German automakers push 40-hour workweek as industry battles existential crisis

German automotive sector shedding jobs faster than any other industrial sector; Volkswagen cutting 100,000 jobs worldwide and BMW cutting 8,000 jobs by 2027.
Not a single additional car will be sold just because the workforce works longer hours.
The union argues that weak demand, not labor supply, is the real constraint on the industry's future.
Mark

So the core demand is just five more hours a week, no extra pay. That sounds almost modest compared to what's happening elsewhere in manufacturing.

Mimi

It is modest in isolation, but it's not really about five hours. It's about signaling that the old bargain is broken. Workers already gave concessions worth billions. Now management is saying that wasn't enough.

Luke

But the math does work, doesn't it? A 13 percent reduction in hourly labor costs is significant when you're competing against China at $597 per vehicle.

Mimi

The union's point is that weak demand is the real problem, not labor supply. You can't sell more cars by making people work longer.

Mark

Is that actually true? Can't lower labor costs make German production more competitive, which could attract more orders?

Luke

That's the assumption the industry is betting on. But Bratzel himself says it won't win the technological race. So we're talking about a necessary condition, not a sufficient one.

Mimi

And the union sees it as a foot in the door. Once you accept five more hours without pay, what's to stop the next demand?

Mark

What does the employment projection actually look like if nothing changes?

Luke

From 700,000 workers today to 500,000 by 2030. That's not a gradual decline—that's a collapse. But we should be careful: is that projection contingent on the industry staying in Germany, or is it what happens regardless?

Mimi

The experts seem to suggest it's what happens if Germany doesn't reform broadly—energy, taxes, infrastructure, not just hours.

Mark

So the five-hour week is really a symbol of whether Germany can adapt fast enough.

Luke

Or whether it's willing to. There's a difference between can't and won't.

  • Germany's auto sector is shedding jobs faster than any other industrial segment, with employment projected to fall from 700,000 today to just 500,000 by 2030 — a collapse that would have been unthinkable a decade ago.
  • Carmakers are spending $3,307 per vehicle on labor compared to $597 in China, and executives argue that without longer hours at the same pay, production will simply migrate to cheaper countries.
  • IG Metall, Germany's most powerful industrial union, held demonstrations at over 200 locations on September 21, insisting that workers who have already swallowed billions in concessions are being asked to bear a burden that is not theirs to carry.
  • Analysts confirm the arithmetic of longer hours does reduce hourly labor costs, but warn it cannot substitute for the innovation in EVs, software, and AI that would actually close the competitive gap with China.
  • The standoff is landing in an unresolved and volatile place — with mass layoffs proceeding, union resistance hardening, and no consensus yet on how the costs of transformation will be shared between capital and labor.

Germany's automotive industry, long the engine of the nation's postwar prosperity, now finds itself at a crossroads where the habits of abundance collide with the demands of survival. Carmakers like Volkswagen, BMW, and Mercedes-Benz are pressing workers to extend their weeks from 35 to 40 hours without additional pay, arguing that the gap between German labor costs and those of competitors in Japan and China has become unsustainable. Unions, who won the shorter workweek through decades of hard-fought bargaining, see the proposal not as a lifeline but as a transfer of sacrifice from shareholders to workers. The deeper question haunting this standoff is whether any single lever — hours, wages, or headcount — can address what is, at its core, a structural reckoning with a changing world.

Germany's automotive industry is contracting at a pace that would have seemed impossible during the decades when Volkswagen, BMW, and Mercedes-Benz defined the country's economic identity. Employment in the sector has already fallen from roughly 830,000 in 2018 to below 700,000 today, and researchers project a further drop to 500,000 by 2030. Volkswagen alone is targeting the elimination of around 100,000 jobs by decade's end; BMW is cutting 8,000 positions by 2027; suppliers like Bosch and ZF Friedrichshafen are announcing layoffs in the thousands.

At the center of the current conflict is a proposal that sounds simple but carries enormous symbolic weight: carmakers want employees to work 40 hours a week instead of 35, with no increase in pay. The logic is mathematical — German manufacturers spend an average of $3,307 per vehicle on labor, compared to $769 in Japan and $597 in China. Spreading the same payroll across more hours lowers the hourly cost without cutting wages outright. Ferdinand Dudenhöffer of the Center for Automotive Research estimates the shift could reduce personnel costs by 13 percent — enough, proponents argue, to make some German production viable that would otherwise move abroad.

Unions reject the framing entirely. IG Metall chief Christiane Benner notes that workers have already accepted concessions worth billions of euros in recent years and argues that the industry's crisis stems from weak demand and underutilized factories, not a shortage of working hours. 'Not a single additional car will be sold just because the workforce works longer hours,' the union declared, as it organized demonstrations at more than 200 sites across Germany on September 21.

