On the eve of a Texas election, a Democratic candidate for governor is reaching for a set of voters who recently slipped away from her party, choosing a stage that has nothing to do with campaign halls: a boxing card watched by a streaming audience. Gina Hinojosa's thirty-second message, carrying the words "No Te Dejes" and a call to fight back, is less an argument about policy than an attempt to speak to a feeling of being pushed around. It reflects a moment when Latino men, who moved toward Donald Trump in 2024 and reshaped the politics of the Rio Grande Valley, have become the quiet center
Hinojosa Takes Her Pitch Ringside as Texas Democrats Bet on Hispanic Men
"They're monolithically mad," said Democratic strategist Chuck Rocha.
Why put a political ad in the middle of a boxing match?
Because that's where the audience is. The campaign wants Latino men, and Canelo Álvarez's fight draws them. The ad, "No Te Dejes," repeats her "Fight back" message.
Has this worked anywhere?
Ruben Gallego used boxing watch parties, rodeos and cookouts in Arizona in 2024 and won his Senate race, even though Trump carried the state by nearly six points.
Worth being careful there. Gallego winning is a fact. The source doesn't establish that the boxing events caused it, and Arizona isn't Texas.
What do the numbers say about Texas?
The CBS poll has Abbott up four overall, with a 3.4-point margin of error, but Hinojosa up 23 among likely Hispanic voters.
And that four-point lead sits right at the edge of the margin of error. The 23-point figure is one poll's reading of a subgroup, and we don't know its sample size from this reporting.
Why is that group so contested?
In 2024, 55% of Latino Texans voted for Trump, and Latino men favored him nearly two to one. Rio Grande Valley counties that used to lean Democratic now lean Republican.
The competing readings are all attributed, not proven. Rocha says voters are mad about costs; Garza says there's no Democratic enthusiasm in South Texas. Rocha advises Hinojosa and Garza leads a conservative group, so neither is neutral.
And whether the ad moves anyone is unknown. The story doesn't offer any evidence on that yet.
Il Polso
- A thirty-second ad drops into the middle of Canelo Álvarez's fight on DAZN, days before Election Day, aimed squarely at Latino men.
- Hinojosa's campaign is racing to win back a voting bloc that nearly swung two-to-one toward Trump in 2024.
- Governor Abbott has answered with a Spanish-language ad painting Hinojosa as too socially liberal for Texas.
- A CBS poll shows Abbott four points ahead overall, yet Hinojosa leads by 23 among likely Hispanic voters, a gap both sides are scrambling to hold or close.
- Democrats hope the shift is temporary, pointing to gas prices and cost-of-living anger, while conservatives say South Texas shows no real enthusiasm for the Democratic plan.
On the eve of a Texas election, a Democratic candidate for governor is reaching for a set of voters who recently slipped away from her party, choosing a stage that has nothing to do with campaign halls: a boxing card watched by a streaming audience. Gina Hinojosa's thirty-second message, carrying the words "No Te Dejes" and a call to fight back, is less an argument about policy than an attempt to speak to a feeling of being pushed around. It reflects a moment when Latino men, who moved toward Donald Trump in 2024 and reshaped the politics of the Rio Grande Valley, have become the quiet center of a contest that could hinge on whether that movement was a lasting realignment or a passing mood.
On Saturday night, viewers watching Canelo Álvarez fight Christian Mbilli on DAZN will see something unusual between rounds: a thirty-second political ad from Gina Hinojosa, the Democratic candidate for Texas governor. Titled "No Te Dejes," meaning "Don't let yourself be pushed around," it carries her campaign's central line, "Fight back," and it is aimed at Hispanic voters, especially the men who helped carry President Trump to victory in 2024.
The ad sets her agenda against what she calls the record of Gov. Greg Abbott, who is seeking a fourth term. She promises to protect public schools, limit data center expansion, and lower taxes, and she accuses Abbott of putting wealthy donors and large corporations first. The strategy mirrors Ruben Gallego's 2024 Arizona Senate campaign, which courted Latino men through boxing watch parties and community cookouts and helped him win.
Abbott is competing for the same voters. His campaign has run a Spanish-language ad casting Hinojosa as too liberal for Texas, and he points to his wife, Cecilia, as the state's first Hispanic first lady. The stakes are high: Hispanics make up about 40% of Texas' population, and Hinojosa needs them to become the first Democrat to win the governor's office in more than three decades. A CBS poll shows Abbott four points ahead overall, but Hinojosa leads by 23 among likely Hispanic voters.
