India's Next Decade Powered by Tech, Scale and Talent, Say Business Leaders

Get excited about AI. Lean into it. Being afraid won't help.
Arundhati Bhattacharya urges Indian industries to embrace artificial intelligence as a tool for reaching underserved populations.
Mark

So these leaders are saying India doesn't need to compete with Silicon Valley on AI spending. What does that actually mean in practice?

Mimi

It means building AI systems that work for 600,000 villages and 8 million small businesses that don't have access to quality services. Frugal innovation. The West has a labor shortage, so they're building robots. India has labor but can't reach everyone. That's a completely different problem to solve.

Luke

But who's actually building this? Is there a company or government program that's already doing this at scale, or is this aspirational?

Mimi

Apollo's Clinician's Intelligence Engine is real — 260 clinical pathways built, pilots running with the NHS. That's concrete. But the broader ecosystem of frugal AI startups — that's still emerging.

Mark

And on the IPO side, Zia said India is the only alternative to China. How long does that last if geopolitics shift?

Mimi

That's the real question. Right now, global capital has nowhere else to go. But tariffs, trade wars, US policy — any of those could change the calculus.

Luke

She said she's "quite confident" India will continue to perform well, but she also acknowledged she doesn't know how tariffs and geopolitics will change things. That's honest uncertainty, not a prediction.

Mark

What about the banking consolidation? Setty said it's necessary but the timeline is uncertain. That sounds like code for "we don't know when or how."

Mimi

Consolidation has already happened — 26 banks to 12. The question is whether more is needed to get Indian banks into the global top 10. But that depends on market cap, asset size, regulatory appetite, and global conditions. All moving targets.

Luke

And SBI processing 240 million UPI transactions daily — that's impressive infrastructure, but it doesn't automatically mean SBI will be a top-10 global bank. Scale in payments doesn't equal scale in traditional banking.

Mark

So what's the real story here? Is India actually becoming an economic architect, or are these leaders describing what they hope will happen?

Mimi

Both. They're describing real shifts — UPI going international, Gift City's 24/7 dollar clearing, the IPO wave, AI pilots in healthcare. Those are facts. But whether India becomes a primary architect of global economics depends on execution, geopolitics, and whether these innovations scale beyond early adopters.

Luke

And whether the talent stays. Jain mentioned the H-1B visa situation possibly helping India retain tech talent. That's a big "if." Talent retention is not guaranteed.

  • India's business elite are signaling a decisive break from the posture of adoption, insisting the country must now engineer solutions for its own 600,000 villages and 8 million underserved small businesses rather than transplant expensive Western models.
  • The pressure is acute in healthcare, where a chronic shortage of trained specialists threatens 1.4 billion people — yet Apollo's AI-guided clinical pathways are already being piloted by Britain's NHS, inverting the usual direction of technological transfer.
  • India's financial infrastructure is expanding its gravitational pull globally, with UPI operating across seven or eight countries, Gift City offering round-the-clock dollar clearing, and the rupee quietly beginning its journey toward internationalisation.
  • Capital is flowing in at historic velocity — India has become the world's dominant IPO market in 2025, with private equity funds restructuring their global committees just to ensure Indian deals receive the attention they now demand.
  • The trajectory is broad and deliberate: indigenisation in semiconductors and defense, manufacturing resilience, rising domestic consumption, and a technology sector that may finally retain enough talent at home to birth entirely new industries.

At a gathering of India's most influential business leaders, a quiet but consequential shift in self-understanding was on display: a nation of 1.4 billion people is no longer content to follow the architectures others have drawn. From artificial intelligence to healthcare delivery, from digital payments to capital markets, the consensus at IBLA 2025 was that India's next decade will be shaped not by imitation but by invention — frugal, scaled, and rooted in the particular genius of its own conditions. Whether this inflection point becomes a transformation depends on whether ambition and execution can find each other.

A room full of India's most powerful business leaders recently gathered to confront a question reshaping global economics: what happens when a country of 1.4 billion people stops copying the West and starts building its own future? The answer, according to executives from banking, healthcare, law, and consulting assembled for the India Business Leaders Awards 2025 jury round, is that India stops being a participant in global change and becomes one of its architects.

Arundhati Bhattacharya of Salesforce South Asia reframed the AI conversation with precision. While global tech companies pour $400 to $500 billion into AI infrastructure, India's advantage lies not in matching that spending but in doing something different — building frugal, efficient systems suited to a country with hundreds of thousands of villages and millions of small businesses still beyond the reach of quality services. Recent breakthroughs like DeepSeek have already proven that ingenuity, not infinite resources, drives transformation. The challenge, she argued, is not a labor shortage but the inability to deliver quality to the last mile. AI can solve that.

Preetha Reddy of Apollo Hospitals gave this principle a human face. With too few trained doctors to serve 1.4 billion people, Apollo built its Clinician's Intelligence Engine — 260 clinical pathways that guide frontline staff through complex decisions in real time. The NHS is already running pilots with Indian institutions to explore whether similar systems can address Britain's own capacity crisis. India, in other words, is not importing healthcare solutions. It is beginning to export them.

In finance, scale and technology have fused into something structurally new. SBI processes nearly 240 million UPI transactions daily, and its chairman CS Setty sees further consolidation ahead, with the goal of placing at least two Indian banks in the global top ten within a decade. Standard Chartered India's PD Singh described a system that is no longer inward-looking: UPI is live in multiple countries, 1.5 million merchants are onboarded internationally, and Gift City now offers 24/7 US dollar clearing — freeing Indian banks from dependence on American market hours.

