Bank deposits losing ground to inflation as Kiwis seek financial guidance

Money left in the bank is losing ground.
With inflation at 4.1% and term deposits offering 3.55%, savers face negative real returns even before tax.
Mark

So the core problem is that term deposits aren't keeping pace with inflation. How long has this been true?

Mimi

It's been a persistent issue. Eaqub's chart shows it's been happening for years now, though the Covid period was particularly rough. Right now, at 3.55 percent against 4.1 percent inflation, you're losing money in real terms.

Luke

But we should be careful here—that 3.55 percent is an average. Some banks might offer slightly more or less. And the 4.1 percent inflation figure—is that current, or is it from when the article was written?

Mimi

Fair point. The article doesn't specify the exact date of the inflation figure, so readers should check current rates. But the direction is clear: deposits are underwater.

Mark

Why would anyone keep money in the bank at all, then?

Mimi

Because you need accessible cash for emergencies. You can't put your emergency fund in a three-year KiwiSaver investment and hope nothing goes wrong. The trade-off is real.

Luke

And that's the honest tension the article surfaces—there's no perfect answer. You need liquidity, but liquidity costs you.

Mark

What about the KiwiSaver question? The person saw their balance drop despite adding money.

Mimi

That's actually normal for conservative funds when interest rates are rising. Harris explained it clearly—short-term losses happen, but over three years the fund had returned 5.89 percent per annum.

Luke

Though again, that's a specific fund's performance. Different providers will have different results. The article doesn't compare across the industry.

Mark

And the will and trust stuff—that seemed like it could get complicated fast.

Mimi

It absolutely can. Pope's point about assets not being fully transferred to a trust is crucial. People set up a trust thinking they're done, but there might still be a debt owed by the trust back to them.

Luke

The article gives good examples, but it's also clear that complex situations need a lawyer. The online services work for straightforward cases, but the moment you have a blended family or a business, you're taking a risk.

Mark

So the real message is: get advice?

Mimi

Yes. Whether online or in person, professional guidance matters, especially when money and family are involved.

  • With inflation at 4.1% and six-month term deposits returning only 3.55%, New Zealand savers are losing purchasing power before tax is even deducted — a quiet but relentless drain on financial security.
  • The discomfort runs deeper than one bad quarter: Reserve Bank data shows this pattern of negative real returns stretched through the Covid years and echoes the turbulent 1970s, suggesting it is a recurring feature of conservative saving, not an anomaly.
  • A KiwiSaver investor watching a $299,000 balance shrink despite regular contributions discovered that even moderate-conservative funds can retreat over short windows — though longer timeframes tell a steadier story of 5–6% annual returns.
  • Beyond investments, New Zealanders are navigating legal blind spots: family trusts do not replace wills, online legal documents are valid but only if correctly executed, and buying for a not-for-profit with a personal IRD number creates unnecessary confusion with GST obligations.
  • The throughline across all these questions is the same: the cost of misunderstanding financial and legal structures is not always dramatic — it is slow, invisible, and entirely avoidable with the right guidance.

Across New Zealand, savers and investors are quietly confronting a truth that numbers make plain but feelings make difficult: money held in safety is still money losing ground. From term deposits eroded by inflation to conservative KiwiSaver funds dipping in the short term, the tension between security and growth is not a crisis but a condition — one that requires not panic, but patience, perspective, and the right tools for the right purpose.

Susan Edmunds receives a steady stream of financial anxieties through RNZ's money advice inbox, and one question recently cut to the heart of a quiet national frustration: when did bank term deposits last actually beat inflation? The answer, drawn from Reserve Bank data by economist Shamubeel Eaqub, is not reassuring. With inflation at 4.1 percent and six-month term deposits offering around 3.55 percent — and on-call accounts paying as little as 0.5 percent — savings held in the bank are losing real value before tax is even considered. This was also true through the Covid years, and dramatically so in the 1970s. The cost of keeping money safe and accessible is, and has often been, a negative real return.

A separate listener raised concerns about a Milford moderate-conservative KiwiSaver fund whose balance had slipped from $299,000 to $297,600 over seven months, even with $1,000 added. Milford's KiwiSaver head Murray Harris confirmed a six-month return of negative 0.45 percent, attributing it to rising interest rates locally and globally. But context matters: the one-year return was 1.12 percent, the three-year average 5.89 percent per annum, and the fund's full history shows 6.45 percent annually. Short-term dips in conservative funds are normal; the recommended minimum horizon is three years for good reason.

On the legal side, Michelle Pope of Public Trust clarified a common misconception: a family trust and a will are not interchangeable. A trust governs assets the trust owns; a will governs everything still held in your personal name — bank accounts, vehicles, KiwiSaver, and any property never formally transferred. A will also appoints an executor and, crucially, a guardian for children. Pope flagged a frequent oversight: assets are not always fully transferred to a trust just because one exists, and any debt the trust owes you remains part of your estate until formally forgiven.

