Mélenchon's Russia blind spot threatens to fracture France's left

A man calling for reopening the poison-drip of gas from a state waging undeclared war on France
The columnist questions how Mélenchon, the left's frontrunner, can advocate reopening Russian gas pipelines while France faces hybrid warfare from Moscow.
Mark

So Abitbol is a genuine leftist activist, and he can't vote for the left's frontrunner. That's the story?

Mimi

It's the faultline. Mélenchon has actually delivered for working-class voters in places that were abandoned. But his foreign policy is frozen in 1985. Abitbol wants the economic break; he can't accept the geopolitical one.

Luke

How many voters are actually in Abitbol's position? The piece says "millions," but is that sourced?

Mimi

The polling shows the non-Mélenchon left trails him but is still substantial. And the piece notes that voters might not admit it openly. So it's inference, not a hard count.

Mark

What's the actual danger here? Why does it matter if Mélenchon has bad takes on Russia?

Mimi

Because if the left fractures over this, Le Pen wins. She polls at 69 percent against Mélenchon in a runoff. A divided left hands her the presidency.

Luke

But that assumes Abitbol and voters like him would actually defect to Le Pen or abstain. The piece doesn't show that. It shows they're uncomfortable. That's different.

Mark

And the EU stuff—is Mélenchon actually proposing to leave, or is he just talking about disobeying rules?

Mimi

He wants France to withdraw from NATO and "disobey" EU rules whenever necessary. The piece argues that's nationalist, not leftist.

Luke

But the piece also acknowledges the EU is imperfect. Is the argument that any EU is better than none? Or that Mélenchon's alternative is incoherent?

Mimi

The latter. He wants a non-aligned coalition of geographically remote states with no common interests. It's not a real alternative; it's just France closing in on itself.

Mark

And the Russia stuff—is Mélenchon actually pro-Putin, or is he just anti-NATO?

Luke

The piece shows he's echoed Kremlin narratives on Crimea, Ukraine, Nord Stream. That goes beyond anti-NATO. That's alignment.

Mimi

Right. He called Ukraine the aggressor in 2022. He defends Crimea as "always Russian." That's not principled anti-imperialism; that's picking a side.

Mark

So what happens next? Does the left actually fracture, or do they find a way to coalesce?

Luke

The piece doesn't say. It warns about the risk. But whether Abitbol and others actually stay home or vote for Mélenchon anyway—that's still unknown.

  • Mélenchon polls at 17% on the strength of radical economic proposals, yet surveys show he would lose a runoff to Marine Le Pen by nearly 40 points — a gap his Russia stance helps explain.
  • Since 2014, he has called Ukraine's Maidan uprising a neo-Nazi putsch, defended the annexation of Crimea, and dismissed Baltic EU members as 'the end of the world' — positions that track Kremlin talking points with uncomfortable precision.
  • Young progressive activists like Théodore Abitbol, who march for Palestine and read bell hooks, find themselves unable to vote for the only candidate who matches their economic vision, because his geopolitical worldview feels like a betrayal of the people it claims to protect.
  • The non-Mélenchon left — Socialists, Ecologists, Communists — remains fragmented and trailing, offering no clean alternative and leaving pro-European progressives without a viable home.
  • If the contradiction goes unresolved, France faces a 2027 runoff in which millions may vote for Mélenchon, as one activist put it, 'with vomit in their mouths' — a democracy functioning, but barely, on the fumes of lesser-evil logic.

In France, a generation of progressive voters finds itself caught between a left that speaks to their economic wounds and a left that cannot see past its own Cold War ghosts. Jean-Luc Mélenchon, the hard-left leader who has genuinely moved the needle in forgotten cities and working-class communities, has spent a decade echoing Kremlin narratives on Ukraine, NATO, and European sovereignty — positions that sit in open contradiction with the internationalist values of the very voters he needs. The 2027 presidential race is shaping into a moral trap: a divided left risks handing France to the far right, while the price of unity may be swallowing a foreign policy that mirrors, from the inside, what authoritarians seek to accomplish from without.

Théodore Abitbol is exactly the voter Jean-Luc Mélenchon should own. A decade-long activist with degrees in political science and comparative literature, he shows up to pro-Palestine protests and fills his shelves with bell hooks and Mike Davis. And yet he cannot bring himself to vote for the man who leads La France Insoumise — the hard-left party that has actually delivered in places the French establishment abandoned.

That delivery is real. LFI candidates have broken decades-long right-wing holds in cities like Roubaix, one of France's poorest. The party's parliamentarians are drafting genuinely radical legislation. On economic redistribution and giving voice to the left-behind, Mélenchon is doing something necessary. But Abitbol's disqualifying issue is foreign policy. 'A part of the French left retains a cold-war mentality where Russia is an ally against American imperialism,' he said, 'without seeing that Putin and Trump are in agreement about almost everything.'

The record bears him out. Since 2014, Mélenchon has called Ukraine's Maidan uprising a neo-Nazi putsch, declared Crimea 'always Russian,' and joined Marine Le Pen in denouncing France's cancellation of a warship sale to Russia as an 'unbearable betrayal.' He dismissed the sovereign choices of Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania to join NATO — countries that had lived under Soviet occupation — with the remark that he felt 'nothing in common with them.' When Putin invaded Ukraine in 2022, Mélenchon called Ukraine 'without a doubt' the aggressor.

In the years since, his public statements have tracked the same narratives promoted by RT France before the network's director was expelled and her assets frozen. He calls for reopening Nord Stream pipelines, dismisses Zelenskyy as 'president of nothing,' and has declared that 'Taiwan is China.' This is not principled anti-imperialism. It is the logic of 'the enemy of my enemy,' indifferent to the cost borne by smaller, less powerful nations caught in between.

