In the aftermath of Assad's fall, Israel has moved from a posture of watchful distance to one of entrenched presence across southern Syria, establishing bases, conducting near-daily incursions, and detaining hundreds of civilians in territory long governed by international agreement. What was declared temporary has acquired the weight of permanence. Scholars of occupation recognize the pattern: security rationales expand to fill the space available, and the laws designed to constrain powerful states become, in practice, advisory. For the families left behind — a father counting days, a man sta
Israel expands military footprint in Syria amid detentions and infrastructure destruction
Laws and rules are out the window, without any consensus building at all
Why does Israel keep saying this is temporary when the bases look permanent?
Because saying it's temporary preserves the legal fiction that they're not occupying Syria. Once you say you're staying, you've crossed a threshold in international law. The temporary framing buys time while the infrastructure—the bases, the checkpoints, the surveillance—becomes harder to dismantle.
But everyone can see the bases are there. Who is this temporary claim actually for?
Domestic audiences, partly. It reassures Israelis that this isn't another long-term occupation. But it's also for the international community—it's a way of saying we're not annexing this, we're just managing a security problem. It's a language game that lets other countries avoid calling it what it looks like.
What does Syria actually want?
A return to the 1974 agreement—a real demilitarized zone with UN observers, not Israeli soldiers. They want their territory back and their sovereignty respected. But they also know they can't force it. So they negotiate, hoping to trade something Israel wants for something they need.
What does Israel want that Syria could possibly offer?
Guarantees that no hostile forces use Syrian territory to attack Israel. A government in Damascus that's weak enough not to threaten them but stable enough to maintain order. And control of the water and the high ground. Syria can offer the first two. The third, Israel is simply taking.
Is there any scenario where this ends without Israel staying?
Not without a major shift in regional power. Syria would need military capacity it doesn't have, or a superpower willing to push back, or Israel's security situation to change so dramatically that southern Syria stops mattering. None of those look likely right now.
So Saddam stays in prison.
Unless there's a deal—a prisoner exchange, a negotiated settlement. But yes, right now, that's the trajectory. He's one of dozens in that situation, and his father is counting the days.
Der Puls
- A 17-year-old Syrian farmer was detained by Israeli soldiers on an ordinary morning in April 2024, filmed in handcuffs by his own father, and remains imprisoned two years later with no clear charges — his case now emblematic of a much larger pattern.
- Since December 2024, Israel has established over ten military bases in Syria's demilitarized zone, conducting nearly 50 incursions per week involving home raids, biometric data collection, farmland seizures, and the destruction of water sources.
- Approximately 200 Syrians have been detained, civilian infrastructure has been systematically dismantled, and international law experts alongside Amnesty International and Human Rights Watch have characterized these actions as potential war crimes.
- Israel cites the trauma of October 7th and fears of a hostile new Syrian government as justification, while analysts point to strategic gains — surveillance from Mount Hermon and control of water-rich territories — that suggest motives extending well beyond security.
- US-mediated diplomacy aimed at restoring the 1974 disengagement agreement collapsed when Israel withdrew from talks in late 2025, after which incursions intensified and Israeli jets struck a military airbase in northern Syria.
- Historians and security analysts warn that Israeli security zones have a documented tendency to become permanent occupations, leaving Syria — outmatched militarily — with diplomacy as its only remaining instrument, and locals with neither protection nor recourse.
In the aftermath of Assad's fall, Israel has moved from a posture of watchful distance to one of entrenched presence across southern Syria, establishing bases, conducting near-daily incursions, and detaining hundreds of civilians in territory long governed by international agreement. What was declared temporary has acquired the weight of permanence. Scholars of occupation recognize the pattern: security rationales expand to fill the space available, and the laws designed to constrain powerful states become, in practice, advisory. For the families left behind — a father counting days, a man standing before rubble that was once his home — the geopolitical calculus offers little comfort.
Ahmad Hassan al-Din has been counting time in precise units — years, months, days, hours — since Israeli soldiers took his teenage son Saddam from farmland near the Golan Heights one April morning in 2024. The boy had just turned 17. He had gone out to feed the animals, called his father to say all was well, and then his father watched and filmed as soldiers marched him away in handcuffs. Saddam is now 19 and believed to be in an Israeli prison. When asked what charges he faced and under which legal system, the Israeli military offered only vague language about detaining those suspected of wishing Israel harm.
Saddam's story has since been joined by many others. Following the collapse of Assad's government in December 2024, Israel declared the 1974 disengagement agreement — which had maintained a UN-patrolled buffer zone between Israeli and Syrian forces for half a century — effectively void. Troops would stay temporarily, officials said. By November 2025, Israel had established at least ten military bases in the zone. From these, soldiers conduct near-daily operations into the Syrian provinces of Daraa and Quneitra: armored patrols, roadside checkpoints, home raids, phone searches, biometric data collection, and the fencing off of farmland. A Syrian research organization has documented over 1,600 incursions since the start of 2026 alone — roughly 48 per week.
Around 200 Syrians have been detained since December 2024, with 40 to 50 still held in Israeli custody. The physical destruction is equally documented: drinking water wells demolished, agricultural land seized, buildings leveled. Mousa Khalil, 65, watched Israeli troops destroy his two-story, four-apartment home in Hamidiyah village. At his age, he cannot easily find work. He is trying to save enough to rebuild while supporting a family of eight. International law experts, Amnesty International, and Human Rights Watch have described Israel's conduct as a breach of sovereignty and a potential war crime.
Israel frames its actions as security imperatives, citing the trauma of October 7th and distrust of Syria's new government. But analysts identify additional strategic logic: control of Mount Hermon provides surveillance reach over Lebanon, and Israel now holds access to most of the water-rich areas in Quneitra and western Daraa — a significant asset in an arid region. US-mediated talks aimed at restoring the 1974 framework made some progress before Israel withdrew in late 2025. Incursions have intensified since, and Israeli jets recently struck a military airbase in northern Syria.
