On the eve of a Budget that will not be delivered until Wednesday lunchtime, Britain's newspapers are already sketching its shape from briefings, and the picture is one of modest household relief set against a familiar argument about how far a government can afford to be generous. Standing charges on gas, the fixed daily fees paid regardless of use, may be scrapped, while support for lower-income families may grow. Behind these measures lies a quieter tension: the constraints of fiscal rules, the appetite for taxing banks and gamblers, and an unresolved disagreement over whether a North Sea oi
Budget Day Preview: Gas Standing Charges Scrapped, Welfare Pledges Criticised, Rosebank Divides Cabinet
Fixed daily fees that must be paid, even if no gas is used
Start with the household measure. What are the papers saying about gas bills?
The Times and the Telegraph both say standing charges on gas will be scrapped. Those are the fixed daily fees you pay even if you use no gas. The Telegraph puts the saving at up to £50 a year on a typical bill.
And the extra help for poorer households?
The i Paper says it will likely come through the Warm Home Discount, rising from £150 to £250 a year off electricity bills.
Worth saying that is all pre-Budget reporting. The £50 figure is the Telegraph's, and the £250 is described as expected, not confirmed.
Why is the chancellor's room for manoeuvre so tight?
The Mirror points to fiscal rules that block borrowing for day-to-day spending, so big giveaways are limited. That is why it reports taxes on banks, gambling and online marketplaces.
The Financial Times says the rises will be modest. Nobody has published the numbers yet, so how much any of this raises is unknown.
Rosebank seems the most politically charged item.
The Times says the Budget will assume approval, with Healey for it and Fahnbulleh and Miliband against. The Guardian's insiders say it can fit within carbon targets because emissions from exported oil do not count domestically.
Those are anonymous insiders and newspaper accounts of cabinet views. Approval itself hasn't been confirmed, and the carbon argument is contested ground.
And welfare?
The Mail says Healey will duck reform and spend billions more. Badenoch says the government has chickened out.
That is a Conservative leader and a friendly paper. We'll know the real figures when the chancellor speaks.
Le Pouls
- Newspapers are racing to forecast a Budget that is still hours away, and every paper is trying to get ahead of the chancellor's words.
- Gas standing charges may be scrapped, promising up to £50 off a typical annual bill for households feeling the squeeze.
- The Warm Home Discount could jump from £150 to £250 for lower-income homes, but fiscal rules leave little room for big giveaways.
- Welfare has become the flashpoint, with the Mail and Badenoch accusing the government of cowardice over reform.
- Rosebank's approval is being assumed in the figures, and two cabinet ministers oppose it, so the split may surface on Wednesday.
On the eve of a Budget that will not be delivered until Wednesday lunchtime, Britain's newspapers are already sketching its shape from briefings, and the picture is one of modest household relief set against a familiar argument about how far a government can afford to be generous. Standing charges on gas, the fixed daily fees paid regardless of use, may be scrapped, while support for lower-income families may grow. Behind these measures lies a quieter tension: the constraints of fiscal rules, the appetite for taxing banks and gamblers, and an unresolved disagreement over whether a North Sea oil field should be approved. These are reports, not yet decisions, and the country will learn in a few hours which of them the chancellor actually chose.
The front pages on Wednesday morning are all turned toward the same event: the chancellor's Budget statement, due at lunchtime. What follows comes from newspaper reports ahead of the speech, not from the speech itself, and each report is attributed to the paper that ran it.
The most tangible household measure, according to The Times and the Daily Telegraph, is the scrapping of gas standing charges, the fixed daily fees paid whether or not any gas is used. The Telegraph estimates the change could take up to £50 off a typical annual bill.
The i Paper expects lower-income households to receive extra energy help through the Warm Home Discount, which now takes £150 a year off eligible electricity bills and may rise to £250. On tax, the Financial Times anticipates modest rises aimed at banks and gambling firms, and notes that the City has accepted a raid on bank profits. The Daily Mirror adds that online marketplaces such as Amazon and eBay may be made responsible for collecting tax owed by the retailers selling on their sites, while warning that fiscal rules limit any large giveaways.
Welfare draws the sharpest criticism. The Daily Mail says the chancellor will avoid reform and instead distribute billions more to claimants, and Kemi Badenoch tells the Daily Express that the government has "chickened out" of tackling welfare.
The Times reports that the Budget will assume approval of drilling at the Rosebank field west of Shetland, which would bring in significant tax revenue. The chancellor is said to back it strongly, while Energy Secretary Miatta Fahnbulleh and Foreign Secretary Ed Miliband oppose it. The Guardian says insiders argue approval is compatible with carbon targets, since emissions from burning exported oil are not counted domestically.
Elsewhere, the Sun has urged a knighthood for Harry Kane after his Ballon d'Or win. On Wednesday, the things to check are whether the gas charge cut, the larger Warm Home Discount and the Rosebank assumption appear as reported, and whether the ministerial division over Rosebank becomes public.
On the morning of the Budget, the front pages of Britain's newspapers are crowded with the same event: the chancellor's statement, due at lunchtime on Wednesday. The details below come from newspaper reports ahead of the speech, not from the speech itself, and each is attributed to the paper that carried it.
The most concrete household measure comes from The Times and the Daily Telegraph. Both report that the chancellor will scrap standing charges on gas bills, the fixed daily fees households pay whether or not they use any gas. The Telegraph says the change would take up to £50 off a typical annual bill.
The i Paper reports that lower-income households are expected to get extra help with energy costs. It says the support is likely to come through the Warm Home Discount, which currently takes £150 a year off the electricity bills of eligible households. The paper says that figure is now expected to rise to £250.
On tax, the Financial Times says the rises will be modest and aimed at banks and the gambling sector. It adds that the City of London has become resigned to a raid on bank profits. The Daily Mirror reports that John Healey is likely to crack down on online marketplaces such as Amazon and eBay, making them responsible for collecting tax owed by the retailers who sell through their platforms. The same paper warns that the chancellor's room for large giveaways is limited by fiscal rules that block borrowing to fund day-to-day spending.
Welfare is where the criticism is sharpest. The Daily Mail's front page says Healey will duck welfare reform and instead hand out billions of pounds more to benefit claimants. Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch makes a similar charge in the Daily Express, saying the chancellor and the prime minister have "chickened out of tackling out-of-control welfare."
The Times also reports on the Rosebank field, west of Shetland. It says the Budget will assume that oil and gas drilling there is approved, which would bring in significant tax revenue. According to the paper, Healey strongly backs the project, while Energy Secretary Miatta Fahnbulleh and Foreign Secretary Ed Miliband are opposed. The Guardian says government insiders have told it Rosebank can be approved without breaching the UK's carbon emission targets, partly because emissions from burning the oil after it is exported no longer count against Britain's domestic totals.
Outside the Budget, the Sun calls for Harry Kane to be knighted after he won the Ballon d'Or, describing the England captain as a "talismanic skipper" and a flawless role model and true patriot.
What to watch on Wednesday is whether the gas standing charge cut, the larger Warm Home Discount and the Rosebank assumption appear as the papers describe, and whether the split among ministers over Rosebank surfaces.
Citations marquantes
The chancellor and the prime minister have chickened out of tackling out-of-control welfare.— Kemi Badenoch, Conservative leader, in the Daily Express