveled so quickly.

Mark

Why did Saudi Arabia think this was a good deal for them?

Mimi

They didn't. They were sidelined from the start. Israel was excluded too. The US basically extracted itself and left both of them exposed.

Luke

But Saudi Arabia had just been designated a major non-NATO ally and committed $1 trillion to the US economy. How does that square with being abandoned?

Mimi

That's the bitter part. Riyadh made that investment betting on Trump's commitment to the region. It didn't pay off.

Mark

What's actually threatening Saudi Arabia right now?

Mimi

Houthi attacks on their oil infrastructure—the East-West pipeline, Yanbu port. And a blockade of Red Sea shipping routes that Saudi Arabia now depends on because Iran has blocked the Strait of Hormuz.

Luke

So Saudi Arabia is squeezed from two directions—Iran blocking one route, Houthis blocking the other. And the US is too committed to its Iran war to help.

Mimi

Exactly. The US is seven months into a conflict that was supposed to last weeks. They're stretched thin and facing domestic political pressure.

Mark

What's Saudi Arabia doing now?

Mimi

Reaching out to France, the UK, Pakistan, and Turkey. Basically anyone but Washington.

Luke

Has that produced results yet?

Mimi

Not really. France and the UK have made commitments, but nothing that matches what US military support would look like. The Pakistan-Turkey pact exists but hasn't had a coherent operational response yet.

  • The Houthis, never truly defeated, have returned with greater intensity — striking Riyadh, Mecca, and Saudi oil infrastructure while declaring a blockade on Saudi-linked vessels in the Red Sea.
  • Saudi Arabia's economic lifeline is under simultaneous pressure: Iran's Hormuz blockade already constraining exports, and now the Red Sea bypass route targeted by the very group Washington claimed to have neutralized.
  • Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman called Trump twice in September pleading for military support, and received only intelligence sharing in return — a rebuff that exposed the fragility of Riyadh's trillion-dollar bet on American partnership.
  • The US remains constrained by a grinding, politically costly war with Iran and approaching midterm elections, leaving Yemen far down a crowded list of priorities.
  • Saudi Arabia is assembling a patchwork security coalition — French troops and radar at Yanbu, British defensive pledges, and a new military pact with Pakistan and Turkey now facing its first real operational test.

In the aftermath of a declared but unresolved victory, the United States has left Saudi Arabia to face a resurgent Houthi threat largely alone — a moment that reveals how quickly the architecture of alliance can hollow out when domestic priorities shift. What was framed as American strategic success in May 2025 has become, over a year later, a test of whether smaller powers can substitute for the security guarantees a superpower once provided. The kingdom, caught between Houthi strikes on its oil infrastructure and a US bogged down in its war with Iran, now turns to France, Britain, Pakistan, and Turkey — partners assembled not by design, but by necessity.

In May 2025, President Trump declared the Houthi threat over. The Iran-backed group had agreed to pause maritime attacks, and US forces withdrew from Yemen. It was presented as a victory for America First — but the Houthis had not been defeated. They had simply paused. Israel, excluded from the agreement, was left exposed. Saudi Arabia, it turned out, would be next.

More than a year later, the informal ceasefire collapsed. Houthi forces struck Riyadh and Mecca, targeted the East-West oil pipeline and Yanbu port, and declared a blockade on Saudi-linked shipping in the Red Sea. The timing was brutal: Iran's blockade of the Strait of Hormuz had already squeezed Saudi oil exports, forcing Riyadh to reroute shipments through the Red Sea — the very corridor now under Houthi attack.

Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman called Trump twice in September seeking military backing. Trump offered intelligence sharing and refused new operations, insisting the Houthi agreement still held. For a kingdom that had just been designated a major non-NATO ally and pledged $1 trillion in US investment, the rebuff was a reckoning. Riyadh's bet on Trumpism had failed.

American reluctance was not simply political — it was structural. Seven months into a war with Iran that was supposed to be brief, the US remained entangled, burning through precision munitions and facing mounting public criticism ahead of midterm elections. The Houthis had long since mastered the asymmetric calculus: low-cost drones and missiles against expensive interceptors, critical assets buried in bunkers, and the ability to cut Suez Canal traffic by half while the US struggled to respond.

Saudi Arabia has begun building alternatives. France deployed troops and radar to protect Yanbu. Britain pledged defensive air support. A new military pact with Pakistan and Turkey, recently signed, now faces its first real test. None of it yet adds up to a coherent operational response — but Washington's posture has made clear that the era of American security guarantees for the Gulf may be drawing to a close. What fills that space remains an open and consequential question.

