On a Wednesday morning in late April 2023, Microsoft's sharp premarket climb after a quarter that beat expectations on cloud strength lifted the futures that trade ahead of the open, reminding the market that a single company's momentum can briefly redeem a fragile rally. Elsewhere the day carried mixed signals: Tesla was cut to hold by Jefferies even as its shares edged upward, and Alphabet's modest advertising results pulled its own stock lower. Such mornings are part of a larger pattern in which investors, having ridden a strained rally, weigh good news against the wariness that comes after
Dow Futures Rise as Microsoft Surges on Earnings; Tesla Slides After Jefferies Downgrade
Microsoft's cloud-driven beat pulled futures out of early losses
Microsoft up 7.6% before the open. What's driving it?
Cloud. It beat targets for its fiscal third quarter on strength in its cloud businesses, and it guided higher for the current period.
So the forecast matters as much as the quarter.
It seems to. The jump is large for a company that size, and it lifted Nasdaq 100 futures about 1%.
Keep in mind that 7.6% is a premarket figure. It can change once regular trading begins.
And Alphabet fell even though it beat estimates?
Yes, down 1.1%. Ad revenue was flat year over year, though above expectations.
The article doesn't explain why it fell, so any reason is a guess.
Tesla was downgraded but ticked up.
Jefferies moved it from buy to hold and cut its target from 230 to 185. Shares edged higher anyway, after a slide to the lowest since Jan. 26.
Early trading is thin evidence. One morning doesn't show how investors took the downgrade.
What's the bigger picture?
Tuesday was rough: Dow down 1%, Nasdaq down 2%. Meta reports after the close.
Der Puls
- Microsoft surged about 7.6% before the bell, pulling Dow futures out of early losses and sending tech futures sharply higher.
- Tesla was downgraded from buy to hold by Jefferies, which slashed its price target from 230 to 185, yet the stock still crept up in early trading.
- Alphabet's earnings beat expectations, but flat digital ad revenue sent its shares down 1.1%, unsettling the advertising giants.
- Yesterday's rally was under strain, with the Dow falling 1% and the Nasdaq sliding 2%, prompting advisers to urge investors to take profits and play defense.
- All eyes now turn to Meta Platforms' first-quarter results after the close, the next test for a market still searching for firm footing.
On a Wednesday morning in late April 2023, Microsoft's sharp premarket climb after a quarter that beat expectations on cloud strength lifted the futures that trade ahead of the open, reminding the market that a single company's momentum can briefly redeem a fragile rally. Elsewhere the day carried mixed signals: Tesla was cut to hold by Jefferies even as its shares edged upward, and Alphabet's modest advertising results pulled its own stock lower. Such mornings are part of a larger pattern in which investors, having ridden a strained rally, weigh good news against the wariness that comes after a day of losses. The question hanging over the session was whether this lift could hold as Meta Platforms prepared to report after the close.
Before Wednesday's opening bell, Microsoft was up 7.6% in premarket trading, enough to lift Dow futures out of early losses and send tech futures climbing. The software giant had beaten Wall Street's targets for its fiscal third quarter, powered by its cloud businesses, and it guided higher for the quarter ahead.
By morning, Nasdaq 100 futures led with a 1% gain, Dow futures were modestly positive, and the broader market looked steadier than it had the day before. Not everyone shared in the cheer. Alphabet beat estimates, but its digital advertising revenue was flat year over year, and its shares slipped 1.1%. Tesla was downgraded by Jefferies from buy to hold, with its price target cut from 230 to 185, though the stock inched higher anyway after a slide that had taken it to its lowest level since January.
The mood was cautious because the rally had been under strain. Tuesday's session had seen the Dow drop 1% and the Nasdaq fall 2%, and IBD's Big Picture column advised investors to consider taking profits and to play defense. Several stocks sat near their buy points, from JPMorgan and Nike to Visa and Microsoft itself, which had slipped below its entry during a four-day losing streak and now stood a chance of reclaiming it. Boeing and Chipotle rallied on strong results, and durable goods orders came in well above forecasts.
All eyes now turned to Meta Platforms, which would report first-quarter results after the close, as investors weighed whether this morning's lift could last.
Before Wednesday's opening bell, Microsoft shares were up 7.6% in premarket trading, enough to pull Dow Jones futures out of early losses and push tech futures sharply higher. The software giant had beaten Wall Street's targets for its fiscal third quarter, helped by strong results in its cloud computing businesses, and it guided higher for the current period.
By morning, Dow futures were up 0.2% versus fair value and S&P 500 futures had gained 0.3%. Nasdaq 100 futures led with a 1% advance, with Microsoft among the top performers. Among exchange-traded funds, the Invesco QQQ Trust rose 0.85% and the SPDR S&P 500 ETF was up 0.15%.
The mood was less even elsewhere. Alphabet reported first-quarter earnings and revenue that topped estimates, and digital advertising revenue was flat from a year earlier, though still above expectations. Its shares lost 1.1%. Tesla, meanwhile, was downgraded by Jefferies from buy to hold, with the price target cut from 230 to 185. The stock inched higher in early trading anyway. It had slid 1.2% on Tuesday to its lowest level since Jan. 26, closing 55% below its 52-week high and well under its 50-day line, after triggering the 7%-8% loss rule from a 200.76 buy point.
Other earnings movers: Boeing rose 3% on strong first-quarter sales, and Chipotle Mexican Grill jumped 7.3%. Illumina gained almost 1%, Texas Instruments rose 1%, and Visa, which reported fiscal second-quarter results late Tuesday, moved up around 1%. Durable goods orders rose 3.2% in March, against an expected 0.9% gain, reversing February's 1% drop. Excluding transportation, orders rose 0.3% versus an expected 0.2%, improving on February's flat reading.
The backdrop is a rally under strain. On Tuesday the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1%, led lower by Dow Inc., which plunged 5.2% and broke below its 50-day moving average. The S&P 500 lost 1.6% and the Nasdaq composite fell 2%. IBD's Big Picture column advised that investors holding gainers consider taking partial or full profits, saying it was a time to play defense rather than offense.
Several names sit near buy points. JPMorgan, down 2.2% Tuesday, has a cup-with-handle entry at 141.88. Nike, off 1.9%, is about 3% from its 127.59 entry. Visa closed just below its 230.15 entry after a 1.4% drop and was trying to retake it. Crocs fell 3.8%, ending a seven-day winning streak, but held above its 143.60 buy point and reports Thursday. DraftKings, down 1.8%, slipped back below its 21.72 entry and reports May 4. Las Vegas Sands, after a 2.4% drop, sits in its buy range above 60.40; last week it posted earnings of 28 cents a share on revenue up nearly 125% to $2.12 billion. Lululemon fell 2.2% but held above its 371.36 entry.
Apple slipped 0.9% Tuesday and 0.3% early Wednesday, and reports May 4. Microsoft had given up its 276.86 flat-base entry during a four-day losing streak, but the premarket jump put it on track to regain it.
The 10-year Treasury yield was unchanged at 3.39%, after rebounding from its lowest level since mid-September and falling sharply Tuesday. West Texas Intermediate crude traded below $77 a barrel, down from an April 12 high above $83, with the EIA inventories report due at 10:30 a.m. ET. After the close, Meta Platforms reports first-quarter results.
Bemerkenswerte Zitate
If you've still got some nice gainers, consider taking partial or full profits. Now is the time to be playing defense, not offense.— IBD's Big Picture column, Tuesday