The shift is real, though. Exit polls show 55% of Latino Texans backed Trump in 2024, reshaping once-Democratic counties in the Valley. Hinojosa says Trump connected because he told voters the system is rigged, and that he is right. Democratic adviser Chuck Rocha believes frustration over gas prices, living costs and immigration policy has unified Hispanic voters in anger, and that the pendulum can swing back. Conservative leader Daniel Garza disagrees, saying South Texas shows little pro-Democrat enthusiasm and few voters can explain the Democratic plan on prices.
For now, Hinojosa is betting that a boxing match can carry her message to the voters both parties are fighting to win.
On Saturday night, during Mexican boxing star Canelo Álvarez's fight against Christian Mbilli, viewers on the streaming platform DAZN will see a 30-second political ad from Gina Hinojosa, the Democratic candidate for Texas governor. The spot is titled "No Te Dejes," a Spanish expression meaning "Don't let yourself be pushed around," and it carries the central line of her campaign: "Fight back." It arrives days before Election Day, and it is aimed at Hispanic voters, especially Latino men, who helped deliver President Trump's 2024 victory.
According to her campaign, the ad sets Hinojosa's proposals against what she describes as the record of Gov. Greg Abbott, who is seeking a fourth term. Her side of the contrast includes protecting public schools, restricting the expansion of data centers and lowering taxes. She argues Abbott has put wealthy donors and large corporations first.
The buy reflects a wider Democratic effort to reach Hispanic men through sports and culturally familiar programming rather than conventional political advertising alone. The approach has been tried in another Southwestern battleground. In his 2024 Senate race in Arizona, Ruben Gallego courted Latino men with boxing watch parties, rodeos, cookouts and other community events. He beat Republican Kari Lake and became Arizona's first Latino U.S. senator, even as Trump carried the state by nearly six percentage points. After his win, Gallego told CBS News his strategy was to talk to Hispanic voters as often as possible.
Abbott is working the same ground. His campaign launched a Spanish-language ad portraying Hinojosa as too socially liberal for Texas. Press secretary Eduardo Leal said in a statement last week that her policies do not match the values of the Hispanic community. Abbott has also pointed to his wife, Cecilia, as the state's first Hispanic first lady.
The stakes are large. Hispanics make up about 40% of Texas' population, and they are central to Hinojosa's attempt to become the state's first Democratic governor in more than three decades. A CBS News poll earlier this month showed Abbott ahead of Hinojosa by four points overall, with a margin of error of 3.4 points. Among likely Hispanic voters, though, Hinojosa led by 23 points.
Yet Latino Texans have become a swing electorate. CBS News exit poll data show 55% of them voted for Trump in 2024, and Latino men favored him by nearly two to one. That shift upended Texas politics, turning once-reliably Democratic counties in the Rio Grande Valley into Republican-leaning territory and complicating Democratic hopes that the state might be moving their way.
Asked by CBS News to explain Trump's success, Hinojosa said his message landed with Texans who felt the establishment had failed them. "The reason why Trump won, and why he was able to capture the Latino vote in the Valley and in Texas, is because he said the system is rigged — and he's right," she said, adding that Democrats had been defending an indefensible system that works against people.
Democrats hope the shift is temporary. Chuck Rocha, a CBS News political contributor and Gallego's former campaign adviser, now advises both Hinojosa and Texas Democratic Senate candidate James Talarico. He told CBS News that many Hispanic voters are frustrated by high gas prices and other cost-of-living worries, and that Trump's immigration policies have also caused frustration. "Right now, they're more monolithic than I have ever seen in my life, and they're monolithically mad," he said.
A conservative voice sees it differently. Daniel Garza, president of the LIBRE Initiative, a conservative Latino advocacy group, said there is no pro-Democrat enthusiasm in his home region of South Texas, and that most voters could not say what the Democratic plan is for lowering prices. For now, Hinojosa is betting that one of Mexico's biggest sports stars can help her reach the voters both parties are fighting to win.
Citazioni salienti
The reason why Trump won... is because he said the system is rigged — and he's right.— Gina Hinojosa, Democratic candidate for Texas governor
Right now, they're more monolithic than I have ever seen in my life, and they're monolithically mad.— Chuck Rocha, Democratic strategist and CBS News political contributor