Every spring the Melbourne Cup asks a question that no form guide can fully answer, and this year's edition arrives at Flemington reshaped by withdrawals and inclusions made before a single gate opened. A long-shot rider with the chance to make history sits alongside a favourite whose stable has never fielded so many hopes at once. Whether the carefully drawn barriers and the weight of past champions will hold their sway, or whether a wider, unexpected horse will rise through the crowd, is a story that will only be settled at 3pm on Tuesday, 3 November.
Melbourne Cup 2026: Jamie Melham Chases History on Future History as Point of Law Leads a 24-Horse Field
A long-shot's ride could make Melbourne Cup history
Why is Jamie Melham's ride getting so much attention if Future History is a long-shot?
Because a win would make her the first woman to win back-to-back Cups. The last to win successive Cups was Mark Zahra, in 2022 and 2023.
And she's the reigning winner, so the story is really about the jockey.
Yes. She said one win was incredible but she wants another, and she'll try her best.
Worth saying plainly: Future History is a nine-year-old at 53.5kg from barrier 12, described as a long-shot. The history angle is a possibility, not a forecast.
What about Point of Law at $6?
He's won three of his last four, including the Geelong Cup, and trainer Ciaron Maher likes barrier nine.
Maher's comment is his view of the draw. Favouritism is a bookmaker's price, not a result.
Maher also has seven runners, a record.
Yes, which means a lot of the field shares one stable.
The piece doesn't say how that affects tactics or how the horses will be ridden, so we shouldn't guess.
And Knight's Choice and Onesmoothoperator each chase a first of their own.
Knight's Choice would be the first repeat winner since Makybe Diva, and Onesmoothoperator the first nine-year-old winner.
El Pulso
- Two late scratchings, one failed vet inspection and one injury concern, forced the field into last-minute reshaping.
- Point of Law, the $6 favourite from barrier nine, carries Ciaron Maher's record seven-runner team and the pressure that comes with it.
- Jamie Melham rides long-shot Future History from barrier 12, chasing a first-ever back-to-back Cup for a woman jockey.
- Knight's Choice and Onesmoothoperator each push against history, one for a rare multiple-winner milestone, the other for a first nine-year-old champion.
- With 24 horses, $10.2 million in prizemoney and a 3pm start, the race is set to be broadcast live on Channel Nine and 9Now.
Every spring the Melbourne Cup asks a question that no form guide can fully answer, and this year's edition arrives at Flemington reshaped by withdrawals and inclusions made before a single gate opened. A long-shot rider with the chance to make history sits alongside a favourite whose stable has never fielded so many hopes at once. Whether the carefully drawn barriers and the weight of past champions will hold their sway, or whether a wider, unexpected horse will rise through the crowd, is a story that will only be settled at 3pm on Tuesday, 3 November.
Two late scratchings reshaped the Melbourne Cup field before the gates opened at Flemington. Defiantly failed a vet inspection, and Stinger Glass was judged at risk of injury. Their withdrawals let Kizlyar and Future History into the race, and the second of those inclusions put a piece of history within reach.
Future History, a nine-year-old gelding trained by Gregory Hickman, will be ridden from barrier 12 by Jamie Melham, last year's Cup-winning jockey. At 53.5kg he is a long-shot, but a win would make Melham the first woman to take back-to-back Melbourne Cups. Mark Zahra is the last jockey to have done so, in 2022 and 2023. Melham told Nine that one win had been incredible, but she wants another.
At the head of the market is Point of Law, the English four-year-old at $6, who has won three of his last four starts including the Geelong Cup. Trained by Ciaron Maher, he will be ridden by Ethan Brown from barrier nine. Maher's record seven runners include imports Middle Earth, Mr Monaco, Royal Supremacy, Juja Kibo, Shockletz and Zahrann.
The field carries other stories too. Knight's Choice, the 2024 winner, could become only the sixth horse to win the Cup two or more times. Enfjaar, third in the Caulfield Cup, has barrier eight with Ray Dawson aboard, and analysts favour his chance.
With the barriers drawn, the answer comes at 3pm on Tuesday.
Two late scratchings reshaped the Melbourne Cup field before the gates ever opened at Flemington. Defiantly failed a vet inspection, and Stinger Glass was judged at risk of injury. Their withdrawals let Kizlyar and Future History into the race, and the second of those inclusions put a piece of history within reach.
Future History will be ridden from barrier 12 by Jamie Melham, the reigning Cup-winning jockey. The nine-year-old gelding, trained by Gregory Hickman, is regarded as a long-shot at 53.5kg. But if he won on Tuesday, Melham would become the first woman to win back-to-back Melbourne Cups. The last jockey to take successive Cups was Mark Zahra, who rode Gold Trip and Without A Fight to victory in 2022 and 2023. Melham told Nine that one win had been incredible but that she wants another, and that being the first woman to do it would be pretty special.
The race is run on Tuesday, November 3, as race seven on the Flemington card. It starts at 3pm over 3200 metres, as a Group One contest for a 24-horse field. The day's racing begins at 10.45am and finishes with race 10 at 5.15pm. Prizemoney totals $10.2 million, with $4.5 million to the winner. Channel Nine will broadcast the race live, and it will also stream on 9Now.
At the head of the market is Point of Law, at $6. The English four-year-old has won three of his last four starts, including the Geelong Cup just under a fortnight ago. He is trained by Ciaron Maher, who prepared Gold Trip for the 2022 Cup, and will be ridden by Ethan Brown from barrier nine, carrying 53kg. Maher said barrier nine is ideal, because the horse needs to get the first half of the race right and the draw should help him do that.
Point of Law is one of a record seven runners for Maher, who also fields the imports Middle Earth, Mr Monaco, Royal Supremacy, Juja Kibo, Shockletz and Zahrann. Shockletz, a New Zealand-bred five-year-old, finished second and then first in his last two Flemington starts and is at 10-to-one from barrier 17. Irish gelding Juja Kibo is at $12 after two straight wins.
Other runners draw attention for different reasons. Knight's Choice, the 2024 winner, could become only the sixth horse to win the Cup two or more times, and the first since Makybe Diva. Onesmoothoperator, an American gelding, is aiming to become the first nine-year-old to win the race, though barrier 13 makes it harder. Enfjaar, third in the Caulfield Cup, has barrier eight and 56kg with Ray Dawson aboard, and form analysts favour his chance.
Joseph O'Brien's runners are spread across the gates. Goodie Two Shoes (19), Kizlyar (20) and James J Braddock (24) start wide, while British six-year-old Sons And Lovers drew barrier three.
Only four Australian horses are in the field: So You Are, Zakouma, Knight's Choice and Strictly Business. So You Are, trained by Bjorn Baker and ridden by Rachel King from barrier seven, has won four straight, including two in October on good and soft tracks. With the field set and the barriers drawn, the answer comes at 3pm on Tuesday.
Citas Notables
It would be pretty special to win two in a row and be the first female to do that, so I'll be trying my best.— Jamie Melham, speaking on Nine
Barrier nine is ideal; he needs to get the first half of the race right.— Ciaron Maher, trainer of Point of Law