B.C. Conservatives Win Majority, Ending Nine Years of NDP Rule Under David Eby

"We spoke to 802 people, nobody mentioned Trump."
Research Co.'s Mario Canseco on why Eby's stated reason for the snap election did not register with voters.
Mark

Why does this result matter so much beyond who won?

Mimi

Because it ends nine years of NDP government and puts the Conservatives in power for the first time in nearly a century, under an interim leader.

Luke

Worth saying the majority is a CTV projection. Some ridings weren't declared, and the final seat count isn't in the reporting.

Mark

Eby called this election himself. What was his case?

Mimi

He pointed to the challenges posed by Trump. But Research Co. found the economy had become the top issue, and of 802 people polled, nobody mentioned Trump.

Luke

That's one poll from one firm, though. It tells us what that sample said, not why every voter chose as they did.

Mark

The Conservatives have churned through leaders. Will that matter now?

Mimi

Cullen warned a coalition like this is tricky to govern. Clark countered that wanting to stay in power holds people together.

Luke

Those are opinions from two veterans, not evidence. How Doerkson's caucus actually behaves is unknown.

Mark

And the ballots still to come?

Mimi

Mail-in and absentee ballots take two weeks, so close ridings could still change.

  • CTV News projects a Conservative majority, pushing the NDP out of power after nine years and leaving some ridings still uncounted.
  • Eby's snap call, justified by the Trump challenge, failed to move voters, who now rank the economy above housing as their chief worry.
  • A party that has cycled through four leaders in two years is trying to hold together an ideologically varied caucus under Doerkson's interim leadership.
  • Smaller parties like CentreBC and OneBC are fighting for footholds, while turnout dipped by about 100,000 advance voters amid a crowded civic and byelection calendar.
  • The result is not yet settled, as mail-in and absentee ballots, still under integrity checks, could shift close races over the next two weeks.

On a Saturday night in Vancouver, David Eby waited with his family for results from an election he had chosen to call, and by the end of the evening the province had turned its page. The B.C. Conservatives, under interim leader Lorne Doerkson, were projected to form a majority, ending nine years of NDP government and returning the Conservatives to power for the first time in nearly a century. Beneath the arithmetic lies a quieter story: voters appear to have judged the moment less by the external threats Eby invoked than by the ordinary weight of the economy, housing and daily life. The final shape of the legislature remains provisional, as late mail-in ballots will not be counted for roughly two weeks.

On Saturday night in Vancouver, David Eby waited with his family for the first results of an election he had called himself. By the end of the evening, CTV News had projected that the B.C. Conservatives would form a majority government, ending nine years of NDP rule. Interim leader Lorne Doerkson, re-elected in the safe seat of Cariboo–Chilcotin, is set to become premier.

Eby had argued that the challenges posed by U.S. President Donald Trump justified going to the polls early. Voters did not seem to agree. Research Co. found the economy had overtaken housing and homelessness as the top concern, and none of the 802 people polled mentioned Trump. Its president called the contest a referendum on economic management.

The winning party has had a bruising road, with four leaders in two years and an ideologically mixed caucus. John Rustad, who came close to government in 2024, is not returning, and he described the period as emotional but said the party was now in a far better place, crediting Eby's call with uniting the right. Critics such as Nathan Cullen warned that governing such a coalition would be tricky.

Smaller parties had their own night. Elenore Sturko's new CentreBC pitched itself to voters who found both major parties too extreme, while the Conservatives and OneBC's Dallas Brodie clashed in Vancouver-Quilchena. Turnout also fell, with about 100,000 fewer advance votes, which panellists blamed partly on overlapping votes and a short campaign.

The count is not finished. Mail-in and absentee ballots will be tallied in about two weeks, and they could still change close ridings.

On Saturday night in Vancouver, David Eby sat with his wife, Cailey Lynch, their children Iva, 7, Gwen, 2, and Ezra, 12, and Lynch's parents, Kay Armstrong and Alex Lynch, waiting for the first results of an election he had called himself. By the end of the evening, CTV News had projected that the B.C. Conservatives would form a majority government, ending nine years of NDP rule.

The projection came while some ridings had yet to be declared, but CTV reported that the Conservatives had already secured enough seats to push the NDP into Opposition. Interim leader Lorne Doerkson is set to become premier, leading the province's first Conservative government in nearly a century. Doerkson was himself re-elected in Cariboo–Chilcotin, a riding considered a safe Conservative seat.

Eby had justified the snap election by pointing to the challenges posed by U.S. President Donald Trump. Polling suggested that argument did not land. Research Co. found a year ago that homelessness and housing topped voters' concerns, followed by the economy, health care, the environment and public safety. In a follow-up survey this month, the economy had moved to first and housing and homelessness to second. Health care was third, then crime and public safety, then government accountability, the kind of concern that tends to surface when voters are uneasy with the incumbent. Research Co. president Mario Canseco called the contest a referendum on economic management. The environment and Trump were both missing from the list. "We spoke to 802 people, nobody mentioned Trump," he said.

The winning party has had a rough road. The Conservatives have had four leaders in two years, and the caucus has been marked by infighting among ideologically varied MLAs. John Rustad, who led the party to within a hair of government in 2024, is not seeking re-election. He was ousted as leader in 2025, then removed from caucus under Kerry-Lynne Findlay, and welcomed back once Doerkson became interim leader. Rustad described the experience as emotional and said it took a toll, but he said the party was in a much better place, and he credited Eby's snap call with uniting the right.

Others were less sure the divisions would fade. Former NDP MLA Nathan Cullen pointed to Alberta Premier Danielle Smith and said governing with such a coalition is "super tricky." Former B.C. Liberal premier Christy Clark, who campaigned with the Conservatives in Surrey, said her own experience was that the desire to hold power keeps people together, even the "kooky" ones. Before polls closed, she predicted at least 60 seats for the Conservatives, saying it felt like a change election, as municipal elections across the province had been.

Smaller parties had their own night. Elenore Sturko became leader of the new CentreBC party the day the writ dropped, pitching it to voters who found both the Conservatives and the NDP too extreme. She acknowledged it would be an uphill fight to keep her own seat, but said the party had introduced itself to British Columbians and run "an absolute banger of a campaign on a shoestring budget." In Vancouver-Quilchena, Conservative candidate Carson Binda faced Dallas Brodie, the OneBC interim leader and a former Conservative, and said the local campaign was not worried about vote-splitting.

Turnout was a talking point. About 100,000 fewer people voted in advance than in the previous election. Panellists, including former B.C. Liberal MLA Mike DeJong and Clark, suggested that overlapping byelection, civic and provincial votes, along with the short campaign, may have confused voters.

The count is not finished. Polling-station ballots, advance ballots and special voting ballots were tallied on election night. Mail-in, assisted telephone and various absentee ballots will not be counted for two weeks, while Elections B.C. conducts additional integrity checks. Those late ballots could still shift any close ridings.

This has become a referendum on economic management.
— Mario Canseco, president of Research Co.
Handling this coalition and governing with this coalition is super tricky.
— Nathan Cullen, former NDP MLA
Contact Us FAQ