Online wills and enduring powers of attorney are legally valid in New Zealand — 77 percent of Public Trust's wills last year were prepared online — but only if correctly executed. The risk is not the platform but the process: a will must be properly signed and witnessed, and an EPA requires the maker to demonstrate capacity before an authorised witness. Complex circumstances — blended families, overseas assets, beneficiaries with special needs — warrant professional advice regardless of where the document is created.

Finally, a pensioner buying goods for a not-for-profit from an overseas website found the system rejecting their personal IRD number when asked for tax details. The explanation is simple: the supplier is GST-registered and checking whether to charge GST. Since the not-for-profit is almost certainly GST-registered and able to claim it back, it is the organisation's GST number — not the individual's — that belongs in that field.

Susan Edmunds fields questions about money every week on RNZ's 'No Stupid Questions' podcast, and lately the inbox has filled with a particular anxiety: the slow, invisible erosion of savings. A listener asked when bank term deposits last paid returns above inflation. The question cuts to something real. With inflation sitting at 4.1 percent and six-month term deposits offering around 3.55 percent, the math is unforgiving. On-call savings accounts pay even less—between 0.5 and 2 percent. Before you even factor in Resident Withholding Tax, money left in the bank is losing ground.

Shamubeel Eaqub, chief economist at Simplicity, compiled a chart using Reserve Bank data on average six-month term deposit rates. The picture it tells is sobering. Right now, the return above inflation is marginal at best. During the Covid years, people holding money in six-month term deposits were, on average, going backwards—though not as dramatically as during the high-inflation 1970s. The cost of safety, it turns out, is real. Yet the listener's underlying point stands: you need some money readily accessible for unexpected costs. The tension between security and erosion is not easily resolved.

Another question came from someone invested in a Milford moderate-conservative KiwiSaver fund. Since February, their balance had fallen from $299,000 to $297,600, despite adding $1,000 over that period. Was a negative return over seven months normal? Murray Harris, KiwiSaver head at Milford, confirmed the six-month return for the conservative fund to August 31 was a drop of 0.45 percent. He noted that even conservative funds can decline over short periods, particularly when local and global interest rates are rising. But he also offered perspective: the one-year return was 1.12 percent after fees, and over the recommended three-year minimum timeframe, the fund had returned 5.89 percent per annum. Over its full history, 6.45 percent per annum. Harris offered to connect the investor with someone to assess whether the fund remained the right fit.

A third question addressed the relationship between family trusts and wills. Michelle Pope, principal trustee at Public Trust, explained that they serve different purposes and most people with a trust still need a will. A family trust deals with assets owned by the trust itself. A will deals with assets you personally own and any debts you carry when you die. Bank accounts, vehicles, personal belongings, KiwiSaver, property never transferred to the trust—all of these remain in your personal name and flow through your will. A will also lets you choose a guardian for your children and appoints an executor with legal authority to administer your estate. A memorandum of wishes, by contrast, provides guidance but carries no legal force. Pope flagged a common oversight: assets are not always fully transferred to a trust just because the trust exists. A person might transfer their home to a family trust, yet the trust could still owe them the value of that home. That debt remains part of the estate until forgiven, often through a deed or the will itself.

Another listener asked whether wills and enduring powers of attorney prepared online are legally valid in New Zealand. The answer is yes, provided they meet all legal requirements and no problems exist—such as lack of capacity or duress. Pope noted that 77 percent of the wills Public Trust helped with last year were prepared online, as were 70 percent of the EPAs. For people with straightforward circumstances, online services offer convenience and cost savings. The proliferation of online providers has made wills more accessible than ever. But not all providers handle complex situations. Blended families, business ownership, separation agreements, overseas assets, beneficiaries with support needs, or concerns about estate claims all warrant upfront professional advice to avoid problems later. The critical risk, Pope emphasized, is failing to properly execute the document. A will must be correctly signed and witnessed to be legally valid. An EPA requires specific legal requirements around capacity and witnessing—the person making it must understand what they are signing, have the capacity to make those decisions, and sign before an authorized witness satisfied they understand the effect and are signing voluntarily. Whether a document is created online or in a lawyer's office matters less than whether it accurately reflects your wishes and has been completed and signed correctly.

A final question came from someone buying items for a not-for-profit organization from a cheap Chinese products website. The site offered to void tax if the buyer provided their tax details. The person, a pensioner paying tax on their pension but nothing else, could not get the system to accept their IRD number. The explanation is straightforward: the supplier is likely registered for New Zealand GST and trying to determine whether GST should be charged. GST does not apply to sales to GST-registered businesses, because they simply claim it back. The not-for-profit is almost certainly GST-registered and able to claim back GST on the goods. It is the not-for-profit's name and GST number that should be used when purchasing, not the individual's.

Even conservative funds can decline over short periods, particularly when local and global interest rates are rising.
— Murray Harris, KiwiSaver head at Milford
A family trust deals with assets owned by the trust. A will deals with assets you personally own and any debts you may have when you die.
— Michelle Pope, principal trustee at Public Trust
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