In a rare admission from one of the world's most powerful financial institutions, JPMorgan Chase has acknowledged this week that it cannot chart a reliable course for global oil markets while the Iran conflict remains unresolved. The bank's public confession of forecasting paralysis is itself a signal — not of analytical failure, but of genuine geopolitical fog so thick that even the most sophisticated instruments of prediction lose their bearing. When institutions built to see around corners admit they cannot, the uncertainty they are describing is real, and its costs are already spreading qu