Brewers seek NLCS sweep of Dodgers in Game 4 Thursday

The Brewers are playing with house money now
Milwaukee leads 3-0 and faces a rookie opener in Game 4, while Los Angeles searches for answers.
Mark

So the Brewers are one win away from the World Series. How did they get here so decisively?

Mimi

They've been the more complete team. Solid pitching, good defense, and they're hitting when it matters. Game 3 was the clearest example—three home runs, including back-to-back shots in the seventh that flipped the game.

Luke

But let's be precise about the Dodgers' pitching. Blake Snell had only started 10 games all season because of injuries. That's not a normal sample. And Shohei Ohtani is hitting .150 in the postseason—is that a slump, or is something actually wrong?

Mimi

It's hard to say without being inside the clubhouse. But the Brewers have made the Dodgers look uncomfortable. Even their best players aren't producing.

Mark

What about Thursday's matchup? Shane Drohan is a rookie making his postseason debut.

Mimi

He's in an opener role, so he won't pitch deep into the game. Dustin May is expected to carry the load. It's a bullpen game, essentially.

Luke

And Glasnow for the Dodgers is 0-3 lifetime against Milwaukee with a 4.55 ERA. That's a real pattern, not noise. But he's also only pitched once this postseason, so we don't know how sharp he is.

Mark

The 2004 Red Sox are the only team ever to come back from 3-0. Does that feel like false hope for the Dodgers?

Mimi

It's hope, but it's thin. You have to win four straight against a team that's playing nearly flawless baseball.

Luke

And Dave Roberts was on that Red Sox team, so he knows what it takes. But knowing and doing are different things.

  • The Brewers have outscored Los Angeles 13-6 over the last two games alone, turning a series against baseball's marquee franchise into something resembling a methodical dismantling.
  • Shohei Ohtani, dropped to sixth in the batting order and hitting just .150 through the postseason, embodies the Dodgers' stunning inability to impose their will on this series.
  • Milwaukee's Game 3 eruption — three home runs off Blake Snell, including back-to-back shots that erased a deficit in the seventh — signaled that the Brewers are not merely surviving but thriving under pressure.
  • The Dodgers' only historical lifeline is the 2004 Red Sox comeback from 3-0 down, a precedent so rare it borders on mythology — and their own manager was there to witness it firsthand.
  • Thursday's pitching matchup pits Milwaukee's rookie opener Shane Drohan against Tyler Glasnow, who is 0-3 lifetime against the Brewers, leaving Los Angeles little margin for error in a must-win elimination game.

On a Thursday night in Los Angeles, the Milwaukee Brewers stood at the threshold of the World Series, needing only one more victory to complete a sweep of the heavily favored Dodgers in the National League Championship Series. What unfolded across three games was less an upset than a quiet reckoning — Milwaukee's disciplined pitching, opportunistic power, and unassuming depth dismantling a roster of stars one inning at a time. The Dodgers, managed by a man who once lived the only comparable comeback in baseball history, faced elimination with the weight of precedent working almost entirely against them.

The Milwaukee Brewers arrived at Dodger Stadium on Thursday needing just one win to reach the World Series, holding a commanding 3-0 series lead in the NLCS. First pitch was set for 8 p.m. ET on FS1, with the Dodgers facing the rarest of baseball precipices — elimination after leading nothing.

Milwaukee had built their advantage through a combination of steady pitching, reliable defense, and well-timed power. Game 3 told the story most vividly: Jackson Chourio homered on the very first pitch of the game, and when the Brewers trailed 2-1 in the seventh, Jake Bauers and Garrett Mitchell went back-to-back to flip the lead. The final score was 6-2. Shortstop Cooper Pratt, a part-time player with just 228 regular-season at-bats, went 3-for-4. The Brewers had been road underdogs at +156 and won anyway.

For Los Angeles, the collapse carried its own painful details. Blake Snell had retired 14 straight batters before the Milwaukee onslaught, and the three home runs he surrendered were the first he had allowed all season across a limited, injury-shortened campaign. Shohei Ohtani, batting sixth and hitting .150 through the postseason without an extra-base hit, had become a symbol of the Dodgers' broader offensive silence.