The electoral math makes the stakes concrete. Mélenchon polls at 17%, enough to reach a second round — but polling shows Le Pen would defeat him 69 to 31 in a runoff. The fragmented non-Mélenchon left trails badly, with no candidate positioned to consolidate the vote. If France's divided progressives cannot resolve this contradiction before 2027, they may find themselves choosing between two visions of national destruction: one from the far right, one from a left that has not updated its worldview since 1985. Abitbol says he would vote for Mélenchon against Le Pen — 'with vomit in my mouth.' Millions of French voters may soon understand exactly what he means.

Théodore Abitbol has spent a decade as a full-time activist. He holds degrees in political science and comparative literature. His bookshelf holds bell hooks and Mike Davis. He shows up to pro-Palestine protests. By every measure, he should be voting for Jean-Luc Mélenchon in France's 2027 presidential race.

Mélenchon leads La France Insoumise, the hard-left party that has actually moved the needle in places the French political establishment had written off. Bally Bagayoko won the mayoral race in Saint-Denis despite racist abuse. David Guiraud broke a 40-year right-wing hold on Roubaix, one of France's poorest large cities. The party's parliamentarians are drafting radical proposals—extending legal rights to close friendships, for instance. On economic policy, on the redistribution of wealth, on giving voice to the left-behind in France's struggling urban cores, Mélenchon is doing something necessary.

But Abitbol cannot bring himself to vote for him. When asked recently why, he was direct: Mélenchon's positions on Russia, Ukraine, and the European Union are disqualifying. "A part of the French left retains a cold-war mentality where Russia is an ally against American imperialism, without seeing that Putin and Trump are in agreement about almost everything in their foreign and domestic policies," Abitbol said. He is not alone in this bind. Millions of French voters, the polling suggests, crave the economic rupture Mélenchon offers but have no appetite for where he would take France on the world stage.

Mélenchon polls at around 17 percent, enough to reach the second round of the presidential election. The fragmented non-Mélenchon left—Ecologists, Socialists, Communists—trails him, with Raphaël Glucksmann leading a split field at roughly 10 percent. But the numbers also show that Marine Le Pen would defeat Mélenchon 69 to 31 in a runoff. This is the trap: a divided left could hand power to the far right.

The foreign policy record is the problem. Since 2014, Mélenchon has consistently advanced what amounts to Kremlin talking points. When young Ukrainians filled Kyiv's streets during the Maidan Revolution demanding a European future, Mélenchon called it a putsch orchestrated by neo-Nazis. When Putin annexed Crimea, Mélenchon claimed it had "always been Russian." In 2015, when France cancelled the sale of two advanced Mistral-class helicopter carriers to Russia in response to Putin's aggression, Mélenchon joined Marine Le Pen in denouncing the decision as France's "vassalisation to NATO's bellicose rhetoric." He called it an "unbearable betrayal" by then-president François Hollande.

For the next seven years, Mélenchon invoked international law selectively—condemning American unilateral action in Syria while minimizing or defending Russia's unilateral actions and war crimes there, which killed an estimated 20,000 civilians by conservative count. He dismissed Russia's former Soviet neighbors' sovereign choice to join NATO as provocative. Estonia, Lithuania, and Latvia—EU and NATO members since 2004, among Ukraine's largest donors by GDP—drew his scorn. "I feel nothing in common with them, it's the end of the world, even the Romans never made it that far," he said in 2017. He seemed incurious about why countries that had been occupied by an aggressive, territorially expansionist petro-oligarchy might want to join a defensive alliance.

When Putin invaded Ukraine in 2022, Mélenchon's position did not budge. He claimed Ukraine was "without a doubt" the aggressor, that Russia felt "humiliated, threatened, aggressed" by the US decision to "annex Ukraine into NATO." (The invasion, of course, accelerated Sweden and Finland's sovereign decisions to join.) In the four years since, Mélenchon's blog posts and media appearances have echoed the same narratives that Xenia Federova, former director of RT France, promoted on the rightwing network CNews before France expelled her and froze her assets. He calls for bringing Russia "back into the fold," reopening Nord Stream gas pipelines, dismisses Zelenskyy as "president of nothing," and accuses other Europeans of having "demonised Putin." He has also declared that "Taiwan is China."

This is not principled leftism. It is not even coherent anti-imperialism. It is the logic of "the enemy of my enemy," consequences be damned for the less powerful. Mélenchon has not updated his worldview since 1985, when he first held office. But the world has changed. His position is no longer anti-American; it is simply to attack from inside what Putin seeks to dismantle from outside. He has made no secret of his desire to withdraw France from NATO, to "assume confrontation with European institutions," and to "disobey" EU rules "whenever necessary." This is not how you lead change in an imperfect but functional framework for tackling challenges that transcend borders—climate, inequality, trade. This is how you destroy it from within, which is precisely what Europe's far-right nationalists want. If France decides it can ignore EU rules at will, so can everyone else. The emissions trading scheme collapses. The carbon border tax fails. The entire institutional architecture deteriorates. Abitbol, asked if he would vote for Mélenchon in a runoff against Le Pen, said yes—"with vomit in my mouth." Pity him and the millions like him forced to choose between two equally disastrous visions of France's place in the world.

A part of the French left retains a cold-war mentality where Russia is an ally against American imperialism, without seeing that Putin and Trump are in agreement about almost everything
— Théodore Abitbol, activist and Mélenchon skeptic
It's easier for Mélenchon to grasp at phantoms than it is to face the reality that Russia is waging a hybrid war on us
— Théodore Abitbol
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