In May 2025, President Trump stood before cameras and declared the Houthi threat finished. The Iran-backed militant group, he said, had capitulated. They had agreed to stop attacking ships in the Red Sea. The United States, having conducted weeks of bombardment on Houthi targets across Yemen, would now extract itself from the conflict. It was framed as a victory—an early win for the "America First" doctrine that would define his second term. What it actually represented was a withdrawal, not a resolution. The Houthis had not been militarily defeated. They had simply agreed to pause their maritime attacks. They remained free to continue fighting Israel, which had been excluded from the agreement entirely. When Trump flew to Saudi Arabia a week later for his first major international trip, observers noted the obvious: Israel had been abandoned to face the threat alone.

Over a year later, Saudi Arabia discovered it had been abandoned too. The informal ceasefire that had held since 2022 collapsed in recent weeks as fighting reignited along the kingdom's southern border. Houthi attacks struck at Riyadh and Mecca. They targeted the East-West oil pipeline and facilities at Yanbu port. They declared a blockade on Saudi-linked vessels transiting the Red Sea and began striking Saudi ships directly. The group, backed by Iran and armed with increasingly sophisticated weaponry, had returned to active operations with renewed intensity.

For Saudi Arabia, the timing could not have been worse. A separate conflict—the ongoing US war with Iran—had already squeezed the kingdom's economy. Iran's blockade of the Strait of Hormuz had restricted Saudi oil exports. In response, Riyadh had begun routing some shipments through the Red Sea, using a bypass route that now faced direct threat from the very group the United States had supposedly neutralized. The kingdom found itself caught between a deteriorating security situation and economic pressure it could not absorb alone.

Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, the kingdom's de facto ruler, called Trump twice in September requesting military backing. The response was thin. Trump offered intelligence sharing and targeting data. He refused new US military operations, insisting the agreement with the Houthis remained in force. For a country that had just been designated a major non-NATO ally and had committed to investing $1 trillion in the US economy, the rebuff stung. One observer captured the moment plainly: Riyadh's bet on Trumpism had failed.

The American reluctance to recommit forces to Yemen reflected a broader constraint. Seven months into a war with Iran that was supposed to last weeks, the United States remained bogged down. What had begun as a campaign for regime change had narrowed into a grinding effort to secure the Strait of Hormuz against a new, more hardline Iranian leadership. The White House faced mounting political and public criticism over the war's costs as midterm elections approached. Yemen was simply not a priority.

This was not a new problem, merely an exposed one. When the Houthis first began attacking maritime targets in the Red Sea following the October 2023 Hamas attacks on Israel, the group revealed itself to be far more capable than its reputation suggested. These were not ragtag insurgents. They were disciplined operators who understood asymmetric warfare. Using low-cost drones, they cut Suez Canal traffic by half in 2024. Operation Prosperity Guardian, the US-led maritime coalition launched in December 2023 to secure Red Sea passage, struggled to counter them. Shipping companies simply rerouted around Africa via the Cape of Good Hope, accepting higher insurance premiums rather than risk Houthi attack. Even months after the group ceased their strikes, traffic remained 60 percent below mid-2023 levels.

US air campaigns against the Houthis had produced limited results. By the time Trump declared victory, the group had moved critical assets underground into bunkers while continuing to launch low-cost drones and missiles at shipping. The United States, meanwhile, had burned through precision munitions at a rate that alarmed military planners worried about stockpiles and readiness in the Indo-Pacific. The Houthis had mastered a tactic that exposed American vulnerabilities: combining accurate weapons with low-cost, scalable systems—a mismatch for the limited, expensive interceptor systems available to the US and its regional partners.

Saudi Arabia has begun hedging its bets. France announced the deployment of troops and radar systems to protect Yanbu operations and limit energy price spikes. The UK pledged defensive support focused on refueling Saudi aircraft. Most significantly, Riyadh's recently signed military pact with Pakistan and Turkey faced its first real test. The agreement has not yet produced a coherent operational response, but Washington's recent stance will likely only deepen its importance. For Saudi Arabia, the era of relying on American military commitment appears to be ending. What comes next remains uncertain.

Riyadh's bet on Trumpism has failed.
— Unnamed commentator cited in reporting
Trump offered intelligence sharing and targeting data but rejected new US military operations against the Houthis, claiming the US-Houthi agreement remained in force.
— Reporting on Trump administration response to Saudi requests
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