Analysts occupy a complicated middle ground. They acknowledge the labor cost math is real, but they are equally clear that longer hours cannot resolve what is fundamentally a technological and structural crisis. German carmakers need compelling and affordable electric vehicles, serious investment in software and artificial intelligence, and leaner development processes. They also need a broader policy environment — competitive energy costs, tax reform, reduced bureaucracy, better infrastructure — that no collective bargaining agreement can deliver. As Dudenhöffer put it plainly: the coming years will be hard, and they will be harder still if Germany mistakes past prosperity for a permanent condition.

Germany's automotive industry is contracting faster than any other manufacturing sector in the country, and the companies that built the nation's postwar prosperity are now locked in a bitter standoff with unions over how to survive. The fight centers on a deceptively simple proposal: German carmakers want their workers to put in 40 hours a week instead of 35, with no additional pay. Volkswagen, Mercedes-Benz, and BMW have all announced major restructuring plans. Volkswagen alone is targeting a 15 percent workforce reduction—roughly 100,000 jobs—by the end of the decade. BMW plans to cut 8,000 positions by the end of 2027. Suppliers like Bosch and ZF Friedrichshafen are announcing thousands of layoffs. The numbers tell a story of rapid decline: in 2018, the automotive sector employed around 830,000 people. Today that figure has fallen below 700,000. Researchers at the Center for Automotive Research project it will sink to 500,000 by 2030.

The industry faces a convergence of pressures that executives say is existential. Manufacturing costs in Germany remain stubbornly high. American tariffs have bitten into margins. Chinese competitors are advancing rapidly. The transition to electric vehicles is proving more expensive and complex than many anticipated. Production is shifting to lower-cost countries. In this environment, German carmakers have identified labor costs as a lever they can actually pull. The numbers are stark: German manufacturers spend an average of $3,307 per vehicle on labor, compared to $769 in Japan and $597 in China. To narrow that gap without cutting wages outright, the industry is pushing for longer working hours at the same pay.

The 35-hour workweek is not some recent indulgence. It emerged from collective bargaining agreements negotiated in the 1980s and 1990s, when Germany held commanding market share and could afford to offer workers both security and time. That era, industry analysts say plainly, is finished. Ferdinand Dudenhöffer, director of the Center for Automotive Research in Bochum, estimates that moving from 35 to 40 hours would reduce personnel costs by 13 percent—a meaningful reduction without eliminating jobs outright. "We wouldn't be taking money away from employees, but we would be creating conditions that would make jobs possible in Germany, in the automotive industry, in the future," he told Deutsche Welle. The logic is straightforward: spread the same payroll across more hours, and the hourly cost of labor drops.

Unions see the proposal as a betrayal. Christiane Benner, head of the influential IG Metall trade union, points out that workers have already accepted wage cuts and other concessions worth several billion euros in recent years. Now they are being told it is still not enough. The union's position is that the industry's problem is not a shortage of labor hours but weak demand and factories running below capacity. "Not a single additional car will be sold just because the workforce works longer hours," IG Metall announced. On September 21, the union held demonstrations at more than 200 locations across Germany to oppose job cuts and changes to working conditions. The conflict is not merely economic; it touches on the fundamental question of who bears the cost of the industry's transformation.

Stefan Bratzel, head of the Center of Automotive Management in Bergisch Gladbach, acknowledges that the 35-hour week represents a historic achievement for German unions in collective bargaining, so "conflict is inevitable." But he also notes that the math is real: more hours for the same pay does mathematically lower hourly labor costs. The deeper question, he suggests, is how the burden of the current transformation will be distributed between companies and workers. Yet even Bratzel and Dudenhöffer agree that longer working hours alone cannot solve the industry's structural problems. "Working five hours more per week alone will not win the technological race against China," Bratzel said. German carmakers need to deliver attractive and affordable electric vehicles, invest heavily in software and artificial intelligence, and streamline their development and manufacturing processes. They need to be, as Bratzel put it, "at least as innovative and high-performing in technological terms as they are expensive by international standards."

The experts also point to factors beyond the factory floor. Germany needs competitive conditions on energy costs, taxes, bureaucracy, and infrastructure. Dudenhöffer is blunt about what lies ahead: "The coming years will be very tough. And they will become even tougher if we stick to the status quo and believe we can simply rest on the prosperity we enjoyed 20 years ago." The industry cannot regain competitiveness through working hours alone. It requires action on multiple fronts simultaneously—lower labor costs, lower energy costs, tax reform, better logistics. The question now is whether German carmakers and unions can find a path forward together, or whether the next decade will see the sector continue its rapid contraction, with jobs and production moving to countries where the cost structure is more favorable and the political will to change is less contested.

We wouldn't be taking money away from employees, but we would be creating conditions that would make jobs possible in Germany, in the automotive industry, in the future.
— Ferdinand Dudenhöffer, director of the Center for Automotive Research
Working five hours more per week alone will not win the technological race against China.
— Stefan Bratzel, head of the Center of Automotive Management
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