Pope Leo XIV's Argentina Visit Raises Questions of Papal Politics Amid Milei Tensions

The economy must be at the service of the people
Pope Leo's Sunday remark in Buenos Aires was widely read as a rebuke of Milei's austerity.
Mark

Why did the crowd size matter so much here?

Mimi

About 2.5 million people turned out in Buenos Aires. That shows how much weight Leo carries in a majority-Catholic country, whatever one thinks of his politics.

Luke

It's an estimate, though, and the source doesn't say who produced it. Treat it as approximate.

Mark

Did Leo actually criticize Milei?

Mimi

He never named him. He said the economy should serve people, and he mentioned workers who struggle to meet household needs. Observers read that as aimed at the austerity cuts.

Luke

Right, so that's an interpretation, not a statement from the pope. Cesari called it calibrated, but Leo himself hasn't said he meant Milei.

Mark

Will it change how Argentines vote in 2027?

Mimi

McLellan thinks it could raise the Church's voice, especially since Leo backs bishops critical of Milei. Cesari points out that Catholics don't vote as a bloc.

Luke

And many backed Milei in 2023 despite his attacks on Francis. The evidence we have says a direct electoral effect is unclear, and nobody can confirm one yet.

Mimi

Milei's tone on Monday was softer, too. He praised Francis as the most important Argentine in history.

Luke

Which is notable, but we don't know whether it signals a lasting shift.

  • Roughly 2.5 million people crowded Buenos Aires to see Pope Leo XIV, a turnout that ripples through the capital's streets and public life.
  • His remark that the economy must serve people, not the reverse, landed like a stone in Milei's austerity debate and stirred online anger from his supporters.
  • Milei, who once called Pope Francis an imbecile, shifted to a conciliatory tone, praising the late pontiff as Argentina's most important figure.
  • Analysts split: one sees the Argentine bishops growing louder against cuts, while another doubts the pope's words will move voters before the October 2027 election.
  • The Vatican's careful balancing act, recovering from recent cancer surgery and facing pressure from both Trump and Milei, remains the story's unresolved edge.

On a Monday in Buenos Aires, an estimated 2.5 million people gathered to see Pope Leo XIV, the first American-born pope, in a moment that tied faith to the daily strain of an Argentina bearing the weight of austerity. The day before, his words that the economy must serve people rather than people serving the economy were heard by many as a quiet rebuke of President Javier Milei's cuts, though he named no one. It is an old pattern in the long history of the papacy, where spiritual authority has always carried a political shadow, and the question now is whether that shadow falls on the ballot box or only on the conscience of the nation.

On Monday, roughly 2.5 million people filled the streets of Buenos Aires to greet Pope Leo XIV, the first American-born pope, on his return to public duty only a month after cancer surgery. For many in the crowd, the visit was about faith and national unity, and the public mood was warm, almost fervent.

The real charge of the visit came the day before. On Sunday, Leo spoke of how the economy must serve people and not the other way around, and of those who work hard yet still cannot meet their families' needs. Observers read the words as a response to President Milei's strict austerity, with its deep social service cuts and thousands of lost public jobs, even though the pope never named him. He repeated the message at a care home before the Mass.

Some of Milei's supporters online said the pope had stepped beyond his role. Yet experts see the papacy as always having been political in some sense, from the power of medieval popes to the careful, more distant influence of recent decades. Leo, who earlier faced Trump's public attacks and answered that he is not a politician but a voice for the Gospel, appears to walk that same line.

Whether the words will matter in the October 2027 election remains uncertain. One analyst believes the Argentine bishops, who have criticized the cuts, may now speak with greater force. Another notes that Catholics do not vote as one bloc, and many backed Milei in 2023 despite his past insults toward Pope Francis. Milei himself, by Monday, had softened, calling Francis an exceptional figure. What comes next will depend on the bishops, and on whether any of this reaches the ballot box.

On Monday, an estimated 2.5 million people lined the streets of Buenos Aires to catch a glimpse of Pope Leo XIV, the first US-born pope. One attendee at the open-air Mass told DW the visit mattered for Argentina's unity and, above all, for reaffirming faith in the Catholic Church. "Argentina is a country of faith," the attendee said, "it's always been so." Justin McLellan, Vatican correspondent for the National Catholic Reporter, reported from the capital that public mood toward the visit was overwhelmingly positive. "I think that people are big fans of Leo," he said.

The politics came the day before. On Sunday, Leo made remarks that many observers took as criticism of President Javier Milei, whose government has imposed strict austerity, sweeping cuts to social services and the elimination of thousands of public sector jobs. "The economy must be at the service of the people, rather than people being at the service of the economy," the pope said. He also spoke of those who, despite hard work, struggle to meet their household's needs. He repeated the message during a visit to a care home before Monday's Mass.

Some of Milei's supporters online responded by suggesting the pope had overstepped his role. The tour also marks Leo's return to duty just a month after cancer surgery.

Jocelyne Cesari, a professor of religion and politics at the University of Birmingham, told DW the words were aimed at the president's recent policies without naming him, and described them as carefully calibrated. The papacy, she noted, has a long history of direct political power. Pope Innocent III was widely considered the most important man in Europe around the late 11th and early 12th century, wielding influence over much of the continent's monarchies. In the 20th and 21st centuries, popes have tended to intervene more broadly, away from party politics and specific policy.

Leo's approach was tested early in his papacy by US President Donald Trump, an ally of Milei. In an April social media post, Trump called him "WEAK on Crime, and terrible for Foreign Policy." Leo answered that he does not see his role as that of a politician. He said he is not afraid of the Trump administration or of speaking out loudly about the message of the Gospel, which he believes is what he and the Church are here to do. Cesari said it is a familiar stance: all popes before him walked that line, and the pope is a head of state, a diplomat and a voice for more than a billion Catholics, so the role has always been political.

The longer-term question is whether Leo's perceived criticism of Milei will matter in Argentina's general election in October 2027. McLellan thinks it could. He pointed out that Leo has given his support to Argentine bishops who have criticized Milei's austerity and cuts to social programs, which he said could raise the voice of the Church in the country.

Cesari is more doubtful. People may revere the pope, she said, but it is not clear that his words directly affect individual voters. Studies show no clear, direct effect on elections, and Catholics do not vote as a bloc. Many voted for Milei in 2023, even after he called Leo's predecessor, Pope Francis, the representative of evil on Earth.

Milei, a right-wing libertarian and outspoken critic of the ruling class, has long clashed with the Church. In 2020 he called Francis, a native Argentine, an "imbecile" and accused him of promoting communism. On Monday he struck a more conciliatory tone, calling the late Francis an "exceptional figure" and the "most important Argentine in history."

McLellan described Leo as diplomatic by nature, a quality that may matter as Trump and Milei have both taken swipes at the Church amid ongoing geopolitical turmoil. What to watch is whether the Argentine bishops grow louder, and whether any of it reaches the ballot box in 2027.

The economy must be at the service of the people, rather than people being at the service of the economy.
— Pope Leo XIV, Sunday in Buenos Aires
It is not clear that what he says has a direct impact on individual voters.
— Jocelyne Cesari, University of Birmingham
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