In Nairobi and across Kenya, the daily ritual of chai — milky, spiced, and shared — has met an unwelcome interruption, as drought-thinned pastures and soaring feed costs have drained the milk supply that sustains both culture and commerce. Formal deliveries to processors fell measurably through the northern hemisphere summer, and what remains on supermarket shelves now commands prices that strain the budgets of ordinary families. Consumer advocates argue the crisis was not simply an act of nature but a failure of foresight — a surplus left unpreserved, a buffer never built. The government is n
Kenya's milk shortage leaves chai lovers in crisis as drought and supply failures collide
If they come in groups, and there's no milk tea, you see that's a loss for me
So Kenya produces a lot of milk—why did it run out so suddenly?
It wasn't sudden, really. The rains came late, which meant less grass for the cows. At the same time, the cost of buying feed jumped 45 percent. Farmers got squeezed from both sides.
But the consumer federation says it was avoidable. They're saying the state dairy company didn't store enough powder from last year's surplus. That's a policy failure, not just weather.
Right. If they'd preserved that surplus milk as powder, they could have reconverted it back to liquid during the dry season. That's standard practice. Instead, the shortage caught everyone off guard.
Who's actually suffering most from this?
Low-income families. People are adding water to milk to stretch it further. Some are switching to black tea, which breaks a cultural habit. Restaurant owners like Muthoni are losing customers because she can't serve chai.
The prices rose from 70 to 80 shillings per litre—is that a big jump for ordinary Kenyans?
It's significant. That's the difference between being able to afford milk regularly and having to choose between milk and something else for your kids.
What's the government actually doing about it?
They're importing maize duty-free to lower feed costs, considering a preservation fund for future surpluses, and looking at temporary milk imports from neighbouring countries.
Those are band-aids. The real question is whether they'll fix the storage and processing infrastructure so this doesn't happen again.
And will they?
That's still unknown. The government committed to "longer-term solutions," but we don't have details yet.
Il Polso
- Supermarket milk shelves in Nairobi have gone nearly bare, leaving restaurant owners like Muthoni Macharia scrambling each morning to find enough packets to serve the chai her customers will not give up.
- Prices that sat at 70–80 Kenyan shillings per litre weeks ago have climbed further still, and some families are already stretching what little they find by adding water — a quiet, private form of hardship.
- The Consumer Federation of Kenya has placed blame not only on drought but on institutional failure, arguing that New KCC and the Kenya Dairy Board allowed last year's surplus to go unpreserved, making this shortage both foreseeable and largely avoidable.
- The government has convened emergency meetings with processors and announced plans for duty-free maize imports to lower feed costs, while also weighing temporary milk imports from neighbouring countries.
- The Kenya Dairy Board insists supply remains available in longer-life UHT form, but that assurance rings hollow for the chai drinker facing empty shelves and the low-income parent reconsidering what to pour for her children.
In Nairobi and across Kenya, the daily ritual of chai — milky, spiced, and shared — has met an unwelcome interruption, as drought-thinned pastures and soaring feed costs have drained the milk supply that sustains both culture and commerce. Formal deliveries to processors fell measurably through the northern hemisphere summer, and what remains on supermarket shelves now commands prices that strain the budgets of ordinary families. Consumer advocates argue the crisis was not simply an act of nature but a failure of foresight — a surplus left unpreserved, a buffer never built. The government is now reaching for emergency tools, but the deeper question of whether institutions will learn to protect abundance before scarcity arrives remains unanswered.
Walk into a Nairobi supermarket today and the milk section tells the story plainly: shelves mostly bare, prices climbing, and a quiet anxiety spreading through a city that runs on chai. For Kenyans, milk is not a convenience — it is the foundation of a tea culture woven into daily life, poured at breakfast, at meetings, at moments of hospitality. Its absence has become a genuine disruption.
Muthoni Macharia, who runs a restaurant in the capital and normally buys more than seventy packets of fresh milk a day, recently found herself searching for just a few. The morning rush, when regulars expect their milky tea, had become a source of stress rather than routine. Customers unwilling to switch to black tea simply walked away. Across the city, shopkeepers rationed what they had and raised prices, with milk that cost 70 to 80 shillings per litre weeks earlier growing scarcer and more expensive by the day.
Kenya is one of Africa's leading milk producers, yet formal deliveries to processors fell 3.7 percent from June to July — dropping from 84.4 million to 81.3 million litres — with further declines reported into August. The government pointed to drought: delayed rains had shrunk grazing land while animal feed costs rose 45 percent, squeezing farmers from both directions. But the Consumer Federation of Kenya pushed back, arguing the shortage was foreseeable. State processors, it said, had failed to preserve the previous year's surplus as powdered milk — a standard buffer for dry seasons — leaving no cushion when production fell.
