On a spring day in Taipei, Paraguay's President Santiago Peña chose to stand beside Taiwan at the very moment Beijing asked him to abandon it, a small but telling act in a long island story of divided rule and shrinking friendships. Paraguay remains one of only a handful of nations willing to recognise Taiwan, and Peña's words, spoken at a military ceremony and in a meeting with President Lai Ching-te, affirmed that loyalty while calling for Taiwan's voice to be heard in the international order. The episode sits within a wider contest, in which China steadily courts Taipei's remaining partners
Paraguay Reaffirms Taiwan Ties as Beijing Presses Asunción to Switch Recognition
One of just 12 countries worldwide to recognise Taiwan
Why does a statement of support from Paraguay matter so much this week?
Because it came a day after Beijing publicly asked Asunción to switch. Pena answered in Taipei itself, at a ceremony and then in a meeting with Lai, so the reply was hard to miss.
What is at stake for Taiwan specifically?
Paraguay is one of only 12 countries that recognise Taiwan, and the only one in South America. Each ally counts for a lot when the total is that small.
Worth noting that the statements are public positions. Nothing in the reporting says Paraguay was offered anything by Beijing or weighed a switch seriously.
The visit also produced agreements, didn't it?
Yes, several were signed, including a memorandum of understanding on investment in an AI computing centre. The report gives no figures or timeline for it.
Right, and a memorandum of understanding is not a funded project. We don't know the size or the schedule.
Where does Honduras fit in?
It switched to Beijing in 2023, and its new president, Asfura, has ordered a review of agreements with China. Pena said he told Asfura Paraguay has a great relationship with Taiwan.
But Pena said they didn't directly discuss Honduras restoring ties. The expectation of a shift comes from the review and the US posture, not from any announced decision.
And the flyover episode last week?
Lai's Eswatini trip was postponed after several countries reportedly withdrew overflight permission. China neither confirmed nor denied involvement.
Which is why "reportedly" matters there. The pressure is alleged, not established.
El Pulso
- Beijing publicly demanded that Paraguay sever ties with Taiwan, and Asunción answered within a day by reaffirming its support on Taiwanese soil.
- Taiwan's remaining diplomatic circle is shrinking under steady Chinese pressure, and a recent flight by President Lai was forced to postpone after several countries reportedly denied overflight permission.
- President Peña pressed Taiwan's case at the United Nations and signed agreements, including an artificial intelligence computing centre memorandum, to deepen the partnership.
- Honduras, which switched to Beijing in 2023, is reviewing its agreements with China under a new government backed by Washington, leaving open whether Taipei could regain a lost ally.
- Watch for whether Honduras moves to restore ties with Taipei and whether Beijing intensifies its campaign against the partners Taiwan still has.
On a spring day in Taipei, Paraguay's President Santiago Peña chose to stand beside Taiwan at the very moment Beijing asked him to abandon it, a small but telling act in a long island story of divided rule and shrinking friendships. Paraguay remains one of only a handful of nations willing to recognise Taiwan, and Peña's words, spoken at a military ceremony and in a meeting with President Lai Ching-te, affirmed that loyalty while calling for Taiwan's voice to be heard in the international order. The episode sits within a wider contest, in which China steadily courts Taipei's remaining partners and the fate of Honduras, now reconsidering its turn toward Beijing, may signal which way the tide is running.
Standing outside the presidential office in Taipei, Paraguay's President Santiago Peña told reporters that his country highly values its relationship with Taiwan. The words carried weight because they came a day after Beijing, through foreign ministry spokesperson Lin Jian, had urged Asunción to come to the right side of history and switch recognition. Paraguay is the only South American country that recognises Taiwan, one of just twelve in the world, and Peña's four-day visit was a deliberate answer to that pressure.
In his meeting with Lai Ching-te, Peña went further, calling on the international community to recognise Taiwan's right to decide its own future and arguing that excluding the island from the United Nations system undermines the body's own legitimacy. Lai thanked him warmly, and the two leaders signed several agreements, including a memorandum on investment in an artificial intelligence computing centre.
