Bishop blames Māori Party and Harry Mowbray for overhang campaign as he leaves Parliament

"The voters are never wrong" — and a campaign he says confused them
Bishop conceded Hutt South by under 900 votes while blaming the overhang campaign for confusing voters.
Mark

Why is Bishop's criticism getting attention beyond his own loss?

Mimi

Because he's blaming a campaign tactic, the overhang strategy, rather than just voters. He lost Hutt South by under 900 votes and National won no list seats, so he's tying his exit to how the system was used.

Luke

Careful, though. That's his reading. The reporting gives us his claim that the campaign was confusing and distracting, not evidence of how many voters were swayed.

Mark

He also said the voters are never wrong. Isn't that at odds with calling it gaming?

Mimi

He separates the two. He accepts the result in Hutt South, but criticises the campaign around it.

Luke

Right, and he says he's under 1000 behind on current numbers. Special votes are outstanding, though he expects them not to change the result.

Mark

What about the human side?

Mimi

His electorate offices in central Hutt and Wainuiomata close in late November and early December, and staff lose jobs. He named Dawn McKinley, ten-plus years in Wainuiomata.

Mark

And National's next steps?

Mimi

Louise Upston wouldn't say who replaces Nicola Willis as finance spokesperson, saying that waits for special votes.

Luke

Worth noting we don't hear from the Māori Party or Mowbray here. Bishop's characterisation is unanswered in this piece.

Mark

So what's actually settled?

Luke

His loss and his call for review. Whether the system changes, or the campaign decided anything, isn't established.

  • A narrow loss of under 900 votes left Hutt South slipping away and National with no list seats to recover the position.
  • Bishop has publicly accused the Māori Party and Harry Mowbray's overhang campaign of gaming the system and confusing voters.
  • Two electorate offices are set to close in late November and early December, putting constituency staff out of work.
  • National is waiting for special votes before choosing a new finance minister to replace Nicola Willis, while calls for electoral reform grow louder.

On a Tuesday morning in Wellington, as National's MPs gathered for caucus, Chris Bishop was already speaking about an ending he had not chosen. After twelve years representing Hutt South, he lost the seat by fewer than nine hundred votes in a contest reshaped by an overhang strategy that left his party with no list seats to fall back on. His reflection, that the campaign had gamed a system meant to serve voters, speaks to a familiar human tension between the rules of democracy and the spirit in which they are meant to be used. The final chapter is still being written, as special votes are counted and the party decides what comes next.

On Tuesday morning, as National's MPs walked into Parliament for caucus, Chris Bishop was already on the radio saying goodbye. After twelve years holding Hutt South, he had lost by fewer than 900 votes, and because National won no list seats, there was no route back. He told Morning Report that the overhang campaign run by the Māori Party, billionaire Harry Mowbray and others had been bad for democracy, calling it gaming the system and terribly confusing for voters.

The night before, Bishop had called election night soul-destroying and rang Ginny Andersen to concede. He spoke with pride about the local effort: more doors knocked than ever, over 100,000 leaflets, and a team of volunteers, some of whom had worked with him across five campaigns. He still believes Lower Hutt is a better city than it was twelve years ago.

The loss carries practical costs. His two electorate offices will close, and staff such as Dawn McKinley, who spent more than a decade in the Wainuiomata office, will lose their jobs. Bishop does not yet know what comes next. He has a mortgage to pay and a family who, he says, have sacrificed the most, so he wants time with them before deciding how he might serve in public life again.

At Parliament, Louise Upston called the departures the nature of politics but a real blow. Asked who will take over finance from Nicola Willis, she said that question would wait until special votes are counted. Tim Costley, likely holder of the redrawn Kāpiti seat, said it would be tough to say goodbye to colleagues who had served well.

For now, the final results remain pending. Once they land, National will turn to its caucus line-up and the finance question, while Bishop's call to rethink the electoral system hangs over the debate.

On Tuesday morning, as National's MPs filed into Parliament for a caucus meeting, one of the party's most senior figures was already on the radio saying goodbye. Chris Bishop, who lost the Hutt South seat he had held for 12 years, told Morning Report that the overhang campaign run by the Māori Party, billionaire Harry Mowbray and others had been bad for democracy.

Bishop lost the electorate by fewer than 900 votes, and National won no list seats, so there was no route back. He described the overhang strategy as "gaming the system" and said the electoral system needs to be reassessed in its wake. In his view the campaign was confusing and pulled attention from the real issues. "I think the Māori Party have got a lot to answer for with their campaign, and I think Harry and his crew have as well," he said, adding that it was "terribly confusing for voters."

The night before, Bishop had posted on Facebook about the result. He called Saturday's election night "soul-destroying" and said special votes were still to be counted but were unlikely to change the outcome in Hutt South. He had rung Ginny Andersen to concede and congratulate her. "Feels surreal, but that's democracy and the voters are never wrong," he wrote.

He took pride in the local campaign. National's party vote in Hutt South was under 25%, yet on current numbers he trailed by less than 1000 votes with a personal vote of 43%. His team knocked on more doors than ever before, delivered over 100,000 leaflets, held a dozen street corner meetings and community barbecues, and put up more than 300 signs. He thanked volunteers, including people who had helped across five of his election campaigns, and said he had tried to run a positive campaign. He added that he believes Lower Hutt is a better city than it was 12 years ago.

The loss has practical costs. Bishop's two electorate offices, in central Hutt and Wainuiomata, will close in late November and early December, and his constituency staff will lose their jobs. He singled out Dawn McKinley, who has worked in the Wainuiomata office for more than ten years. As for his own future, he said he does not know. He and his wife Jenna have a mortgage and bills, so he will be looking for work. He still feels he has something to offer public life but said it is too early to say in what capacity. For now he wants time with Jenna and their children, who he said have sacrificed the most in the past three years.

At Parliament, senior National MP Louise Upston said losing colleagues is "the nature of politics" but still a blow, and that those departing had made an extraordinary contribution. She said the day was about welcoming new MPs as well as farewelling those leaving. Asked who should take over the finance role from Nicola Willis, she declined to say, acknowledging "interest and speculation" but saying it was a matter for after special votes are counted.

Tim Costley, who looks to have held the newly redrawn Kāpiti electorate, said it would have been "amazing" to have colleagues like Bishop return. He expected mixed emotions in the caucus room and said it would be tough to say goodbye to friends and ministers who had served well.

Final results are still to come. Once the special votes land, National will turn to its caucus line-up, including the finance question, while Bishop's call for a rethink of the electoral system is left open.

I think the Māori Party have got a lot to answer for with their campaign, and I think Harry and his crew have as well.
— Chris Bishop, outgoing National MP
Losing colleagues is the nature of politics, but it's still a blow.
— Louise Upston, senior National MP (paraphrased)
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