Legal leader Zia Mody called 2025 the year India became the world's IPO factory, with global investors pivoting toward India as the only market of comparable scale to China. Private equity allocations have shifted so dramatically that South Asia-focused funds have been separated from global investment committees to prevent Indian deals from being crowded out. BCG's Rahul Jain tied the threads together: the opportunity spans indigenisation, manufacturing resilience, rising domestic consumption, and a technology sector poised to retain more talent and generate entirely new industries.

The tone from this gathering was measured, not triumphalist. India is not destined to dominate — but it stands at a genuine inflection point, with talent, scale, and the willingness to build rather than merely adopt. The next decade will reveal whether that is enough.

A room full of India's most powerful business leaders gathered recently to discuss a question that has begun to reshape global economics: what happens when a country of 1.4 billion people decides to stop copying the West and start building its own future?

The answer, according to executives from banking, healthcare, law, and consulting who convened for the India Business Leaders Awards 2025 jury round, is that India stops being a participant in global change and becomes one of its architects. The consensus was striking and consistent: India's next decade will be powered not by any single sector or technology, but by the fusion of three things — technological capability, the sheer scale of its population and markets, and the depth of its human talent.

Arundhati Bhattacharya, who leads Salesforce's South Asia operations, framed the artificial intelligence question in terms that cut through the usual anxiety. Yes, global tech companies are spending $400 to $500 billion on AI infrastructure. Yes, that's staggering. But India's advantage, she argued, lies not in matching that spending but in doing something different entirely. India has deep pools of technical talent. What it needs now is to build AI systems suited to Indian conditions — frugal, efficient, designed for a country with 600,000 villages and 8 million small businesses that currently lack access to world-class services. The irony, Bhattacharya noted, is that recent disruptions like OpenAI and DeepSeek have already proven this is possible. You don't need infinite resources to achieve breakthrough outcomes. You need ingenuity. She urged industries to stop being afraid of AI and start being excited about it. Fear, she said, won't help. What will help is understanding that India's challenge is not a shortage of labor — it's the inability to deliver quality services to the last mile. AI can solve that.

Preetha Reddy, executive vice chairperson of Apollo Hospitals, brought this abstract principle into concrete reality. India's healthcare system faces a brutal constraint: there are not enough trained doctors and specialists to serve 1.4 billion people. Apollo has built what it calls the Clinician's Intelligence Engine, a system that has developed 260 clinical pathways so far. When an emergency room staff member is unsure what to do, the engine guides them. This is not a luxury feature. It is a necessity. And it works. Reddy pointed out that the NHS in Britain is already running pilots with Indian institutions to explore how similar AI systems might address Britain's own crisis of waiting lists and capacity shortages. The implication was clear: India is not adopting solutions from the developed world. India is exporting them. If the country pursues this rigorously and ethically, it could write the playbook for how AI transforms healthcare delivery globally.

In the financial sector, the story was one of scale meeting technology and producing something new. CS Setty, chairman of the State Bank of India, noted that the country's public sector banking system has already undergone significant consolidation — from 26 banks down to 12 — and the benefits are visible. SBI alone processes almost 240 million UPI transactions every single day. You cannot handle that volume without constant innovation and investment in digital infrastructure. Scale and technology, Setty said, must go hand in hand. Further consolidation will likely be necessary, though the timeline remains uncertain. The goal is clear: at least a couple of Indian banks in the global top 10 within the next decade.

PD Singh, CEO of Standard Chartered India and South Asia, described a financial system that is no longer inward-looking. UPI, India's digital payment system, is now live in seven or eight countries. Around 800,000 cross-border UPI transactions occur regularly, with 1.5 million merchants already onboarded internationally. The rupee is being internationalized. Gift City, India's international financial center, now offers 24/7 US dollar clearing — meaning Indian banks no longer have to wait for American markets to open. These are not incremental improvements. They are structural shifts in how global capital flows.

Zia Mody, managing partner at AZB & Partners, described 2025 as the year India truly became the IPO factory of the world. Every week brings new listings. The reason is straightforward: global investors are looking for alternatives to China, and India is the only market of comparable scale. Private equity allocations have tilted toward India so dramatically that South Asia-focused funds have been separated from global investment committees so Indian deals don't get crowded out. The hot sectors — healthcare, life sciences, education, real estate — continue to attract capital. The question is not whether this will continue, but how geopolitical shifts and global tariffs will reshape it.

Rahul Jain from BCG tied these threads together by describing India's economic opportunity as genuinely broad-based. It is not narrow. It spans indigenization — the push to reduce import dependence in semiconductors, capital goods, and defense equipment. It spans manufacturing, where for the first time in decades, global corporations are prioritizing resilience over cost, and India's young, capable workforce and strong talent base make it uniquely positioned. It spans consumption, where 1.4 billion people are moving up the income ladder and spending more on everything from healthcare to education to aspirational goods. And it spans technology itself, where India's existing IT services strength and the possibility of retaining more talent domestically could create entirely new industries in the AI era.

The message from this gathering of power was not triumphalist. It was measured and grounded in specifics. India is not destined to dominate. But it has positioned itself at a genuine inflection point. It has talent, scale, domestic demand, and the willingness to build rather than merely adopt. The next decade will reveal whether that is enough.

India's challenge is not a shortage of labor — it's the inability to deliver quality services to the last mile. AI can solve that.
— Arundhati Bhattacharya, Salesforce South Asia
If there is global disaffection with China, then the only other large market to monetise and invest in is India.
— Zia Mody, AZB & Partners
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