California Midterms 2026: Live Results Guide to Key Southern California Races

The first incumbent to lose a primary in almost a century
Los Angeles City Attorney Hydee Feldstein Soto lost her June primary, opening the seat to Roy or McKinney.
Mark

Why does the Calvert-Kim race stand out?

Mimi

Two sitting Republicans are fighting for one seat. Prop. 50 redrew the lines, pushing Calvert out of the 41st, while parts of his old Inland Empire territory landed in Kim's 40th.

Luke

Worth saying that's the map's doing, not a prediction. The guide doesn't poll that race, so no one can say who's ahead.

Mark

The mayor's race looks very close.

Mimi

Bass and Raman are each at 40%, with 19% undecided. In September Raman led by 11.

Luke

That's one poll, from Berkeley IGS and the Times. A tie with that many undecided is not a forecast.

Mark

And the governor's race?

Mimi

Becerra leads Hilton 61% to 34% among likely voters, but his September lead was 25 points, so it grew in that comparison.

Luke

Careful there. 61 to 34 is a 27-point gap. The summary calls it narrowing, but the source's numbers suggest it widened. I'd trust the numbers.

Mark

What about District 9?

Mimi

Whichever Latino immigrant wins, the seat won't be held by a Black councilmember for the first time in over 60 years.

Luke

That's confirmed by the field. What we don't know is what it will mean for policy; the guide doesn't say.

  • Polls close at 8 p.m., and results begin pouring in for a ballot that runs from the governor's office to neighborhood council seats.
  • Becerra's lead over Hilton has shrunk from 25 points in September to 27 in the latest poll, a gap that still leaves Republicans hoping for an upset.
  • Karen Bass and Nithya Raman are deadlocked at 40% each, with 19% of Los Angeles voters still undecided and a single late swing able to decide the mayor's race.
  • Proposition 50's redistricting has pushed Ken Calvert and Young Kim into a head-to-head fight, while the insurance commissioner race unfolds as wildfire risk and premiums climb.
  • Prop. 40, the Billionaire Tax, stands as the measure to watch as returns arrive and the state's policy direction takes shape.

On an election evening when Californians are settling who will lead the state after Gavin Newsom and who will steer Los Angeles through a fraught moment, the ballot reaches from Sacramento down to individual neighborhoods. A governor's race that once looked decided has narrowed, a mayoral contest has tightened to a tie, and redrawn district lines have pitted incumbents against one another. Whatever the returns show, they will reflect a state still weighing wealth, safety, wildfire and the old question of who gets to represent whom.

Polls in California close at 8 p.m. Tuesday, and results will soon begin arriving for races that reach from the governor's office down to individual Los Angeles neighborhoods. KABC's guide lays out what is at stake in each.

At the top, Democrat Xavier Becerra, a former U.S. health secretary and state attorney general, faces Republican Steve Hilton, a former Fox News commentator, to succeed the termed-out Gavin Newsom. A UC Berkeley poll gave Becerra 61% to Hilton's 34%, a narrower margin than his September lead. A Becerra win would make him California's second Latino elected governor; a Hilton win would make him the first Republican governor since Schwarzenegger's reelection in 2006.

In Los Angeles, the mayor's race is far tighter. Karen Bass and Nithya Raman are tied at 40%, with 19% still undecided, after Bass erased Raman's earlier 11-point lead. The city attorney race follows a June primary in which the incumbent lost, the first such defeat in almost a century. Marissa Roy and John McKinney both want to cut the city's liability payouts and revive the neighborhood prosecutor program, though they disagree sharply over public safety.

Two council seats are open. In District 3, Barri Worth Girvan faces Tim Gaspar, a former insurance executive. In District 9, two Latino immigrants compete to replace Curren Price, and whoever wins will end more than 60 years of Black representation in that seat.

Redistricting has also reshaped Congress. Republicans Ken Calvert and Young Kim now face each other, while Democrat Derek Tran defends his Orange County seat against Chuong Vo, a former Cerritos mayor and police veteran. In the insurance commissioner race, Democrats Ben Allen and Jane Kim are competing as wildfires, rising premiums and insurer departures define the job. Countywide, Sheriff Robert Luna seeks reelection against Alex Villanueva, whom he unseated in 2022.

Among the 14 statewide propositions, Prop. 40, the Billionaire Tax, and the Calvert-Kim contest are the ones to watch as the results arrive.