The human cost landed unevenly. Bernard Abok described the demoralising cycle of empty shelves one day and inflated prices the next. Patricia Gathoni said she had already begun watering down the milk she managed to buy, and worried about what she could afford to feed her children. For families already stretched thin, the shortage had sharpened a painful choice between nutrition and budget.
The government responded in late August, meeting with processors and announcing plans to import yellow maize duty-free to ease feed costs, alongside a longer-term proposal for a milk preservation fund to hold reserves against future shortfalls. Temporary imports from neighbouring countries were also under consideration. The Kenya Dairy Board offered reassurance that UHT milk with a longer shelf life remained available — a distinction that brought little comfort to those searching for the fresh milk that chai demands. Whether the emergency measures would arrive quickly enough, and whether they would address the institutional failures that allowed the crisis to deepen, remained the open and pressing question.
Walk into a supermarket in Nairobi these days and you will find the milk section nearly bare. The shelves that once held rows of chilled bottles now sit mostly empty, and what remains carries a price tag that climbs higher each week. For a nation where milk is not simply a commodity but the foundation of daily ritual—poured generously into tea that Kenyans drink multiple times a day, served at meetings and social gatherings, flavored with ginger and spices—this absence has become a genuine crisis.
Muthoni Macharia runs a restaurant in the capital and normally buys more than seventy packets of fresh milk each day. When she spoke to reporters recently, she was out searching for just a few packets to meet her customers' demand for chai. The shortage had been grinding on for about a week, hitting hardest during the morning rush when regulars expect their milky tea. Some have switched to black tea, but many will not. "If they come in groups, and there's no milk tea, you see that's a loss for me," she said. Her frustration was not unique. Across the city, shopkeepers were rationing supplies and raising prices. Customers reported that milk that cost 70 to 80 Kenyan shillings per litre just weeks earlier had become scarce and expensive, with prices climbing to 80 shillings or more—roughly 54 to 62 cents, or 40 to 46 pence.
Kenya is one of Africa's leading milk producers, with a well-established commercial dairy industry that has made pasteurised milk central to urban life. Kenyans rank among the continent's highest consumers of milk. Yet formal deliveries to processors fell 3.7 percent from June to July, dropping from 84.4 million litres to 81.3 million litres. Preliminary data suggested the decline continued into August. The government blamed drought. Delayed seasonal rains had shrunk the pasture available to grazing herds, and the cost of animal feed had risen 45 percent, squeezing farmers from both sides.
But the Consumer Federation of Kenya, a watchdog organisation, argued that the shortage was not inevitable. It pointed to decisions made by state-owned dairy processor New KCC and the Kenya Dairy Board, saying they had failed to adequately preserve the milk surplus from the previous year. During dry seasons, processors typically reconvert powdered milk back into liquid form to bridge the gap. Had those buffers been in place, the federation said, "today's supply shock would have been substantially cushioned." The shortage, it concluded, was "foreseeable, and in material part, avoidable."
The human cost was immediate and uneven. Bernard Abok, a shopper who does his buying after work, described the frustration of finding empty shelves one day and inflated prices the next. Patricia Gathoni said that if prices kept rising, she would have to reconsider what she fed her children. She had already begun adding water to the milk she managed to purchase. For families already stretched thin, the choice between nutrition and budget had become acute.
The government moved to respond. In late August, agriculture ministry officials met with dairy processors to discuss the crisis. Jonathan Mueke, the ministry's top official for livestock development, announced plans to import yellow maize duty-free to provide cheaper feed for farmers. The ministry also committed to exploring longer-term solutions—including a fund to help preserve milk during periods of surplus, so that reserves would exist when production fell. As a temporary measure, the government was considering importing milk from neighbouring countries to ease the immediate shortage.
The Kenya Dairy Board's managing director, William Maritim, assured the public that milk remained available despite the "temporary supply constraint," noting that fresh pasteurised milk, which spoils quickly, had been more affected than longer-shelf-life UHT milk. For now, that distinction offered little comfort to the chai lover searching supermarket shelves or the restaurant owner trying to keep her regulars satisfied. The question of whether these emergency measures would arrive in time, and whether they would address the structural failures that allowed the shortage to deepen, remained open.
Citazioni salienti
This shortage was foreseeable, and in material part, avoidable— Consumer Federation of Kenya
Sometimes when I go to the supermarket I find there is none. When I do find some, the price has gone up— Bernard Abok, shopper