The historical shadow over the series was impossible to ignore. Only the 2004 Boston Red Sox had ever recovered from a 3-0 playoff deficit — doing so against the Yankees in the ALCS. Dodgers manager Dave Roberts was a member of that Red Sox team. The precedent existed, but it existed once.

For Game 4, Milwaukee planned to use rookie left-hander Shane Drohan as an opener — his first postseason appearance — with veteran Dustin May expected to carry the bulk of the innings behind him. Los Angeles countered with Tyler Glasnow, who had posted strong regular-season numbers but carried an 0-3 lifetime record against the Brewers. The betting market told the story plainly: Milwaukee favored at +130, the Dodgers at -155, with analysts noting that all the pressure in the building belonged to the home team.

The Milwaukee Brewers arrived at Dodger Stadium on Thursday night needing just one more victory to reach the World Series. They held a 3-0 series lead in the National League Championship Series, one win away from eliminating a Dodgers roster built around some of baseball's most recognizable names. First pitch was scheduled for 8 p.m. ET on FS1.

The Brewers had methodically dismantled Los Angeles through the first three games, winning Game 3 by a score of 6-2 on Wednesday night despite being road underdogs at +156. Their approach had been straightforward: solid pitching, reliable defense, and timely hitting. In Game 3, the power stroke emerged with particular force. Left fielder Jackson Chourio launched a home run on the very first pitch of the game—his second of the postseason. In the seventh inning, first baseman Jake Bauers and center fielder Garrett Mitchell connected back-to-back, turning a 2-1 deficit into a 4-2 lead. Shortstop Cooper Pratt, who had accumulated just 228 at-bats during the regular season while batting .281, finished 3 for 4 with a run and a stolen base.

The Dodgers' pitching had cracked under the pressure. Blake Snell, the veteran left-hander, had retired 14 consecutive batters before the Milwaukee onslaught. The three home runs marked the first he had allowed all season—a notable fact given that injuries had limited him to just 10 regular-season starts spanning 44 2/3 innings, plus a single postseason appearance of 3 2/3 innings. Shohei Ohtani, dropped to sixth in the batting order, managed just one hit in two at-bats. Coming into Game 3, he was hitting .150 through six postseason games with no extra-base hits.

The historical weight of the moment was not lost on anyone. Only one team in Major League Baseball history had ever rallied from a 3-0 series deficit to win: the 2004 Boston Red Sox, who mounted their improbable comeback against the New York Yankees in the American League Championship Series. The Dodgers' manager, Dave Roberts, had played for that Red Sox team. The precedent existed, but barely.

For Thursday's elimination game, the Brewers planned to deploy rookie left-hander Shane Drohan in an opener role, according to reporting from SI.Com's Tom Verducci. Drohan had gone 7-5 with a 4.19 ERA across 33 regular-season games, 19 of which were starts. He posted a 1.32 WHIP with 3.2 walks per nine innings and 9.0 strikeouts per nine over 124 2/3 innings. This would mark his first postseason appearance. Right-hander Dustin May, who had compiled a 7-9 record with a 4.70 ERA across 31 starts for both St. Louis and Milwaukee in 2026, was expected to follow Drohan and pitch the bulk of the innings.

The Dodgers countered with Tyler Glasnow, who had posted a 5-2 record with a 3.53 ERA in 13 regular-season starts. He carried a 0.95 WHIP and struck out 11.9 batters per nine innings across 74 innings. His only postseason appearance had come in the NLDS clincher against Atlanta on October 7, when he threw 4 2/3 innings, allowing one earned run on one hit while walking five and striking out five. Against Milwaukee in the regular season, Glasnow was 0-3 with a 4.55 ERA across nine games, five of them starts, with his last meeting against the Brewers occurring in 2025.

The betting market reflected Milwaukee's dominance. The Brewers were favored at +130 on the moneyline, while the Dodgers sat at -155. Over the previous two games, the combined score had been 13-6 in Milwaukee's favor. The Brewers were playing with what analysts called house money—the pressure belonged entirely to Los Angeles. One expert prediction called for a Brewers victory of 4-2, with a recommendation to bet the Milwaukee moneyline and take the under on 7.5 total runs.

The Brewers have just mopped the floor with the star-studded Dodgers. Over the last 2 games, the combined score has been 13-6.
— Expert analysis
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