North Korea fires missiles as US signals openness to dialogue

Nothing much has changed, Biden said, dismissing the test.
The president downplayed North Korea's first weapons test under his administration, characterizing it as routine activity.
Mark

Why did the US downplay this test when North Korea just rejected their diplomatic overtures?

Mimi

Because the weapons tested were lower-tier cruise missiles, not the strategic systems that would signal a major escalation. The administration wanted to signal it wasn't going to be provoked into abandoning dialogue.

Luke

But we should note—North Korea rejected the overtures. They called them a cheap trick. So what dialogue is actually on the table?

Mimi

That's the thing. The US says it's still open to talks, but there's been very little actual interaction since 2019. The policy review is ongoing.

Mark

Why didn't Seoul and Washington announce the test right away?

Mimi

They'd agreed not to disclose it. The official reason was protecting reconnaissance capabilities. But some South Korean lawmakers thought Seoul was trying to avoid upsetting North Korea while pursuing better cross-border relations.

Luke

So we have an allegation of a coordination failure, but the JCS explanation is plausible too. We don't actually know which is true.

Mark

What about the timing—right after Blinken's visit?

Mimi

It could have been routine, pre-planned activity. One analyst suggested it was more about the joint military exercises happening that month than a response to Blinken.

Luke

Which means we're reading intent into an action that might have had nothing to do with US policy at all.

Mark

So where does this leave things?

Mimi

The US is finalizing its North Korea policy and meeting with Japanese and South Korean advisers next week. But there's no active negotiation happening right now.

Luke

And North Korea has been developing its nuclear program throughout all of this, stealing hundreds of millions through cyber hacks to fund it.

  • North Korea's first weapons test under Biden — two cruise missiles launched from Onchon — arrived as a deliberate signal, timed to coincide with joint US-South Korean military exercises Pyongyang had already condemned.
  • Washington refused to take the bait, with Biden shrugging off the launch as 'business as usual' and senior officials cautioning against 'hyping' a test involving weapons not even banned under UN resolutions.
  • A quiet controversy emerged when it surfaced that Seoul and Washington had agreed not to publicly disclose their detection of the missiles, prompting accusations that allies were tiptoeing around Pyongyang to preserve hopes of engagement.
  • Behind the scenes, the US had made repeated diplomatic overtures since mid-February — all of them rejected by North Korea, which called the approaches a 'cheap trick' — leaving the path to resumed talks deeply uncertain.
  • With its North Korea policy review nearly complete, the Biden administration is set to huddle with Japanese and South Korean security advisers next week, even as Pyongyang's nuclear and missile programs continue to advance in violation of UN sanctions.

In the long and unresolved drama of the Korean Peninsula, North Korea fired two cruise missiles into the sea on a Sunday morning — the first such test since a new American administration arrived in Washington. Rather than escalate, the Biden White House chose the language of normalcy, calling the launch routine and reaffirming its willingness to talk, even as Pyongyang had already dismissed American overtures as a cheap trick. It is a familiar choreography: provocation met with patience, silence met with open doors, and the deeper question of denuclearization left, once again, to another day.

North Korea launched two cruise missiles off its west coast on a Sunday morning, the first publicly acknowledged weapons test since Joe Biden entered the White House. South Korean military officials detected the launch from the town of Onchon and monitored it in real time — but did not immediately tell the public.

The Biden administration's response was studied calm. Senior officials described the weapons as lower-tier systems not covered by UN testing bans, and Biden himself told reporters that 'nothing much has changed,' calling it 'business as usual.' A senior US official warned against 'hyping' the event. The Pentagon said nothing. China urged everyone to keep talking.

The timing carried weight. The launch came just days after Secretary of State Blinken had visited Seoul, pledging to pursue denuclearization and condemning North Korea's human rights record. Since mid-February, the US had quietly extended multiple diplomatic overtures. Pyongyang rejected every one, dismissing them as a 'cheap trick.'