The visit also carried echoes of a harder stretch for Taipei. Last week Lai had to postpone a trip to Eswatini after several countries withdrew permission to fly over their territory, reportedly under Chinese pressure. Peña, meanwhile, had met Honduran President Nasry Asfura, whose government is reviewing its ties with Beijing after the 2023 switch. They did not discuss restoring relations directly, but the question now hangs over the region: whether Honduras will drift back toward Taipei, and whether Beijing will press harder on the friends Taiwan has left.
Standing outside the presidential office in Taipei on Friday, Paraguay's President Santiago Pena told reporters, through an interpreter, that his country "highly values the relationship" with Taiwan. He spoke at a military honours ceremony, and the timing gave his words weight: a day earlier, Beijing had publicly asked Paraguay to cut its diplomatic ties with the island.
Paraguay is the only country in South America that recognises Taiwan, and one of just 12 worldwide. Beijing claims Taiwan as its own territory. Over the past few years it has stepped up a campaign to win away Taipei's remaining diplomatic allies, while also increasing military pressure around the island.
The request came from Chinese foreign ministry spokesperson Lin Jian. On Thursday he urged Paraguayan authorities to "come to the right side of history as soon as possible." He called the one-China principle a basic norm of international relations and said 183 countries have formed diplomatic ties with China. On Friday, at a press briefing in Beijing, he repeated the call.
Pena was in the middle of a four-day visit to Taiwan, which began Thursday. At the ceremony he said the event symbolised both sides' determination to keep deepening their ties and partnership. He said that, built on shared values of democracy, freedom and human rights, Paraguay would keep supporting Taiwan and promote a bilateral strategic partnership.
In his bilateral meeting with Taiwan's President Lai Ching-te, Pena went further. He said Paraguay solemnly called on the international community to recognise that Taiwan's people should have the right to make their own decisions, on principles of democracy and fairness. Excluding Taiwan from the United Nations system, he said, is not only unfair but also undermines the legitimacy of the UN as the most representative organisation of democratic countries.
Lai thanked Pena and the Paraguayan government for speaking up for Taiwan and for firmly backing its international participation. He said he believed the friendship would deepen and cooperation grow closer through Pena's visit. The two leaders presided over the signing of several bilateral agreements, among them a memorandum of understanding on investment in an artificial intelligence computing centre.
Pena also spoke to Taiwan's Central News Agency about a recent encounter with Honduran President Nasry Asfura, whom he met on the sidelines of an event before flying to Taiwan. They did not directly discuss whether Honduras might restore ties with the island, Pena said, but he told Asfura that Paraguay has a great relationship with Taiwan. Honduras established diplomatic relations with China in 2023, after breaking with Taipei. Asfura, elected with the backing of US President Donald Trump, has ordered a review of agreements between Tegucigalpa and Beijing. That has fed expectations that Honduras will distance itself from China, in line with a Trump administration push to reduce Chinese influence and economic clout in Latin America. Lin said China-Honduras cooperation is not aimed at any third party and should not be interfered with.
The visit follows a difficult stretch for Taipei. Last week Lai travelled to Eswatini, Taiwan's last diplomatic partner in Africa, after having to postpone the trip when several countries withdrew permission for him to fly over their territory, reportedly because of Chinese pressure. China neither confirmed nor denied that, but expressed "high appreciation" for those countries' adherence to the one-China principle.
China and Taiwan have been governed separately since 1949, when the Communist Party took power in Beijing after a civil war and the defeated Nationalist forces fled to Taiwan. The island later moved from martial law to multiparty democracy. What to watch now is whether Honduras moves toward restoring ties with Taipei, and whether Beijing escalates its pressure on the allies Taiwan has left.
Citas Notables
Paraguay highly values the relationship.— Santiago Pena, President of Paraguay, via interpreter
Come to the right side of history as soon as possible.— Lin Jian, Chinese foreign ministry spokesperson