On a Thursday in mid-November, gold slipped to a fresh low of $3,851, pressed by a strengthening U.S. dollar that makes the metal dearer for buyers beyond American borders. Traders read the drop as a continuation of an earlier slide, a sign that recent buyers who had stepped in during brief rallies now find themselves on the wrong side of the market. The moment belongs to a familiar rhythm in which a store of value bends under the weight of currency movements and shifting sentiment, and where the next chapter will be written by whether the price can hold the support zone that analysts have map
Gold Slides to $3,851 as Dollar Strength Opens Path Toward $3,698 Downside Target
Gold fell below a level it had defended for two weeks.
Mark
Gold hit $3,851. Why is the dollar part of this story?
Mimi
Gold is priced in dollars. When DXY breaks higher out of a bullish flag, gold gets more expensive for buyers holding other currencies, and that tends to weigh on demand.
Mark
What exactly is the bearish signal?
Mimi
Price dropped below $3,870, the low from two weeks ago. That triggered a continuation signal, meaning the earlier downtrend may resume.
Luke
Worth saying: that's a chart reading, not an event. Nothing here confirms the dollar is the cause. It says the two moves correlate.
Mark
What are the targets?
Mimi
$3,794 and $3,698, from Fibonacci extensions. The analysis favors $3,698 because the first target has no other indicator backing it.
Luke
And those are projections. Price can stop anywhere or reverse. The source doesn't give a probability.
Mark
Where's the support?
Mimi
A zone from $3,705 to $3,650, built from two Fibonacci retracements plus a September 2025 consolidation range. Below that, the April 2025 peak at $3,500.
Luke
The weekly engulfing pattern isn't done either. It only completes if the week closes below $3,775. Until then it's conditional.
Mimi
Right, that close is the thing to watch.
El Pulso
- Gold has broken below $3,870 and sunk to $3,851, turning a pause into a fresh slide.
- A sharply rising dollar index is making gold costlier for buyers outside the United States, adding pressure from every side.
- Traders who bought into recent strength are now trapped, and their selling could push prices lower still.
- Analysts are watching the $3,705 to $3,650 zone as the line where buyers must reappear, with a weekly close below $3,775 signaling that the downturn is confirmed.
On a Thursday in mid-November, gold slipped to a fresh low of $3,851, pressed by a strengthening U.S. dollar that makes the metal dearer for buyers beyond American borders. Traders read the drop as a continuation of an earlier slide, a sign that recent buyers who had stepped in during brief rallies now find themselves on the wrong side of the market. The moment belongs to a familiar rhythm in which a store of value bends under the weight of currency movements and shifting sentiment, and where the next chapter will be written by whether the price can hold the support zone that analysts have mapped below. For now, it is a reminder that even ancient refuges of wealth answer to the quieter tides of money itself.
Gold fell to a new low of $3,851 on Thursday, extending a correction that had already pushed the metal beneath a level it had held for two weeks. The trigger was the U.S. dollar index, which broke sharply higher out of a bullish flag pattern. A stronger dollar makes gold more expensive for buyers in much of the world, and the metal felt that weight immediately.
Technical analysts saw the drop as a bearish continuation signal, a clean move below the $3,870 low set two weeks earlier. Buyers who had come in during recent moments of strength now sit on losing positions, which raises the odds of further selling. The analysis points to two Fibonacci downside targets, $3,794 and the deeper $3,698, with the lower level considered more likely if sellers keep control.
That lower zone gathers several markers. The 61.8% retracement at $3,705 and the 78.6% retracement at $3,650 form a support band, reinforced by a September 2025 consolidation range. Beyond it lies the prior peak of $3,500 from April 2025, the more significant floor.
The weekly chart leans the same way. A close below last week's low of $3,775 would complete a bearish engulfing pattern, suggesting sellers have regained the upper hand. Analysts stress these are projections rather than certainties, and the coming weeks will show whether buyers return at the $3,705 to $3,650 zone.
Gold fell to a new low of $3,851 on Thursday, extending a correction that has now pushed the metal below a level it had defended for two weeks. The move came as the U.S. dollar index, known as DXY, broke sharply higher out of a bullish flag pattern, a development that makes gold more expensive for buyers in much of the world outside the United States.
The decline triggered what technical analysts call a bearish continuation signal. It came when price dropped under $3,870, the low set two weeks earlier. The analysis notes that the break looks like a clean move below that prior low, with a daily close beneath it. It also notes that the market had drawn in buyers during recent signs of strength, and those buyers are now caught on the wrong side of the move, which raises the odds of further declines.
The analysis lays out specific downside targets using Fibonacci extensions of the recent rally. The first sits at $3,794, the 127.2% extension, and the second at $3,698, the 161.8% extension. Because no other indicator reinforces the first target, the analysis considers the deeper $3,698 level more likely to be reached if sellers keep control.
That lower level lines up with other markers. The 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the advance that began from the November 2024 swing low sits at $3,705. Slightly below, the 78.6% retracement of another earlier upswing falls at $3,650. Together they form a support zone running from $3,705 to $3,650. A small consolidation range from September 2025 sits in the same area, which adds weight to it as a place where buyers might re-emerge.
The analysis names a more significant floor further down: the prior peak of $3,500, set in April 2025.
The weekly chart adds to the case. Gold is on track to form a bearish weekly engulfing pattern if the week closes below last week's low of $3,775. The analysis reads that as evidence sellers have regained control, and it raises the chance of the lower targets being hit unless buyers step in aggressively and show real strength. The lower boundary of a falling trend channel also points toward those same lower targets.
This is technical analysis, not a report of confirmed outcomes, and the targets are projections rather than forecasts of certainty. What to watch next is the weekly close relative to $3,775, and whether the $3,705 to $3,650 zone draws buyers if the decline continues.
Citas Notables
The analysis says the $3,698 target becomes more likely if sellers maintain control, since $3,794 isn't reinforced by other indicators.— FXEmpire technical analysis
Quieres la nota completa?
Lee el original en FXEmpire ↗