The decision not to announce the missile detection publicly became its own controversy. A South Korean lawmaker revealed the two allies had agreed to stay quiet, which opposition figures and analysts read as Seoul walking on eggshells to avoid antagonizing the North. Military officials countered that some activities go unreported to protect intelligence sources, a practice coordinated with US counterparts.

Analysts like Jenny Town of 38 North called the test 'pretty mild,' linking it more to the scheduled joint military exercises — which had already been scaled back to encourage diplomacy — than to any broader strategic shift. The larger picture remained one of stalled engagement: since the Trump-Kim summit collapsed in Hanoi in 2019, meaningful dialogue had all but ceased. North Korea's weapons programs had continued developing throughout 2020, funded in part, UN monitors found, by some $300 million stolen through cyber operations.

The Biden administration insisted the launch did not close the door to future talks. Its North Korea policy review was nearly finished, and next week it planned to bring together the national security advisers of Japan and South Korea to chart a path forward — even as the door on the other side remained, for now, firmly shut.

North Korea fired two cruise missiles off its west coast on Sunday morning, the first publicly acknowledged weapons test since Joe Biden took office in January. South Korean military officials detected the launch from the town of Onchon and monitored it in real time, though they did not immediately announce it publicly. The test marked a deliberate signal—one that Washington chose largely to ignore.

Two senior officials from the Biden administration characterized the weapons involved as lower-tier systems, the kind not explicitly prohibited by UN Security Council testing bans. This distinction mattered to how they framed the event. When asked about it days later, Biden himself dismissed the test with a shrug, telling reporters "nothing much has changed" and that according to the Defense Department it amounted to "business as usual." A senior US official went further, calling the activity "normal" testing and cautioning against what he termed "hyping" the development. The Pentagon declined to comment. China's foreign ministry spokeswoman urged all parties to continue dialogue and keep the situation calm.

The timing was pointed. The test arrived just days after Secretary of State Antony Blinken had traveled to Seoul alongside the Defense Secretary, where he pledged to work toward denuclearizing North Korea and condemned its "systemic and widespread" human rights violations. Behind the scenes, the US had made repeated diplomatic overtures since mid-February. North Korea rejected them all, dismissing the approaches as a "cheap trick."

The question of why Seoul and Washington had not announced the test immediately became its own small controversy. A South Korean lawmaker said the allies had agreed not to disclose their detection of the missiles, citing a briefing from intelligence officials. Opposition lawmakers and some experts read this as a coordination failure—or worse, as Seoul deliberately downplaying a provocation in hopes of improving cross-border relations. Kim Dong-yup, a professor at Kyungnam University, suggested the government and military might have been "walking on eggshells so as not to upset North Korea." A JCS official countered that some North Korean activities simply go unreported to protect reconnaissance capabilities, a decision made in consultation with US military counterparts.

Jenny Town, who directs 38 North, a website tracking North Korean developments, assessed the latest action as "pretty mild" and speculated it had more to do with joint US-South Korean military exercises scheduled for that month than anything else. North Korea had criticized those exercises despite their being scaled back specifically to create space for nuclear negotiations to resume.

The broader context was one of stalled engagement. Since a failed summit between Donald Trump and Kim Jong Un in Hanoi in February 2019, there had been "very little dialogue or interaction," according to senior US officials. Yet those same officials insisted they did not view this latest test as "closing the door" to future talks. The Biden administration's policy review on North Korea was in its final stages, they said, and next week they would host the national security advisers of Japan and South Korea to discuss strategy.

Meanwhile, North Korea's nuclear and missile programs had continued to develop throughout 2020 in violation of UN sanctions dating back to 2006. Independent UN sanctions monitors documented that Pyongyang had stolen roughly $300 million through cyber hacks to help fund that development. The country had not tested a nuclear weapon or an intercontinental ballistic missile since 2017, but had conducted several shorter-range tests after the Hanoi summit collapsed. The Trump administration had also chosen to minimize those tests. Now Biden was doing the same.

Nothing much has changed. According to the Defense Department it's business as usual.
— President Joe Biden
I can't help asking if the government and the JCS were walking on eggshells so as not to upset North Korea.
— Kim Dong-yup, professor at Kyungnam University
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