Polls in California close at 8 p.m. Tuesday, and once they do, results begin arriving for a ballot that stretches from the governor's office down to individual Los Angeles neighborhoods. KABC's guide to the Southern California contests lays out what is at stake in each.

At the top is the race to succeed termed-out Gov. Gavin Newsom. Democrat Xavier Becerra, a former U.S. secretary of Health and Human Services, congressman and state attorney general, faces Republican Steve Hilton, a former Fox News commentator. A UC Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies poll co-sponsored by the Los Angeles Times found 61% of likely voters backing Becerra and 34% backing Hilton. In a September poll from the same institute, Becerra's lead had been 25 percentage points. A Becerra win would make him California's second Latino elected governor. A Hilton win would make him the first Republican elected governor since Arnold Schwarzenegger won reelection in 2006.

In Los Angeles, the mayor's race is far tighter. Incumbent Karen Bass and challenger Nithya Raman each have 40% in a Berkeley IGS/L.A. Times poll released last week, with 19% of voters undecided. In September, Raman led by 11 points; the new poll shows Bass has erased that gap. The city attorney's race follows an unusual primary: in June, Hydee Feldstein Soto became the first incumbent to lose a primary in almost a century. Her replacement will be either Marissa Roy, a deputy attorney general with the California DOJ, or John McKinney, an L.A. County prosecutor. Both want to cut the millions of dollars the city pays out in liability settlements, and both have pledged to revive the neighborhood prosecutor program, which places a deputy city attorney in every neighborhood, and to go after landlords who exploit vulnerable tenants. Roy is a member of the L.A. chapter of the Democratic Socialists of America, and McKinney has criticized her public safety platform as driven by political ideology.

Two City Council seats are open because of term limits. In District 3, where Bob Blumenfield is leaving, Barri Worth Girvan, who has worked for former Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa, former state Sen. Bob Hertzberg and County Supervisor Lindsey Horvath, faces Tim Gaspar, who ran a large West Valley insurance company until he sold it in 2021 and has worked with nonprofits and community groups. In District 9, which covers parts of downtown and much of South L.A., Curren Price is termed out. Two Latino immigrants are competing to replace him: Jose Ugarte, Price's former deputy chief of staff, and community organizer Estuardo Mazariegos. Whoever wins, the seat will for the first time in more than 60 years not be held by a Black councilmember.

Proposition 50's redistricting has reshaped the congressional map. Republicans Ken Calvert and Young Kim are now running against each other. Calvert, in Congress more than 33 years, was drawn out of his 41st District, but parts of the Inland Empire he previously represented now sit in the 40th, which Kim represents. In the redrawn 45th District, which now includes Fountain Valley, Norwalk, Garden Grove, Westminster, Buena Park and Cerritos, Democrat Derek Tran defends the seat he flipped in 2024 by beating Republican Michelle Steel. Tran is an Army veteran and the son of Vietnamese refugees, and has introduced legislation requiring facilities handling hazardous materials to be more transparent with nearby communities. His challenger, Chuong Vo, is a former Cerritos mayor and 28-year police officer who was born in Vietnam and whose family fled communist rule when he was 1. Vo lists public safety, secure borders, faster asylum decisions and lower living costs as priorities. Democrats make up nearly 39% of registered voters in the district and Republicans 30%.

The insurance commissioner's race pits two Democrats, state Sen. Ben Allen and former San Francisco Supervisor Jane Kim, as wildfire risk grows, premiums climb and some insurers leave the state. Allen, whose district includes the fire-ravaged Pacific Palisades, said he would not be running without that experience, and that he saw the insurance system's dysfunction up close. Kim said the office sits at the intersection of wealth inequality, economic fairness and climate disaster.

Countywide, Sheriff Robert Luna seeks reelection against Alex Villanueva, the man he unseated in 2022. Voters also face 14 statewide propositions, including Prop. 40, the Billionaire Tax. Prop. 40 and the Calvert-Kim contest, both products of high-stakes policy and redistricting fights, are the ones to watch as results come in.

I don't think I'd be running for this if it hadn't been for the fire experience. I got to see the dysfunction of the insurance system up close.
— State Sen. Ben Allen, insurance commissioner candidate
This office sits at the intersection of... wealth inequality, economic fairness and climate disaster.
— Jane Kim, insurance commissioner candidate
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