Anthropic Eyes $2 Trillion Valuation in IPO That Could Surpass SpaceX as Largest Ever

Wall Street would be asked to price how much of the future AI economy Anthropic can capture
At a $2 trillion valuation, investors would be pricing Anthropic's future share of the AI economy, not just today's growth.
Mark

Why is this IPO a bigger deal than a typical large listing?

Mimi

Scale, mostly. SpaceX raised $75 billion, or $86.2 billion with the overallotment, and Anthropic reportedly expects to match or beat that. It would also be one of the first ways for ordinary public investors to own a company building frontier AI models.

Mark

What's driving the valuation jump from $965 billion in May?

Mimi

Revenue. Preliminary second-quarter revenue was over $11.5 billion, against $787 million a year earlier, and the run rate hit $65 billion by the end of July.

Luke

Careful, though. Those revenue figures are preliminary and come via Bloomberg, not an audited filing. And the $2 trillion is a target people are reportedly considering, not a price anyone has set.

Mark

And the losses?

Mimi

Nearly $42 billion in 2025, about five times the year before. But adjusted operating income turned positive in the second quarter.

Luke

Adjusted is doing work in that sentence. It's a company-defined measure, and one quarter is not a trend. Net loss for 2026 is not reported here.

Mark

What about the super-voting shares?

Mimi

Anthropic is considering them for Amodei and the other co-founders. Amodei owns about 2%, so the structure would give him far more influence than his stake implies.

Luke

Note the word considering. Nothing is decided. Same with the timing: end of August is described as possible, and the sources are anonymous.

Mark

What should readers watch?

Mimi

The public filing, the final size, and whether OpenAI, reportedly eyeing 2027, moves sooner.

  • Bloomberg reports Anthropic is weighing an IPO that could match or exceed SpaceX's $75 billion record share sale, with a valuation above $2 trillion.
  • A public filing could land as soon as the end of August, though the size and terms are still described as fluid and open to change.
  • Revenue surged past $11.5 billion in the second quarter, yet a nearly $42 billion net loss in 2025 keeps the financial picture under sharp scrutiny.
  • Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, and JPMorgan are assembling the deal, while founders' super-voting shares and investor demand will determine whether the offering clears its enormous bar.

Anthropic, the five-year-old company behind the Claude models, now stands at a threshold that few young firms have ever approached: a possible public listing at a valuation above two trillion dollars, potentially larger than the record-setting offering of SpaceX. The move reflects a deeper human bargain of the AI era, in which building ever more capable minds demands staggering sums of chips, power, and computing capacity, and so the private wealth that funded them must eventually open its doors to the public. Whether investors will pay so dearly for a future still being written, while the company's losses remain enormous, is the quiet question hovering over the filing that may arrive as soon as late August.

Anthropic is running the numbers on what could become the largest initial public offering in history, according to a Bloomberg report that cites people familiar with the matter. The company behind Claude is reportedly eyeing a valuation above $2 trillion, with an offering that could match or exceed SpaceX's $75 billion debut. A public filing might come as soon as the end of August, though the discussions remain fluid and the final size could shift.

The pace of the journey has been swift. In June, Anthropic confidentially submitted its draft registration to the SEC at a valuation near $1 trillion. In May it had raised $65 billion at $965 billion, placing it ahead of OpenAI. Reaching $2 trillion in public markets would mean more than doubling that figure in a matter of months.

The case rests on revenue, with preliminary second-quarter sales above $11.5 billion, a sharp climb from the same quarter a year earlier, and an annualized run rate of $65 billion by July. The costs are equally vast, however: a 2025 net loss of nearly $42 billion. A first sign of improvement appeared as the company reached positive adjusted operating income in the second quarter.

For public investors, the offering would offer rare direct access to the firm building the models at the center of the generative AI boom. The capital is a necessity, since frontier models consume immense chips, data centers, and electricity. Control is also in play, as Anthropic weighs super-voting shares that would strengthen CEO Dario Amodei and his co-founders, who collectively hold a modest stake. Meanwhile, OpenAI is reportedly considering a listing in 2027, and the outcome here could shape the race that follows.

Anthropic is running the numbers on what could be the largest initial public offering ever, according to a Bloomberg report published Friday that cites people familiar with the matter. The company behind the Claude models is said to be eyeing a valuation above $2 trillion, and it expects the offering to match or exceed the size of SpaceX's debut. A public filing could come as soon as the end of August, though the discussions are described as fluid and the final size could change.

The bar is high. SpaceX raised $75 billion in its initial share sale, per Bloomberg data, the biggest IPO on record. After an overallotment option was exercised, the total reached $86.2 billion. Anthropic, five years old, would need extraordinary investor demand to clear that mark.

The path to this point has moved quickly. In June, the company confidentially submitted a draft registration statement on Form S-1 to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, at a valuation reported at nearly $1 trillion. Its statement then said the filing gave it the option to go public after the SEC completed its review, and that any offering would depend on market conditions and other factors. In May, Anthropic raised $65 billion at a $965 billion valuation, putting it ahead of OpenAI, which was valued at $852 billion after raising $122 billion in March. A $2 trillion public valuation would mean more than doubling the May figure in a matter of months.

The case for that leap rests on revenue. Bloomberg reports preliminary second-quarter revenue of more than $11.5 billion, up from $787 million in the same quarter of 2025. The annualized run rate reached $65 billion by the end of July.

The costs are just as large. Documents reviewed by Bloomberg show a net loss of nearly $42 billion in 2025, roughly five times the $8.3 billion loss a year earlier. There is one early sign of improvement: the company reached positive adjusted operating income in the second quarter.

The offering would also give public investors something they have mostly lacked during the generative AI boom, direct exposure to a company building the models at the center of it. Capital is a strategic necessity here, since training and serving more capable models takes vast amounts of chips, data center capacity and electricity. Anthropic has agreed to a computing arrangement with SpaceX that could be worth tens of billions of dollars over the next three years.

Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan Chase are working on the deal, and more banks could join. The company is expected to finalize a revolving credit facility larger than its roughly $10 billion target before filing publicly. Control is another item to watch: Anthropic is considering super-voting shares that would give CEO Dario Amodei and his fellow co-founders greater influence after listing. Amodei owns roughly 2% of the company.

The timing could put Anthropic ahead of OpenAI, which is reportedly considering a listing in 2027; both have filed confidentially. U.S. IPOs had raised $160.6 billion through August 19, closing in on the $195.2 billion record set in 2021, and a deal larger than SpaceX's could push 2026 past it almost alone. At $2 trillion, public investors would be asked to price not only Claude's current growth but how much of the future AI economy Anthropic can capture. The next markers are the public filing, the final size and the terms of the voting structure.

Anthropic PBC expects to match or beat the size of SpaceX's record-setting initial public offering.
— Bloomberg, citing people familiar with the matter
The confidential filing gives the company the option to go public after the SEC completes its review, depending on market conditions and other factors.
— Anthropic, news release in June (paraphrased)
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