Asia needs common language to unlock climate resilience financing, MAS says

Investors want to see where this is going, but somehow it's not enough to move that money at the scale that we need.
Singapore's financial regulator explains why understanding adaptation's value hasn't translated into capital flowing at necessary scale.
Mark

So the core problem is that investors don't know how to measure adaptation the way they measure carbon removal?

Mimi

Exactly. With carbon, everyone speaks in tonnes. With adaptation—building seawalls, improving water systems, helping farmers adjust to new weather patterns—there's no common unit. Investors can't easily compare one project to another or understand what their money is actually achieving.

Luke

But investors do understand avoided losses. The source says that's what they're thinking about. So why isn't that enough?

Mimi

Because avoided losses are harder to quantify and predict than carbon tonnes. A seawall prevents some flooding, but how much? For how long? Under what conditions? The economics get murky fast, especially when you're looking at a single company or community rather than a global carbon market.

Mark

And the money gap is real—$422 billion needed by 2030 but only $3.2 billion being spent annually?

Mimi

Right. Southeast Asia has already lost $235 billion to climate events in the last thirty years. The need is obvious. But only 17 percent of global climate finance goes to adaptation at all. Most of it chases mitigation and transition.

Luke

The ADB is putting in about $1 billion over ten years on agriculture. That's real money, but the source says it's small relative to needs. How small?

Mimi

If you need $422 billion cumulatively by 2030 and you're getting $1 billion over a decade from one multilateral bank, you're looking at a massive shortfall. And that's just agriculture.

Mark

So what's the actual solution? The MARS Guide?

Mimi

It's a start. A common framework for identifying climate hazards, available solutions, and a consistent way to talk about adaptation. But frameworks don't move money by themselves. You also need governments to absorb risks that private investors can't, and you need better data on what physical risks actually threaten specific assets.

Luke

The source mentions a plastic recycling project in Indonesia where European regulations changed and the market collapsed. That's a real commercial risk. How do you price that?

Mimi

You don't, easily. That's why the ADB and other public institutions need to take first losses or provide guarantees. They absorb the regulatory and market risks that commercial banks won't touch. Blended finance structures can help, but it requires public money to anchor the deal.

Mark

And for individual businesses, the problem is even messier?

Mimi

Yes. A large seawall is familiar to bankers. But when you're a small agricultural company trying to adapt your operations to changing rainfall patterns, the economics aren't clear. You don't know if it's your responsibility or the government's. You don't have good data on future physical risks. So you don't invest, even though adaptation might already be happening invisibly across the economy.

Luke

So the real issue is visibility and clarity, not just capital availability?

Mimi

Exactly. The money exists. But without a common language, without clear economics, without forward-looking risk data, it stays on the sidelines.

  • Southeast Asia has already absorbed nearly $235 billion in climate-related economic losses over thirty years, yet only 17% of global climate finance is directed toward adaptation at all.
  • Investors understand intellectually that resilience prevents losses, but without a shared metric — something analogous to the carbon credit — they cannot compare opportunities or price what resilience actually delivers.
  • Adaptation projects tend to be fragmented, localized, and cash-flow-uncertain, making them structurally unattractive to the large institutional capital pools that could move the needle.
  • Singapore's MAS is advancing the ASEAN-level MARS Guide to create a common framework for identifying climate hazards, available solutions, and bankable adaptation investments.
  • Multilateral development banks like the ADB are being called upon to absorb first losses and structure blended finance arrangements that allow commercial capital to enter deals it could not otherwise sustain.

Across Asia, a vast and growing chasm separates the climate risks communities already face from the capital available to help them endure those risks. Singapore's Monetary Authority has named the root of the problem: unlike carbon reduction, resilience has no common currency — no shared unit by which investors can weigh one adaptation project against another. Until that language is built, the $422 billion Asia needs by 2030 to prepare for intensifying climate impacts will remain largely unspoken for, even as the losses mount.

At a sustainability forum in Singapore, Abigail Ng of the Monetary Authority of Singapore identified a structural flaw at the heart of climate adaptation finance: there is no shared language for measuring what resilience is worth. Carbon markets work because investors can speak in tonnes of CO₂. Adaptation has no equivalent unit, and so capital flows toward mitigation while communities across Asia are left to absorb the consequences.

The numbers behind this silence are sobering. Asean economies spend roughly $3.2 billion annually on adaptation, but will need $422 billion cumulatively by 2030 just to address the physical climate risks already in motion. The UNDP has mapped the gap; the MAS is now trying to close it through the MARS Guide, an ASEAN-level framework designed to help governments and companies identify hazards, evaluate solutions, and communicate adaptation investments in consistent, comparable terms.

The risk question complicates matters further. Jackie Surtani of the Asian Development Bank pointed to a plastic recycling project in Indonesia that collapsed when European regulations shifted — a reminder that adaptation projects often carry unpredictable commercial risks that private investors cannot absorb alone. The ADB has committed around $1 billion across twenty agriculture-focused adaptation projects over a decade, but Surtani acknowledged this is modest against the region's true scale of need. Public institutions must be willing to take first losses and structure blended finance so that commercial capital can participate.