Syria's Foreign Minister has argued that security cannot be one-sided — that Israeli concerns and Syrian concerns must both be addressed. But Syria has no military option against Israel's overwhelming force. Analysts warn that what is unfolding follows a familiar historical pattern: Israeli security zones tend to calcify into permanent occupations. For scholars, this is what paramountcy looks like in practice — a condition in which power overrides law, and the weaker party is left with diplomacy as its only remaining instrument, however insufficient that has so far proven to be.
Ahmad Hassan al-Din knows exactly how long it has been. Two years, four months, 24 days, and five hours since he last saw his son. In April 2024, Israeli soldiers took Saddam from farmland near the Golan Heights on an ordinary morning. The boy had just turned 17. He had gone out early to feed the animals, called his father to say everything was fine, and then his father watched—filmed it himself—as soldiers marched the teenager through the fields in handcuffs and shackles. The farmland where Saddam was taken sits in a buffer zone between Israeli and Syrian forces, territory that Syria has worked under UN permit for decades. Israel said the boy was trespassing. Today, Saddam is 19 and believed to be in an Israeli prison. When DW asked the Israeli military what charges he faced and under which legal system, the response was vague: Israel detains Syrians it suspects might wish it harm. No clarification on whether Saddam fell into that category.
Saddam's story is no longer singular. Since the fall of Syria's Assad regime in December 2024, Israel has transformed its military presence in southern Syria from a theoretical arrangement into a sprawling operational footprint. The 1974 disengagement agreement that created the UN-patrolled demilitarized zone—a buffer meant to keep Israeli and Syrian forces apart—was declared void by Israeli politicians. Troops would stay temporarily, they said, to prevent cross-border attacks. That temporary presence has hardened into something else. By November 2025, Israel had established at least 10 military bases in the zone. From these bases, soldiers conduct near-daily incursions into the Syrian provinces of Daraa and Quneitra. The pattern is consistent: armored patrols move through populated areas, temporary checkpoints appear on main roads, civilians are stopped and searched, phones are examined, biometric data is collected. Homes are raided. Businesses and schools are entered. Farmland is fenced off. Water sources are destroyed.
The scale of these operations has accelerated. Between late August and the end of 2025, a Syrian research organization called the Sijil Center documented 818 incidents—45 per week. Since the start of 2026, the center has counted 1,632 incursions, averaging 48 per week. The detentions have mounted as well. Around 200 Syrians have been apprehended since December 2024. Most are released within 24 hours after interrogation, but between 40 and 50 remain in Israeli custody, including a handful detained before the government change. Experts in international law describe what is happening as a breach of sovereignty and a potential war crime. Amnesty International and Human Rights Watch have used similar language.
The human toll is visible in the wreckage. Mousa Khalil, 65, watched Israeli troops destroy his two-story home in Hamidiyah village last year. The building had four apartments. Now he has nothing. At his age, finding work is nearly impossible. He is trying to save money to rebuild while supporting a family of eight. Quneitra authorities have documented the broader destruction: more than 200 sheep seized, drinking water wells destroyed, horticultural areas razed, buildings leveled. These are not the collateral effects of combat operations. These are the deliberate erasure of civilian infrastructure and livelihood.
Israel's stated rationale centers on security. Senior Israeli politicians insist southern Syria must remain demilitarized to prevent attacks and smuggling. A senior Israeli officer told media outlets that the area is a playground for terror organizations and armed groups. But analysts point to deeper calculations. Elizabeth Tsurkov, a fellow at the Washington-based New Lines Institute, identifies the trauma of October 7th as a driving factor—the fear of another cross-border invasion. Israel also views the new Syrian government as hostile and jihadist, despite Damascus repeatedly stating it does not want conflict and has launched no attacks. A Syrian think tank called Etana has identified other possible motives: Israel's control of Mount Hermon, Syria's tallest peak, provides surveillance capability over Lebanon. And Israel now has direct control or access to most of the water-rich areas in Quneitra and western Daraa—a significant strategic asset in a water-scarce region.
Diplomacy has stalled. The United States mediated talks between Syrian and Israeli officials aimed at reactivating the 1974 agreement. Progress was made, according to Syria's Foreign Minister, but Israel walked away in late 2025. Since then, incursions have intensified. This week, Israeli jets bombed the Abu Duhur military airbase in northern Syria, shortly after a Turkish delegation visited. Senior Israeli politicians have begun predicting their next war could be with Syria or Turkey. Syria's Foreign Minister told US media that security cannot be one-sided—that just as Syria considers Israeli concerns, Israel must consider Syrian concerns and address what he called Israel's expansionist policy.
What comes next is uncertain, but history offers a warning. H.A. Hellyer, a senior fellow at the Royal United Services Institute in London, notes that Israeli security zones have historically become permanent occupations or annexations. Syria, facing Israel's overwhelming military superiority, has few options. The government cannot fight. Locals like Khalil complain their own state offers no help. Syria is continuing diplomatic efforts because, as Hellyer puts it, they know they have no military alternative. What is unfolding, he argues, is what scholars call Israeli paramountcy—the condition in which a powerful state overrides a weaker one through sheer force, where laws and rules become negotiable, where consensus is irrelevant. It is a condition that, once established, tends to calcify.
Bemerkenswerte Zitate
Security cannot be one-sided. Just as we take Israeli security concerns into account, Israel must also take Syrian security concerns into account.— Syria's Foreign Minister, speaking to US media
They're continuing on the diplomatic track because they know very well that they have no military option here.— H.A. Hellyer, Royal United Services Institute