En las semanas que separan a Perú de su segunda vuelta presidencial del 7 de junio, una encuesta Datum revela una nación dividida no solo entre dos candidatos, sino entre dos geografías del poder: Keiko Fujimori lidera en Lima y el norte, mientras Roberto Sánchez domina el sur, el centro andino y la Amazonía. Con apenas 3.4 puntos de diferencia a nivel nacional y más de una cuarta parte del electorado aún sin definirse o dispuesto a votar en blanco, el resultado permanece abierto, como suele ocurrir cuando un país debate su propio destino.
El Comercio - Perú
· May 24, 2026
· governance
· 1 min read
High
Sourcing: Verified
Datum: Fujimori leads Sánchez 39.5% to 36.1% in Peru runoff poll
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Politics & Governance
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Bias & Framing
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Geopolitical Impact
🌎
Peruvian presidential runoff poll shows Fujimori leading Sánchez 39.5%-36.1%, with significant regional divides favoring Fujimori in Lima but Sánchez in southern and eastern regions.
Escalation Risk
low
Confidence
HIGH
Peru
South America (regional stability)
Domestic political competition between Fujimori's right-wing Fuerza Popular and Sánchez's left-leaning Juntos por el Perú reflects Peru's deep ideological and geographic polarization. Fujimori's strength in Lima/Callao (capital and economic center) versus Sánchez's dominance in southern and eastern regions indicates class and urban-rural divides. High blank vote intention (15.9%) suggests voter dissatisfaction with both candidates.
Echoes Peru's recurring pattern of polarized elections between conservative/business-oriented and leftist candidates, similar to 2016 Fujimori vs. Kuczynski contest, reflecting unresolved tensions over economic inequality and governance.
Economic Lens
📈
Peruvian presidential runoff poll shows Fujimori leading Sánchez 39.5% to 36.1%, with high blank vote intention (15.9%) signaling political uncertainty and potential policy instability.
Market Signal
mixed
Confidence
MED
Financial services and banking
Mining and natural resources
Agriculture
Foreign direct investment
Currency markets
Political uncertainty from a close race and high blank vote rates may delay consumer spending decisions, increase currency volatility affecting import prices, and create hesitation in business investment, potentially impacting employment and wage growth.
The narrow margin and regional polarization suggest potential policy gridlock post-election. Significant differences between candidates on economic models (Fujimori's market-oriented vs. Sánchez's leftist approach) could trigger regulatory shifts affecting mining, labor laws, and fiscal policy. High blank votes indicate weak mandate legitimacy regardless of winner.