For commercial banks, the challenge becomes even more granular in the real economy. UOB's Melissa Moi noted that while large infrastructure like seawalls is familiar territory, helping individual businesses understand the economic case for their own resilience investments remains elusive. The boundaries between public and private responsibility are unclear, data on physical risks is inconsistent, and many adaptation investments already happening — in agriculture, in operations — go unrecognized simply because they are never labeled as such. Making adaptation visible, nameable, and financeable is now the central task.

Singapore's financial regulator has identified a fundamental problem holding back climate adaptation across Asia: investors cannot easily measure what they are buying. At a sustainability forum in Singapore last week, Abigail Ng, the Monetary Authority of Singapore's Chief Sustainability Officer, laid out the gap plainly. When companies invest in carbon removal or renewable energy, they speak a common language—tonnes of carbon dioxide. When they invest in making communities and infrastructure more resilient to climate impacts, they have no such shared metric. The result is that money flows toward mitigation projects while adaptation languishes, even though Southeast Asia has already absorbed nearly $235 billion in climate-related economic losses over the past three decades.

The scale of the need is staggering. The United Nations Development Programme estimates that Asean economies currently spend around $3.2 billion annually on climate adaptation. By 2030, they will need $422 billion cumulatively just to prepare for the physical climate risks already bearing down on the region. Yet only 17 percent of global climate finance currently targets adaptation at all. Investors recognize the problem intellectually. They understand that adaptation prevents losses. But as Ng explained, that understanding has not translated into capital flowing at the necessary scale. The absence of a common language—a way to compare one adaptation project against another, to quantify what resilience actually delivers—leaves investors uncertain about where to place their bets.

The Monetary Authority of Singapore is working to build that language through the Mitigation Co-Benefit and Adaptation and Resilience Guide, or MARS Guide, developed at the level of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations. The framework is designed to help companies and governments identify the specific climate hazards they face, the technological and nature-based solutions available to address them, and a consistent way to communicate about adaptation investments. Without such a framework, adaptation projects remain fragmented and localized—too small and geographically specific to attract the large pools of capital that institutional investors manage. Project preparation and capacity building are weak. Developers and financiers lack a shared understanding of what makes an adaptation investment bankable.

The challenge extends beyond measurement into the question of who bears the risk. Jackie Surtani, Regional Director of Singapore at the Asian Development Bank, noted that many adaptation projects do not generate obvious or predictable cash flows. A plastic recycling facility in Indonesia, supported by the ADB, illustrates the problem: when European regulations changed, the market for recycled bottles collapsed, exposing the project to commercial risks that private investors cannot easily absorb. Governments must play a central role in adaptation financing because the private sector faces hazards—regulatory shifts, market volatility—that commercial banks cannot price or manage alone. The ADB has committed roughly $1 billion over ten years across approximately twenty agriculture projects focused on adaptation, but Surtani acknowledged this remains small relative to the region's overall needs. Multilateral development banks and other public institutions must be willing to absorb first losses, provide guarantees, and structure blended finance arrangements that allow commercial capital to enter deals it could not otherwise take on.

For commercial banks themselves, the problem becomes more granular when adaptation financing moves beyond large public infrastructure into the real economy. Melissa Moi, Head of Sustainable Business at UOB's Group Corporate Sustainability Office, said that water treatment plants, seawalls, and large-scale water-management systems are relatively familiar to bankers and engineers. But translating the economics of adaptation into terms that individual businesses understand remains elusive. Research may show that a dollar invested in adaptation prevents a dollar of losses, but a business owner needs to know what that means for their particular sector, their assets, their operations. The boundaries between public and private responsibility for adaptation are unclear. Companies do not know where they should invest in their own resilience and what role private capital should play. Financial institutions lack forward-looking, detailed, and consistent data on the likelihood and severity of physical risks affecting specific assets.

Moi suggested that adaptation may already be happening across the economy without being explicitly recognized as such. In agriculture, companies have adapted their operations to changing weather patterns for years. But because these investments are not labeled as adaptation, they remain invisible within the financial system. The challenge now is to make adaptation visible—to help businesses and financiers identify what constitutes resilience investment and understand the economic case for financing it. Without that visibility, without a common language and framework, the capital needed to prepare Asia for intensifying climate risks will continue to flow elsewhere, leaving the region underprepared for the physical hazards already accelerating.

Investors want to see where this is going, and a lot of thinking is around avoided losses. But somehow, it's not enough to move that money at the scale that we need.
— Abigail Ng, Chief Sustainability Officer, Monetary Authority of Singapore
MDBs should be focusing more and more on the challenging stuff of finding ways to maybe take a first loss and guarantees to try and bring in more commercial banks because they can't do this from a risk perspective on their own.
— Jackie Surtani, Regional Director of Singapore, Asian Development Bank
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