On a late November day in 2020, the India Meteorological Department gave notice that a deep depression over the south-west Bay of Bengal had grown into a cyclonic storm, and that it was named Nivar. Its path bends toward the coasts of Tamil Nadu and Puducherry, where it is expected to arrive on the evening of November 25. Such warnings are a familiar ritual of coastal life, in which people who depend on the sea are asked to step back and wait while the weather decides what it will do. The storm has not yet arrived, but its approach has already rearranged ordinary plans, from the sea's daily wo
Deep Depression Intensifies into Cyclonic Storm Nivar, Set to Hit Tamil Nadu and Puducherry Coasts
Rain is expected well ahead of the storm's arrival.
Mark
So what actually changed on Tuesday?
Mimi
The IMD upgraded a deep depression in the south-west Bay of Bengal to a cyclonic storm and named it Nivar. Landfall is expected on the evening of November 25 across Tamil Nadu and Puducherry.
Mark
How strong is it expected to be?
Mimi
Winds of 100 to 110 km/h, gusting to 120. The rain is the earlier concern, though. It starts November 24 and runs through the 26th, with extremely heavy rain in northern coastal and delta districts on the 24th and 25th.
Luke
Those wind figures are a forecast, not a measurement. They're the IMD's expectation for landfall, and the report doesn't say how confident the department is.
Mark
What are people being told to do?
Mimi
Fishermen should avoid the sea. Residents should keep food supplies at home and skip unnecessary travel.
Luke
Worth noting that's advice, not an order. The report mentions no evacuations, no shelter counts, nothing on how many people are in the path.
Mark
And the medical counselling?
Mimi
Moved from November 24 to November 30 by Tamil Nadu's Directorate of Medical Education. It's the one concrete disruption named so far.
Luke
The alert is labelled Yellow, and the report doesn't explain what that level means here. I wouldn't read more into it than the text supports.
Mimi
Fair. The next real marker is the evening of the 25th, when we see whether the forecast holds.
Le Pouls
- Cyclonic Storm Nivar has formed over the Bay of Bengal and is bearing down on the Tamil Nadu and Puducherry coasts.
- Winds of 100 to 110 km/h, with gusts near 120 km/h, are forecast at landfall, raising fears of damage along the shore.
- Extremely heavy rain is expected in northern and delta districts from November 24 to 25, with rain beginning ahead of the storm.
- Fishermen have been told to keep out of the sea, and residents are urged to stock food and avoid unnecessary travel.
- A medical college counselling session has been pushed to November 30, a sign of how the warning is reshaping daily life.
- The landfall timing of the evening of November 25 remains the key point to watch, and the forecast could still shift as the storm nears.
On a late November day in 2020, the India Meteorological Department gave notice that a deep depression over the south-west Bay of Bengal had grown into a cyclonic storm, and that it was named Nivar. Its path bends toward the coasts of Tamil Nadu and Puducherry, where it is expected to arrive on the evening of November 25. Such warnings are a familiar ritual of coastal life, in which people who depend on the sea are asked to step back and wait while the weather decides what it will do. The storm has not yet arrived, but its approach has already rearranged ordinary plans, from the sea's daily work to the scheduling of students' futures.
On Tuesday, November 24, 2020, the India Meteorological Department announced that a deep depression over the south-west Bay of Bengal had strengthened into a cyclonic storm called Nivar. Forecasters expect it to cross the coasts of Tamil Nadu and Puducherry on the evening of November 25. The department posted the alert on its social media account and marked the coastal regions under a yellow cyclone warning.
The storm is expected to bring winds of 100 to 110 kilometres per hour at landfall, with gusts reaching 120 kilometres per hour. Rain is forecast to begin on November 24 and continue through November 26, with extremely heavy downpours expected in the northern coastal and delta districts on November 24 and 25.
The Regional Meteorological Centre has told fishermen to stay out of the sea, and officials have urged residents to keep food supplies on hand and avoid unnecessary travel. The warning has also forced a change in education plans: counselling for the 2020-21 MBBS and BDS admissions in Tamil Nadu, originally set for November 24, has been moved to November 30.
The report does not yet provide figures on evacuations or shelters, nor does it specify which districts will face the heaviest rain beyond the northern coastal and delta areas. The coming evening of November 25 will show whether the forecasts hold as the storm reaches the shore.
On Tuesday, November 24, 2020, the India Meteorological Department announced that a deep depression over the south-west Bay of Bengal had strengthened into a cyclonic storm. The system was named Nivar. The department said it was very likely to cross the coasts of Tamil Nadu and Puducherry on the evening of November 25.
The IMD put the alert on its social media account. Its message said the deep depression had intensified into Cyclonic Storm Nivar over the south-west Bay of Bengal, and it marked the alert for the Tamil Nadu and Puducherry coasts as a Yellow Message. In the same post, the department noted that a separate deep depression had weakened into a depression over the Gulf of Aden and adjoining Somalia.
The department expects winds of 100 to 110 kilometres per hour at landfall, with gusts reaching 120 kilometres per hour.
Rain is expected well ahead of the storm's arrival. Rainfall was forecast to begin on November 24 across Tamil Nadu and Puducherry and to continue through November 26. On November 24 and 25, the forecast calls for extremely heavy rainfall in the northern coastal districts and the delta districts.
The Regional Meteorological Centre has advised fishermen to stay out of the sea. Officials have also asked residents to keep food supplies at hand and to avoid unnecessary travel.
The warning has already disrupted at least one scheduled event. The Directorate of Medical Education in Tamil Nadu said counselling for admission to the 2020-21 MBBS and BDS courses, set for November 24, has been moved to November 30 because of the cyclone warning.
The report, carried by ANI, does not give figures on evacuations or shelters, and it does not specify which districts fall under the heaviest-rain category beyond the northern coastal and delta areas. What to watch next is the evening of November 25, when the storm is expected to make landfall, and whether the wind and rain forecasts hold as it approaches the coast.
Citations marquantes
Deep depression has intensified into a cyclonic storm -- NIVAR over south-west Bay of Bengal -- (Cyclone alert for Tamil Nadu and Puducherry coasts - Yellow Message).— India Meteorological Department, on social media
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